← All thesesAPHNeutralMedium convictionWednesday 28 October 2026עברית

Amphenol

Amphenol makes the connectors, cables and fibre that carry signals and power inside electronics, and AI data centres now buy more of them than anyone.

Our viewNeutral Medium conviction
The scores
The profile · 1-4
Growth4/4 →

Sales grew 21% in 2024, 52% in 2025 and 55% in the second quarter of 2026, 30% organically, with orders up 63% organically.

Business quality3/4 ↑

Designed-in parts, no customer above 10% and widening margins, but orders are cancellable and TE, Molex and Luxshare compete for every socket.

Financial position3/4 →

About $13.4B of net debt after CommScope, 1.3 times EBITDA, with $4.7B of yearly free cash flow to pay it down.

Execution record4/4 →

Beat its own quarterly sales guide by about 9% twice in 2026 and raised CommScope's outlook while integrating it.

Per share capture3/4 →

Deals are paid in cash and debt, not shares, but option exercises lifted the diluted count about 4% since 2023 despite buybacks.

Potential3/4 →

A $99B connector market growing 14.7% and AI capacity up about 31%, but Amphenol already holds up to a quarter of it.

Risk profile3/4 ↓

No customer above 10% and a spread of markets, but virtually all growth is AI, orders are cancellable and 37% of plant sits in China.

Valuation2/4 ↑

About 27 times operating profit and 41 times free cash flow: the price needs the AI build to continue after two years near 50% growth.

Evidence quality3/4 →

Sales, margins, cash and segments are filed, but the AI share, the end-market mix and next year's demand rest on management's word.

The bet · 2-3 years
Priced for success0.8×

If it works 0.8× · if it fails you keep about 49%.

The Verdict

We rate Amphenol Neutral. The business is strong: it is the leading maker of the links inside AI computer racks, sales have grown by about half a year for two years, it keeps beating its own forecasts, and its profit margin keeps widening. But the price is full. At about 27 times operating profit, twice what its listed rivals cost, it assumes AI orders keep rising through 2027, and those orders can be cancelled. As a bet on its data-centre segment it is Fragile: if AI demand holds, the shares gain little from here, and if it stalls, about half of today's value is at risk.

The long caseEvery AI rack needs more links between chips, and Amphenol sells more kinds of them, copper, fibre and power, than anyone else.

The evidence under this - 6 claims
C08management claimmedium confidence
Management says IT datacom was 48% of third-quarter 2026 sales, up 100% and 77% organically and 30% sequentially (against a mid-teens expectation), with about three-quarters of IT datacom sales now from AI products; in the second quarter it was 43%, up 89% and 22% sequentially.
against this
  • The end-market split is stated on the call and not filed; the segments do not map one to one onto it.
  • The growth is concentrated in one market whose customers are a handful of cloud and AI spenders.
  1. 2026-10-28editedexpired at the print: re-sourced from the third-quarter call, IT datacom now 48% of sales and up 30% sequentially
current state · 2026-10-28written 2026-10-18
C07facthigh confidence
Amphenol guided first-quarter 2026 sales to $6.90-7.00B and reported $7,620.1M; it guided second-quarter sales to $8.1-8.2B and reported $8,758.1M.
historical · Q1-Q2 2026written 2026-10-18
C10facthigh confidence
GAAP operating income was $2,559.6M in 2023 (20.4% of sales), $3,156.9M in 2024 (20.7%) and $5,868.6M in 2025 (25.4%); in the second quarter of 2026 it was $2,584.6M (29.5%), including an $80M tariff recovery, and $7,841.4M over the twelve months to June.
historical · FY2023-Q2 2026written 2026-10-18
C29inferencemedium confidence
At $79.35 the company value is about $209.1B: the $195.7B market value plus $13.4B of net debt. That is about 26.7 times twelve-month GAAP operating income, 38 times net income and 41 times free cash flow, a 2.4% cash yield; at a 9% required return that yield needs cash to grow about 6.6% a year for ever.
against this
  • Twelve-month earnings include CommScope for only half a year, so forward multiples are lower: about 24 times analysts' 2027 EPS (C31).
  • Margins are at a cyclical high on AI demand, so trailing profit may overstate the normal level.
current state · 2026-10-16written 2026-10-18
C17facthigh confidence
The 10-K puts backlog of unfilled firm orders at about $8.9B at the end of 2025, up from $6.1B, mainly from AI demand; nearly all should ship within 12 months, and unfilled orders may generally be cancelled before shipment.
against this
  • Orders may generally be cancelled before shipment, so the backlog is not a contract.
  • Short lead times in communications and distribution mean much of a quarter's sales is booked inside it.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C09management claimmedium confidence
The chief executive says customers tell Amphenol they 'need more of everything': more high-speed copper, fibre and power. Management expects IT datacom sales to rise by about mid-teens percent sequentially in the third quarter and communications networks to fall by about the same.
against this
  • A supplier's account of what customers say is an interested party's account; no customer has stated its 2027 spending on interconnect.
  • Orders can generally be cancelled before shipment (C17).
forwardwritten 2026-10-18
01

The company

Every electronic system, from a fighter jet to a car to an AI server, needs links that carry signals and power between its parts without failing. Amphenol makes those links: connectors, cable assemblies, antennas, sensors and fibre. It employs about 170,000 people.

Its buyers are equipment makers, which design its parts into a product years before it ships. In AI racks, NVIDIA's own systems run their chips over a copper cable backplane. Rivals TE Connectivity and Corning each name Amphenol among their main competitors.

The evidence under this - 6 claims
C01facthigh confidence
Amphenol designs and makes connectors, cable assemblies, antennas, sensors and fibre-optic connectivity, sold through three segments: Communications Solutions, Harsh Environment Solutions and Interconnect and Sensor Systems. More than 140 general managers each run their own business.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C19facthigh confidence
Amphenol employed about 170,000 people at the end of 2025, about 15,000 of them in the United States.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C41factmedium confidence
The 10-K says customers have long been cutting their lists of qualified suppliers, and that design teams working with customers often win Amphenol approved vendor status for their new products and programs.
against this

The company is describing its own position; the outside witnesses are TE's and Corning's filings naming it (C21, C22).

current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C21facthigh confidence
TE Connectivity's fiscal 2025 10-K says its Industrial Solutions segment competes primarily against Amphenol, Hubbell, Carlisle, Integer, Molex, Omron, JST and Korea Electric Terminal.
current state · 2025-09-26written 2026-10-18
C22facthigh confidence
Corning's 2025 10-K names Amphenol first among the principal competitors of its optical communications business, beside Fujikura, Sumitomo and Prysmian.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C27facthigh confidence
NVIDIA's rack-scale Grace Blackwell systems connect their GPUs over an NVLink passive copper cable cartridge backplane; NVIDIA said its co-packaged optics InfiniBand switches would ship in 2025 and Ethernet ones in 2026.
against this

Co-packaged optics moves the optical link onto the switch chip and could cut some pluggable and copper links Amphenol sells.

current state · 2026-10-18written 2026-10-18

How it makes money

Amphenol is paid for each part it ships, mostly on short orders. Its biggest segment, Communications Solutions, sells to data centres, phone makers and telecom networks and earned about a third of each dollar of sales as profit in the second quarter. The other two sell to defence, aircraft, factories and carmakers.

No single customer is a tenth of sales, and about a fifth goes through distributors.

The evidence under this - 4 claims
C05facthigh confidence
Over the twelve months to 30 June 2026, Communications Solutions earned $5,392.8M of segment operating income on $16,650.8M of sales, Harsh Environment Solutions $1,899.1M on $6,718.2M and Interconnect and Sensor Systems $1,148.9M on $5,642.6M; corporate and other costs were $599.4M.
against this

Corporate costs in the first half of 2026 include a $132.0M inventory step-up and $140.4M of acquisition costs from CommScope, so the twelve-month figure overstates the run rate.

historical · twelve months to 2026-06-30written 2026-10-18
C08management claimmedium confidence
Management says IT datacom was 48% of third-quarter 2026 sales, up 100% and 77% organically and 30% sequentially (against a mid-teens expectation), with about three-quarters of IT datacom sales now from AI products; in the second quarter it was 43%, up 89% and 22% sequentially.
against this
  • The end-market split is stated on the call and not filed; the segments do not map one to one onto it.
  • The growth is concentrated in one market whose customers are a handful of cloud and AI spenders.
  1. 2026-10-28editedexpired at the print: re-sourced from the third-quarter call, IT datacom now 48% of sales and up 30% sequentially
current state · 2026-10-28written 2026-10-18
C04facthigh confidence
In the second quarter of 2026 Communications Solutions sold $5,383.6M, up 85% and 42% organically, at a 33.6% segment margin; Harsh Environment Solutions $1,856.8M, up 28% and 22% organically, at 30.1%; Interconnect and Sensor Systems $1,517.7M, up 17% and 13% organically, at 21.0%.
historical · Q2 2026written 2026-10-18
C18facthigh confidence
No customer was 10% or more of net sales in 2023, 2024 or 2025; distributors took about 19% of 2025 sales; sales outside the United States were 65%, China 16%; and 37% of long-lived assets sat in China, up from 29%.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
Where the money comes from, stream by stream
StreamShare of sales (twelve months to 2026-06-30)How it earns it
Communications Solutions57.4%Connectors, cable assemblies, fibre and antennas for IT datacom, mobile devices and communications networks, including CommScope.
Harsh Environment Solutions23.2%Ruggedised connectors and cable for defence, commercial aerospace, industrial and automotive uses.
Interconnect and Sensor Systems19.4%Sensors and interconnect systems for automotive, industrial and medical customers.

Who runs it

Adam Norwitt has run Amphenol since 2009 and became chairman in 2026; Craig Lampo has been finance chief since 2015. A new head takes over the harsh-environment segment in January 2027.

Directors and officers own about 1.4% of the shares. Bonuses pay on sales and earnings growth, and long-term pay is options. Insiders sold shares outside pre-set plans after exercising options, which is their usual practice here.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C36facthigh confidence
R. Adam Norwitt has been chief executive since 2009 and president since 2007, after about 27 years at the company, and chairman since May 2026; Craig Lampo has been finance chief since 2015. On 1 January 2027 Ryan Fisher succeeds Luc Walter as head of Harsh Environment Solutions.
current state · 2026-10-06written 2026-10-18
C37facthigh confidence
Directors and executive officers held about 1.42% of the shares, options included, in March 2026. The annual bonus pays on revenue growth and adjusted EPS growth, at 100% for 7% and 11% and 200% at 17.5% revenue growth; 2025 paid 200%. Long-term pay is stock options.
current state · 2026-03-23written 2026-10-18
C35facthigh confidence
Over the past year insiders made 23 open-market sales of 3.17M shares before the split, none under a Rule 10b5-1 plan and each paired with an option exercise, and one purchase: a director's 10,000 shares at $128.51 in February 2026. The chief executive sold 686,104 shares at about $162 on 31 July 2026.
historical · 2025-10 to 2026-10written 2026-10-18
02

Why it wins, and who could beat it

Why customers come back

A connector is designed into a customer's product at the drawing board and tested with it, so swapping suppliers means testing a product that is already built. Customers have been cutting their supplier lists to the few they trust, and Amphenol's design teams often win approved-vendor status on new programmes.

Outside witnesses agree it is a leader: TE and Corning name it in their own filings, and an industry tracker finds the largest makers gaining share as they buy smaller ones.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C41factmedium confidence
The 10-K says customers have long been cutting their lists of qualified suppliers, and that design teams working with customers often win Amphenol approved vendor status for their new products and programs.
against this

The company is describing its own position; the outside witnesses are TE's and Corning's filings naming it (C21, C22).

current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C21facthigh confidence
TE Connectivity's fiscal 2025 10-K says its Industrial Solutions segment competes primarily against Amphenol, Hubbell, Carlisle, Integer, Molex, Omron, JST and Korea Electric Terminal.
current state · 2025-09-26written 2026-10-18
C22facthigh confidence
Corning's 2025 10-K names Amphenol first among the principal competitors of its optical communications business, beside Fujikura, Sumitomo and Prysmian.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C43facthigh confidence
Bishop & Associates finds the top 100 connector makers' share of the market rose from 81.0% in 2024 to 82.1% in 2025, and that CommScope, number 19, was among those acquired by other top-100 companies.
historical · 2024-2025written 2026-10-18
C42facthigh confidence
Communications Solutions' segment operating margin rose from 29.1% in the first half of 2025 to 32.2% in the first half of 2026, Harsh Environment Solutions' from 24.9% to 29.1% and Interconnect and Sensor Systems' from 18.8% to 20.6%.
historical · H1 2025 to H1 2026written 2026-10-18

The threat

TE Connectivity and the private Molex compete for the same sockets, and Corning for fibre. The newer threat is optics moving onto the switch chip itself, which NVIDIA has begun to ship and which could replace some copper and plug-in links. One forecaster expects copper to stay inside racks to 2031, with only a small share of links moving.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C21facthigh confidence
TE Connectivity's fiscal 2025 10-K says its Industrial Solutions segment competes primarily against Amphenol, Hubbell, Carlisle, Integer, Molex, Omron, JST and Korea Electric Terminal.
current state · 2025-09-26written 2026-10-18
C22facthigh confidence
Corning's 2025 10-K names Amphenol first among the principal competitors of its optical communications business, beside Fujikura, Sumitomo and Prysmian.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C27facthigh confidence
NVIDIA's rack-scale Grace Blackwell systems connect their GPUs over an NVLink passive copper cable cartridge backplane; NVIDIA said its co-packaged optics InfiniBand switches would ship in 2025 and Ethernet ones in 2026.
against this

Co-packaged optics moves the optical link onto the switch chip and could cut some pluggable and copper links Amphenol sells.

current state · 2026-10-18written 2026-10-18
C26estimatemedium confidence
LightCounting expects only 10-15% of scale-up interconnects to move to co-packaged or near-packaged optics by 2030-2031, and copper to stay inside racks.
against this

NVIDIA ships co-packaged optics switches from 2025-2026 (C27), so the shift has started; a forecast five years out can be wrong in either direction.

forwardwritten 2026-10-18
C20facthigh confidence
Amphenol's 10-K names Aptiv, Belden, Corning, Foxconn Interconnect Technology, Glenair, HUBER+SUHNER, ICT Luxshare, Jonhon, Molex, Rosenberger, Sensata, TE Connectivity and Yazaki as primary competitors, and says it competes on technology, quality, price, service and delivery.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18

The rivals: TEL, GLW, NVDA, BDC, APTV, ST, and 1 more that is private, in-house or listed abroad.

Who else does this, rival by rival
TickerRivalWhere it competesHow far alongPriced against it
TELTE ConnectivityPriced against it: YesHarsh Environment Solutions and Interconnect and Sensor SystemsOn saleYes
GLWCorning's optical communications businessPriced against it: One segment onlyCommunications SolutionsOn saleOne segment only
NVDACo-packaged optics on NVIDIA's switchesPriced against it: Different productCommunications SolutionsOn saleDifferent product
PrivateMolexPriced against it: PrivateCommunications SolutionsOn salePrivate
BDCBeldenPriced against it: Yes-On saleYes
APTVAptivPriced against it: Yes-On saleYes
STSensata Technologies HoldingPriced against it: One segment only-On saleOne segment only
03

How big it could get

How big this could get

The world bought about $99.2B of connectors in 2025, a market that grew 14.7% that year. Amphenol's sales equal about a quarter of that, though it also sells cables and sensors the figure does not count. The fastest part rides AI data centres, whose power capacity TrendForce expects to grow about 31% in 2026 and above 30% in 2027.

The evidence under this - 2 claims
C23factmedium confidence
Bishop & Associates puts 2025 worldwide connector shipments at about $99.2B: the top 100 makers shipped $81.386B, 82.1% of the market, and the rest $17.783B; the market grew 14.7% in 2025.
against this

Bishop's figure counts connectors only; Amphenol's sales also include cable assemblies, fibre, antennas and sensors, so the two are not the same perimeter.

historical · 2025written 2026-10-18
C25estimatemedium confidence
TrendForce estimates data-centre power capacity at 122.9 GW in 2025 and 161 GW in 2026, about 31% growth, and expects growth above 30% in 2027.
against this

It is a forecast, and capacity can be announced faster than it is built.

forwardwritten 2026-10-18

Who has signed

Nobody has signed a long contract. At the end of 2025 Amphenol had about $8.9B of orders waiting to ship, nearly all within a year, and in the second quarter it took $10.7B of new orders. Customers may generally cancel orders before they ship.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C17facthigh confidence
The 10-K puts backlog of unfilled firm orders at about $8.9B at the end of 2025, up from $6.1B, mainly from AI demand; nearly all should ship within 12 months, and unfilled orders may generally be cancelled before shipment.
against this
  • Orders may generally be cancelled before shipment, so the backlog is not a contract.
  • Short lead times in communications and distribution mean much of a quarter's sales is booked inside it.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C03facthigh confidence
First-quarter 2026 sales were $7,620.1M, up 58% and 33% organically, on orders of $9.4B (book-to-bill 1.24). Second-quarter sales were $8,758.1M, up 55% and 30% organically, on orders of $10.7B, up 94% and 63% organically (book-to-bill 1.23).
against this
  • Organic growth slowed from 38% in 2025 to 33% and then 30% in the two quarters of 2026, though orders accelerated.
  • Orders may generally be cancelled before shipment (C17), so book-to-bill overstates commitment.
historical · Q1-Q2 2026written 2026-10-18
C18facthigh confidence
No customer was 10% or more of net sales in 2023, 2024 or 2025; distributors took about 19% of 2025 sales; sales outside the United States were 65%, China 16%; and 37% of long-lived assets sat in China, up from 29%.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
Where the growth is coming from, business by business

Where the growth is coming from

BusinessShare of revenueGrowth: last quarterLast half-yearLast yearShare in 3 years at its half-year rate
Communications Solutions61%+86.5%+87.6%+91.7%83%
Harsh Environment Solutions and Interconnect and Sensor Systems39%+25.7%+28.1%+26.4%17%
Whole company100%+57.0%+58.4%+56.9%100%

On the filed split through 2026-06-30, if each business keeps its last half-year's growth, the company grows about 65% next year and 74% in year 3, against 54.2% over the last twelve months. Communications Solutions carries the case: it grows 88% against 28% for the rest, and would be 83% of revenue by then. A scenario, not a forecast: no business holds its rate.

How we read it: The score believes the blend: Communications Solutions carries the case, but the rest also grew 17-28% in the quarter, so either reading earns a four.

04

The results

The numbers

Is it growing?Fast

Sales grew 54% over the twelve months to Jun 2026, about the same pace as the 52% in the year to Dec 2025.

Dec 2021: $10.9BDec 2022: $12.6BDec 2023: $12.6BDec 2024: $15.2BDec 2025: $23.1B12 mo to Jun 2026: $29.0B$10.9B$29.0B
Is it profitable?Strong

Operating margin is 27%, up from 20% in the year to Dec 2023.

Dec 2021: 19%Dec 2022: 20%Dec 2023: 20%Dec 2024: 21%Dec 2025: 25%12 mo to Jun 2026: 27%19%27%
Does growth pay off?Pays off

Running costs take 11¢ of each sales dollar, about where it was (12¢) in the year to Dec 2021.

Dec 2021: 12¢Dec 2022: 11¢Dec 2023: 12¢Dec 2024: 13¢Dec 2025: 11¢12 mo to Jun 2026: 11¢12¢11¢
Does it earn good returns?Strong

Each dollar put into the business earns 21% a year after tax, about where it was (16%) in the year to Dec 2021.

Dec 2021: 16%Dec 2022: 18%Dec 2023: 17%Dec 2024: 17%Dec 2025: 20%12 mo to Jun 2026: 21%16%21%
Is it making cash?Strong

It turned 16% of sales into free cash, $4.71B over the last twelve months.

Dec 2021: $1.18BDec 2022: $1.79BDec 2023: $2.16BDec 2024: $2.15BDec 2025: $4.38B12 mo to Jun 2026: $4.71B$1.18B$4.71B
Is the balance sheet safe?Heavy debt

It owes $13.4B more than the cash it holds, about 2.3 years of the cash its operations bring in.

Dec 2021: −$3.56BDec 2022: −$3.14BDec 2023: −$2.68BDec 2024: −$3.55BDec 2025: −$4.07B12 mo to Jun 2026: −$13.4B−$3.56B−$13.4B
Are shares being diluted?Creeping

The share count rose 3.8% in 3.5 years.

Dec 2022: 1.24BDec 2023: 1.24BDec 2024: 1.26BDec 2025: 1.28B12 mo to Jun 2026: 1.29B1.24B1.29B
All the numbers

Filed figures from the company's 10-K and 10-Q, read 2026-10-18. Fiscal years end in December.

Dec 2021Dec 2022Dec 2023Dec 2024Dec 202512 mo to Jun 2026
Size and growth
Sales$10.9B$12.6B$12.6B$15.2B$23.1B$29.0B
Sales growth+26%+16%−0.5%+21%+52%+54%
Profit
Gross margin31%32%33%34%37%38%
Operating margin19%20%20%21%25%27%
Net margin15%15%15%16%18%18%
What growth costs, per sales dollar
Research and development2.9%2.6%2.7%3.0%2.8%-
Selling, general and admin11%11%12%12%11%11%
Pay in shares0.8%0.7%0.8%0.7%0.6%-
Capital spending3.3%3.0%3.0%4.4%4.3%4.0%
Cash
Cash from operations$1.54B$2.17B$2.53B$2.81B$5.37B$5.87B
Free cash flow$1.18B$1.79B$2.16B$2.15B$4.38B$4.71B
Balance sheet
Cash and short-term investments$1.24B$1.43B$1.66B$3.34B$11.4B$5.42B
Debt$4.80B$4.58B$4.34B$6.89B$15.5B$18.8B
Net cash−$3.56B−$3.14B−$2.68B−$3.55B−$4.07B−$13.4B
Returns and shares
Return on capital16%18%17%17%20%21%
Shares (diluted)-1.24B1.24B1.26B1.28B1.29B

What growth costs

Growth has made Amphenol more profitable. Since 2024 selling and admin costs fell from about 12 to 11 cents per dollar of sales, while the gross margin rose from about 34% to 39% and every segment's margin widened. The cost that is rising is factories: spending on plant has reached about 4% of sales.

The evidence under this - 4 claims
C39facthigh confidence
Selling, general and admin costs fell from 12.2% of sales in 2024 to 11.0% in 2025 and 10.8% over the twelve months to June 2026, and research spending from 3.0% to 2.8% of sales, while gross margin rose from 33.8% to 38.5%.
historical · FY2024 to twelve months to 2026-06-30written 2026-10-18
C10facthigh confidence
GAAP operating income was $2,559.6M in 2023 (20.4% of sales), $3,156.9M in 2024 (20.7%) and $5,868.6M in 2025 (25.4%); in the second quarter of 2026 it was $2,584.6M (29.5%), including an $80M tariff recovery, and $7,841.4M over the twelve months to June.
historical · FY2023-Q2 2026written 2026-10-18
C42facthigh confidence
Communications Solutions' segment operating margin rose from 29.1% in the first half of 2025 to 32.2% in the first half of 2026, Harsh Environment Solutions' from 24.9% to 29.1% and Interconnect and Sensor Systems' from 18.8% to 20.6%.
historical · H1 2025 to H1 2026written 2026-10-18
C40management claimmedium confidence
The finance chief says capital spending ran at the high end of 3-4% of sales and will be modestly above that in the second half of 2026.
against this

Twelve-month capital spending was 4.0% of sales already (C12), so the guide is a step up.

forwardwritten 2026-10-18

The last report (29 Jul)

Quarter ended June 2026, filed figures.

55%
Sales growth
against the same quarter a year earlier
14.9%
Growth from the quarter before
against 18.3% the quarter before that
30¢
Operating profit
per dollar of sales

In the third quarter of 2026 sales rose 65% to a record $10.2B, 37% without acquisitions, and new orders were $12.2B, more than it shipped. The data-centre segment grew 51% without acquisitions with a margin of 33.1%, and operating margin was 29.5%.

Management expects fourth-quarter sales of $10.3-10.5B and says IT datacom, now 48% of sales, rose 30% from the second quarter and should rise a mid-single-digit percent more. It also bought a fourth company and raised the CommScope outlook to $5.1B of sales.

What it did to the thesisIt showed the AI demand is still growing and that CommScope earns more than planned. The pace of growth is slowing, with IT datacom's next rise forecast at a mid-single-digit percent, and the price already pays for the build lasting.

The quarter in detail

Sales growth from the previous quarter, filed figures.

Earnings per share $0.68 against $0.59 expected; $1.37 as filed, the gap being what the company adds back.

The evidence under this - 4 claims
C44facthigh confidence
Third-quarter 2026 sales were a record $10.2B, up 65% and 37% organically, on orders of $12.2B (book-to-bill 1.19); adjusted diluted EPS was $0.80 and GAAP operating margin 29.5%. Communications Solutions sold $6.6B, up 51% organically, at a 33.1% segment margin, Harsh Environment $2.0B (30.1%) and Interconnect and Sensor Systems $1.6B (20.0%).
against this
  • Sequential adjusted operating margin slipped 10 basis points because the second quarter held a larger tariff recovery.
  • Book-to-bill fell from 1.23 to 1.19 and organic growth, at 37%, is for the second time above the first-half rate only because IT datacom accelerated.
historical · Q3 2026written 2026-10-28
C45management claimmedium confidence
Management guides fourth-quarter 2026 sales to $10.3-10.5B and adjusted diluted EPS to $0.81-0.83, and full-year sales to $36.9-37.1B and EPS to $2.82-2.84, excluding AdvancedPCB, Dexgreen and Humanetics Sensors; it expects IT datacom sales up a mid-single-digit percent sequentially after a 30% rise in the third quarter, and now sees CommScope at $5.1B of sales and $0.18 of EPS accretion.
against this
  • A mid-single-digit sequential rise is a sharp slowdown from 30% in IT datacom, so the growth rate is falling even as sales rise.
  • Management guides conservatively: the third-quarter sales ended about 9% above the high end of the guide.
forwardwritten 2026-10-28
C08management claimmedium confidence
Management says IT datacom was 48% of third-quarter 2026 sales, up 100% and 77% organically and 30% sequentially (against a mid-teens expectation), with about three-quarters of IT datacom sales now from AI products; in the second quarter it was 43%, up 89% and 22% sequentially.
against this
  • The end-market split is stated on the call and not filed; the segments do not map one to one onto it.
  • The growth is concentrated in one market whose customers are a handful of cloud and AI spenders.
  1. 2026-10-28editedexpired at the print: re-sourced from the third-quarter call, IT datacom now 48% of sales and up 30% sequentially
current state · 2026-10-28written 2026-10-18
C15management claimmedium confidence
Management now expects CommScope to deliver $5.1B of sales and $0.18 of adjusted EPS accretion after the split in 2026 ($0.36 before it), up from $4.6B and $0.30 before the split in July and $4.1B at closing, with IT datacom sales to more than double and reach about half of its sales.
against this
  • Accretion is measured on adjusted EPS, which excludes the inventory step-up and acquisition costs.
  • The outlook was raised after only two quarters of ownership.
  1. 2026-10-28editedthe third-quarter release raised the CommScope outlook again, from $4.6B to $5.1B of sales
forwardwritten 2026-10-18
What management did with the money

Amphenol buys companies all the time and paid about $10.5B in cash for CommScope's fibre business in January 2026, borrowing to do it. It buys back shares to offset staff options and pays a dividend, but has not issued shares for deals.

Insiders in 2026Q3: 7 purchases and 14 sales, from their Form 4 filings.

The evidence under this - 4 claims
C14facthigh confidence
Amphenol bought CommScope's Connectivity and Cable Solutions business for about $10.5B in cash, closing on 9 January 2026; it added $2,100.9M of sales in the first half and $6,958.0M of goodwill and $3,289.0M of intangibles.
historical · 2026-01 to 2026-06written 2026-10-18
C16facthigh confidence
Amphenol spent about $2.2B on two acquisitions in 2024 and about $3.8B on five in 2025, including Andrew from CommScope; in 2026 it added CommScope's connectivity business, Trexon, El.Com and Wilder.
historical · 2024-2026written 2026-10-18
C38facthigh confidence
In the first half of 2026 Amphenol bought back 2.8M shares for $386M and paid $614M of dividends; diluted shares before the split rose from 1,241.2M in 2023 to 1,289.2M in the second quarter of 2026. Share pay was $135.4M in 2025.
historical · 2023-2026written 2026-10-18
C13facthigh confidence
At 30 June 2026 Amphenol held $5,419.1M of cash and short-term investments against $18,811.3M of debt, about $13.4B of net debt; the finance chief puts net leverage at 1.3 times.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-10-18
05

The price, and where we disagree

In short. Full. The price pays for the AI build lasting well beyond next year, and leaves little room for a pause in orders that customers can cancel.

Share price
$79.35
close,
Company value for each $1 of operating profit
26.6
rivals' middle 13.9

In January 2026 the shares fell 12% in a day on worries that growth was slowing. Amphenol then beat its forecast by about 9% twice and the shares hit a record in October. Over the year sales per share grew faster than the price, so the shares got cheaper per dollar of sales.

The third-quarter report on 28 October 2026 beat the $9.3-9.4B forecast with $10.2B. The next check is the fourth-quarter report in late January 2027, against a forecast of $10.3-10.5B.

The evidence under this - 4 claims
C34facthigh confidence
After the fourth-quarter 2025 print the shares fell 12.2%, from $83.13 to $72.98 on 28 January 2026, as Investor's Business Daily reported worries about slowing growth; they reached a low of $59.58 on 30 March and a high of $88.62 on 6 October after two quarters above guidance.
historical · 2026-01 to 2026-10written 2026-10-18
C07facthigh confidence
Amphenol guided first-quarter 2026 sales to $6.90-7.00B and reported $7,620.1M; it guided second-quarter sales to $8.1-8.2B and reported $8,758.1M.
historical · Q1-Q2 2026written 2026-10-18
C28facthigh confidence
On 16 October 2026 the shares closed at $79.35, a market value of about $195.7B on 2,466.0M shares after the split, inside a 52-week range of $59.58 to $88.62. Over a year the price rose 26.4% while sales per share rose 51.8%; the price paid per dollar of sales fell 16.7%.
current state · 2026-10-16written 2026-10-18
C45management claimmedium confidence
Management guides fourth-quarter 2026 sales to $10.3-10.5B and adjusted diluted EPS to $0.81-0.83, and full-year sales to $36.9-37.1B and EPS to $2.82-2.84, excluding AdvancedPCB, Dexgreen and Humanetics Sensors; it expects IT datacom sales up a mid-single-digit percent sequentially after a 30% rise in the third quarter, and now sees CommScope at $5.1B of sales and $0.18 of EPS accretion.
against this
  • A mid-single-digit sequential rise is a sharp slowdown from 30% in IT datacom, so the growth rate is falling even as sales rise.
  • Management guides conservatively: the third-quarter sales ended about 9% above the high end of the guide.
forwardwritten 2026-10-28
The betPriced for success
If it works
0.8×
from today's value, valued like its peers
If it fails
keep 49%
of today's market value: the rest of the company and Communications Solutions stalled at its lowest case, less debt
How we read the multiple

A buyer pays about $209B for the business including its debt: about 27 times last year's operating profit.

To earn 9 cents a year on each dollar paid, a common rule of thumb for what a share should return, Amphenol must:

  1. Grow its cash, about $4.71B last year, about 6.6% a year for ever.
  2. Do that after two years of growth near 50%, from margins at a record.
  3. That needs AI orders to keep coming without a long pause.

Against its own history. It costs less per dollar of sales than a year ago, because sales grew faster than the price, not because the market grew wary.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C29inferencemedium confidence
At $79.35 the company value is about $209.1B: the $195.7B market value plus $13.4B of net debt. That is about 26.7 times twelve-month GAAP operating income, 38 times net income and 41 times free cash flow, a 2.4% cash yield; at a 9% required return that yield needs cash to grow about 6.6% a year for ever.
against this
  • Twelve-month earnings include CommScope for only half a year, so forward multiples are lower: about 24 times analysts' 2027 EPS (C31).
  • Margins are at a cyclical high on AI demand, so trailing profit may overstate the normal level.
current state · 2026-10-16written 2026-10-18
C10facthigh confidence
GAAP operating income was $2,559.6M in 2023 (20.4% of sales), $3,156.9M in 2024 (20.7%) and $5,868.6M in 2025 (25.4%); in the second quarter of 2026 it was $2,584.6M (29.5%), including an $80M tariff recovery, and $7,841.4M over the twelve months to June.
historical · FY2023-Q2 2026written 2026-10-18
C12facthigh confidence
Operating cash flow was $5,374.7M in 2025 against $996.6M of capital spending, free cash flow of $4,392.9M; over the twelve months to June 2026 operating cash flow was $5,871.7M and capital spending $1,158.0M, free cash flow of about $4.71B.
historical · FY2025 and twelve months to 2026-06-30written 2026-10-18
C13facthigh confidence
At 30 June 2026 Amphenol held $5,419.1M of cash and short-term investments against $18,811.3M of debt, about $13.4B of net debt; the finance chief puts net leverage at 1.3 times.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-10-18
C17facthigh confidence
The 10-K puts backlog of unfilled firm orders at about $8.9B at the end of 2025, up from $6.1B, mainly from AI demand; nearly all should ship within 12 months, and unfilled orders may generally be cancelled before shipment.
against this
  • Orders may generally be cancelled before shipment, so the backlog is not a contract.
  • Short lead times in communications and distribution mean much of a quarter's sales is booked inside it.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
Priced against its rivals

The competitors its own annual report names, each confirmed against the rival's filing. Measured on company value for each $1 of operating profit, cheapest first:

TickerCompanycompany value for each $1 of operating profit
BDCBelden13.3×
APTVAptiv13.9×
TELTE Connectivity18.0×
APHAmphenol26.6×

The middle of the other 3 is 13.9. Amphenol Corporation is dearest of 4.

Rivals' figures come from a data provider, so read the spread of the group rather than any single pair.

Paying more per dollar of profit than for its rivals is this company's own case: they grow far more slowly, and the market pays for AI growth they lack.

Private or foreign rivals that cannot be priced: Molex, Yazaki, Rosenberger, Glenair, Foxconn Interconnect Technology, ICT Luxshare, Jonhon, HUBER+SUHNER.

The bet: what it pays if it works

The bet is on the data-centre segment, which earns most of the profit and grows fastest. Even if it keeps growing quickly for two more years, the whole company would be worth less than today's price at what its rivals cost.

If AI demand stalls, the segment keeps its profit but the shares would lose about half their value. Little upside and real downside: priced for success.

Communications Solutions operating profit in two to three yearsCommunications Solutions at their trailing operating profit neededValued like its peersLike the cheapest
$7.24Babout 1 at 100% kept0.6×0.6×
$9.11B (the big win)about 2 at 100% kept0.8×0.7×
$10.57Babout 2 at 100% kept0.9×0.8×

To pay 2× (a Fair bet) it would need about $27.73B of Communications Solutions operating profit (about 5 Communications Solutions at their trailing operating profit); to pay 5× (a Cheap bet), about $73.00B of Communications Solutions operating profit (about 14 Communications Solutions at their trailing operating profit), at the same multiple.

Each row is Communications Solutions alone, plus the rest of the company (Harsh Environment Solutions and Interconnect and Sensor Systems) counted at about $34.04B.

The steps it has to take

  • Done Second-quarter orders of $10.7B, up 63% organically
  • Done CommScope integrated and its outlook raised to $4.6B
  • Done Third-quarter sales inside the $9.3-9.4B guide (came in at $10.2B)
  • Not started IT datacom keeps growing sequentially through 2027 due 2027-12
  • Not started Communications Solutions earns about $9.1B a year due 2028-06
The detail behind the label
Rating
Expensive
the big win's payoff against the 2× and 5× lines
Valued like the cheapest
0.7×
the same success, the lowest comparison
Cheap bet at about
≈ $7.32
91% below the price (close, )
The option
0.7×
what Communications Solutions is worth if it works, against what the price pays for it
The evidence under this - 6 claims
C05facthigh confidence
Over the twelve months to 30 June 2026, Communications Solutions earned $5,392.8M of segment operating income on $16,650.8M of sales, Harsh Environment Solutions $1,899.1M on $6,718.2M and Interconnect and Sensor Systems $1,148.9M on $5,642.6M; corporate and other costs were $599.4M.
against this

Corporate costs in the first half of 2026 include a $132.0M inventory step-up and $140.4M of acquisition costs from CommScope, so the twelve-month figure overstates the run rate.

historical · twelve months to 2026-06-30written 2026-10-18
C25estimatemedium confidence
TrendForce estimates data-centre power capacity at 122.9 GW in 2025 and 161 GW in 2026, about 31% growth, and expects growth above 30% in 2027.
against this

It is a forecast, and capacity can be announced faster than it is built.

forwardwritten 2026-10-18
C08management claimmedium confidence
Management says IT datacom was 48% of third-quarter 2026 sales, up 100% and 77% organically and 30% sequentially (against a mid-teens expectation), with about three-quarters of IT datacom sales now from AI products; in the second quarter it was 43%, up 89% and 22% sequentially.
against this
  • The end-market split is stated on the call and not filed; the segments do not map one to one onto it.
  • The growth is concentrated in one market whose customers are a handful of cloud and AI spenders.
  1. 2026-10-28editedexpired at the print: re-sourced from the third-quarter call, IT datacom now 48% of sales and up 30% sequentially
current state · 2026-10-28written 2026-10-18
C09management claimmedium confidence
The chief executive says customers tell Amphenol they 'need more of everything': more high-speed copper, fibre and power. Management expects IT datacom sales to rise by about mid-teens percent sequentially in the third quarter and communications networks to fall by about the same.
against this
  • A supplier's account of what customers say is an interested party's account; no customer has stated its 2027 spending on interconnect.
  • Orders can generally be cancelled before shipment (C17).
forwardwritten 2026-10-18
C13facthigh confidence
At 30 June 2026 Amphenol held $5,419.1M of cash and short-term investments against $18,811.3M of debt, about $13.4B of net debt; the finance chief puts net leverage at 1.3 times.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-10-18
C29inferencemedium confidence
At $79.35 the company value is about $209.1B: the $195.7B market value plus $13.4B of net debt. That is about 26.7 times twelve-month GAAP operating income, 38 times net income and 41 times free cash flow, a 2.4% cash yield; at a 9% required return that yield needs cash to grow about 6.6% a year for ever.
against this
  • Twelve-month earnings include CommScope for only half a year, so forward multiples are lower: about 24 times analysts' 2027 EPS (C31).
  • Margins are at a cyclical high on AI demand, so trailing profit may overstate the normal level.
current state · 2026-10-16written 2026-10-18

Where we disagree with the market

The market believes

Amphenol is the AI connector winner and its shares still look reasonable after two years of growth.

We believe

The business is excellent but the price already pays for the AI build lasting; a pause would cut growth and margins together.

Almost every analyst is positive and few investors bet against the shares. We agree the business is excellent. Where we part is the price: it treats AI demand as permanent, while Amphenol's orders can be cancelled and most of its growth comes from a few data-centre spenders.

We could be wrong if orders keep growing above 30% without acquisitions through 2027, running ahead of sales: that would show the build lasting longer than we think.

What analysts say, and the evidence
Analysts positive
90%
of 19, 1 Oct
Four months earlier
83%
of 18, 1 Jun
The evidence under this - 6 claims
C29inferencemedium confidence
At $79.35 the company value is about $209.1B: the $195.7B market value plus $13.4B of net debt. That is about 26.7 times twelve-month GAAP operating income, 38 times net income and 41 times free cash flow, a 2.4% cash yield; at a 9% required return that yield needs cash to grow about 6.6% a year for ever.
against this
  • Twelve-month earnings include CommScope for only half a year, so forward multiples are lower: about 24 times analysts' 2027 EPS (C31).
  • Margins are at a cyclical high on AI demand, so trailing profit may overstate the normal level.
current state · 2026-10-16written 2026-10-18
C17facthigh confidence
The 10-K puts backlog of unfilled firm orders at about $8.9B at the end of 2025, up from $6.1B, mainly from AI demand; nearly all should ship within 12 months, and unfilled orders may generally be cancelled before shipment.
against this
  • Orders may generally be cancelled before shipment, so the backlog is not a contract.
  • Short lead times in communications and distribution mean much of a quarter's sales is booked inside it.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C08management claimmedium confidence
Management says IT datacom was 48% of third-quarter 2026 sales, up 100% and 77% organically and 30% sequentially (against a mid-teens expectation), with about three-quarters of IT datacom sales now from AI products; in the second quarter it was 43%, up 89% and 22% sequentially.
against this
  • The end-market split is stated on the call and not filed; the segments do not map one to one onto it.
  • The growth is concentrated in one market whose customers are a handful of cloud and AI spenders.
  1. 2026-10-28editedexpired at the print: re-sourced from the third-quarter call, IT datacom now 48% of sales and up 30% sequentially
current state · 2026-10-28written 2026-10-18
C09management claimmedium confidence
The chief executive says customers tell Amphenol they 'need more of everything': more high-speed copper, fibre and power. Management expects IT datacom sales to rise by about mid-teens percent sequentially in the third quarter and communications networks to fall by about the same.
against this
  • A supplier's account of what customers say is an interested party's account; no customer has stated its 2027 spending on interconnect.
  • Orders can generally be cancelled before shipment (C17).
forwardwritten 2026-10-18
C32factmedium confidence
Analysts: 16 Buy, 13 Hold and 1 Sell on the vendor's snapshot; its dated series reads 89.5% positive among 19 analysts on 1 October 2026, from 72.2% among 18 in February 2026.
current state · 2026-10-01written 2026-10-18
C03facthigh confidence
First-quarter 2026 sales were $7,620.1M, up 58% and 33% organically, on orders of $9.4B (book-to-bill 1.24). Second-quarter sales were $8,758.1M, up 55% and 30% organically, on orders of $10.7B, up 94% and 63% organically (book-to-bill 1.23).
against this
  • Organic growth slowed from 38% in 2025 to 33% and then 30% in the two quarters of 2026, though orders accelerated.
  • Orders may generally be cancelled before shipment (C17), so book-to-bill overstates commitment.
historical · Q1-Q2 2026written 2026-10-18
06

What could go wrong, and how we would know

The risks

  • AI demand could pause Virtually all of the recent growth came from AI products, bought by a few large data-centre spenders.
  • Orders can be cancelled Customers may generally cancel orders before shipment, so the record pile of waiting orders is not a contract.
  • Optics on the chip Optics built onto switch chips, which NVIDIA now ships, could replace some copper and plug-in links.
  • Margins at a record Profit margins are at their highest, helped by a one-off tariff refund; a slowdown would squeeze them.
  • China and debt Over a third of its factory assets sit in China, and it borrowed about $10.5B to buy CommScope's business.
The evidence under this - 6 claims
C08management claimmedium confidence
Management says IT datacom was 48% of third-quarter 2026 sales, up 100% and 77% organically and 30% sequentially (against a mid-teens expectation), with about three-quarters of IT datacom sales now from AI products; in the second quarter it was 43%, up 89% and 22% sequentially.
against this
  • The end-market split is stated on the call and not filed; the segments do not map one to one onto it.
  • The growth is concentrated in one market whose customers are a handful of cloud and AI spenders.
  1. 2026-10-28editedexpired at the print: re-sourced from the third-quarter call, IT datacom now 48% of sales and up 30% sequentially
current state · 2026-10-28written 2026-10-18
C17facthigh confidence
The 10-K puts backlog of unfilled firm orders at about $8.9B at the end of 2025, up from $6.1B, mainly from AI demand; nearly all should ship within 12 months, and unfilled orders may generally be cancelled before shipment.
against this
  • Orders may generally be cancelled before shipment, so the backlog is not a contract.
  • Short lead times in communications and distribution mean much of a quarter's sales is booked inside it.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C18facthigh confidence
No customer was 10% or more of net sales in 2023, 2024 or 2025; distributors took about 19% of 2025 sales; sales outside the United States were 65%, China 16%; and 37% of long-lived assets sat in China, up from 29%.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-10-18
C27facthigh confidence
NVIDIA's rack-scale Grace Blackwell systems connect their GPUs over an NVLink passive copper cable cartridge backplane; NVIDIA said its co-packaged optics InfiniBand switches would ship in 2025 and Ethernet ones in 2026.
against this

Co-packaged optics moves the optical link onto the switch chip and could cut some pluggable and copper links Amphenol sells.

current state · 2026-10-18written 2026-10-18
C13facthigh confidence
At 30 June 2026 Amphenol held $5,419.1M of cash and short-term investments against $18,811.3M of debt, about $13.4B of net debt; the finance chief puts net leverage at 1.3 times.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-10-18
C10facthigh confidence
GAAP operating income was $2,559.6M in 2023 (20.4% of sales), $3,156.9M in 2024 (20.7%) and $5,868.6M in 2025 (25.4%); in the second quarter of 2026 it was $2,584.6M (29.5%), including an $80M tariff recovery, and $7,841.4M over the twelve months to June.
historical · FY2023-Q2 2026written 2026-10-18
What we still do not know
  • How much of the data-centre sales goes to the few largest customers, and on what terms.
  • How the AI growth splits between copper and fibre, and which way that mix is moving.
  • How big the market is once cables and fibre are counted with connectors: the research firms sell that figure.
The evidence under this - 3 claims
C08management claimmedium confidence
Management says IT datacom was 48% of third-quarter 2026 sales, up 100% and 77% organically and 30% sequentially (against a mid-teens expectation), with about three-quarters of IT datacom sales now from AI products; in the second quarter it was 43%, up 89% and 22% sequentially.
against this
  • The end-market split is stated on the call and not filed; the segments do not map one to one onto it.
  • The growth is concentrated in one market whose customers are a handful of cloud and AI spenders.
  1. 2026-10-28editedexpired at the print: re-sourced from the third-quarter call, IT datacom now 48% of sales and up 30% sequentially
current state · 2026-10-28written 2026-10-18
C26estimatemedium confidence
LightCounting expects only 10-15% of scale-up interconnects to move to co-packaged or near-packaged optics by 2030-2031, and copper to stay inside racks.
against this

NVIDIA ships co-packaged optics switches from 2025-2026 (C27), so the shift has started; a forecast five years out can be wrong in either direction.

forwardwritten 2026-10-18
C23factmedium confidence
Bishop & Associates puts 2025 worldwide connector shipments at about $99.2B: the top 100 makers shipped $81.386B, 82.1% of the market, and the rest $17.783B; the market grew 14.7% in 2025.
against this

Bishop's figure counts connectors only; Amphenol's sales also include cable assemblies, fibre, antennas and sensors, so the two are not the same perimeter.

historical · 2025written 2026-10-18

What would change our view

  1. Neutral→AttractiveA cheaper price on an unchanged business

    It needs all of:

    • ○The business becomes cheaper: about 20 times operating profit, from about 27 today.about ≈$60.64 today, 24% below the last close
    • ○And orders keep at least matching what it ships.checked at the next results, due by 28 Jan
  2. Neutral→UnattractiveThe AI build stalls

    It needs any of:

    • ○New orders fall below what it ships in a quarter.checked at the next results, due by 28 Jan
    • ○Or sales growth without acquisitions falls below 10%.checked at the next results, due by 28 Jan
We would also be wrong if
  • The data-centre business shrinks two quarters running.
  • The operating margin falls below 24% in a quarter.

What is coming

  • 31 December 2026 AdvancedPCB and Humanetics Sensors acquisitions close: Whether the $1.6B of acquisitions announced with the third quarter close on schedule and add about $340M of sales without share issuance.
Every dated event ahead
  • 31 December 2026 AdvancedPCB and Humanetics Sensors acquisitions close: Whether the $1.6B of acquisitions announced with the third quarter close on schedule and add about $340M of sales without share issuance.
  • 1 January 2027 Ryan Fisher takes over Harsh Environment Solutions: Whether the steadier half keeps growing under new leadership.
  • 28 January 2027 Fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 results: Whether orders keep growing into 2027, CommScope's full-year contribution, and the backlog at year end.
Since we wrote this
Written
18 Oct
Price the thesis read
$79.35
16 Oct
  • 28 OctEarningsRecord quarter beat the guide; view held at NeutralSales of $10.2B beat the forecast and the next forecast is higher, but the price at about 27 times operating profit already assumed it.
  • 18 OctThesis writtenNeutral, medium convictionAn excellent business riding the AI build, but at about 27 times operating profit the price already assumes the build lasts.

Sources 24

Where this came from

Sources - 24

Every claim above cites one of these, or states the reasoning that derived it. The quote is frozen at the date it was read: a link can rot, and an agent fetch returns a reading of a page rather than the page. Backs counts the whole claim ledger, so it can name a claim this page does not surface.

  1. S01primarycompany filing2026-02-11
    products, segments, competition, customers, distribution, backlog, geography, headcount, statements, acquisitions and risk factors
    backsC01C02C05C10C11C12C14C16C17C18C19C20C24C38C39C41
  2. S02primarycompany release2026-01-28
    2025 sales and organic growth, adjusted EPS, the first-quarter 2026 guide
    backsC02C07C11
  3. S03primarycompany release2026-04-29
    first-quarter sales, orders, organic growth and the second-quarter guide
    backsC03C07
  4. S04primarycompany release2026-07-29
    second-quarter sales, orders, segment results, the tariff recovery, buybacks and the third-quarter guide
    backsC03C04C06C07C10C15C38
  5. S05primarycompany filing2026-07-31
    segment sales and income for both half-years, the CommScope acquisition note, debt, cash, cash flow, share count and buybacks
    backsC04C05C10C11C12C13C14C16C28C38C39C42
  6. S06primarytranscript2026-07-29
    Second-quarter 2026 earnings call transcript (FMP)
    data/cache/transcripts/APH-2026Q2.json
    end-market mix and growth, the AI share of growth, CommScope's outlook, the third-quarter market outlook, capital spending and leverage
    Virtually all of this growth was driven by sales of AI related products.
    backsC06C08C09C13C15C40
  7. S07primarycompany filing2025-11-12
    Amphenol named as a primary competitor of TE's Industrial Solutions segment
    The Industrial Solutions segment competes primarily against Amphenol, Hubbell, Carlisle Companies, Integer Holdings, Molex, Omron, JST, and Korea Electric Terminal (KET).
    backsC21
  8. S08primarycompany filing2026-02-12
    Amphenol named first among the principal competitors of Corning's optical communications business
    Our principal competitors include Amphenol, Fujikura and their subsidiary America Fujikura Ltd., Sumitomo and Prysmian Group S.p.A.
    backsC22
  9. S09primaryindustry data2026-09-29
    2025 connector shipments of the top 100 makers and of the rest of the industry
    The world's top 100 connector manufacturers recorded shipments of $81.386 billion in 2025. This represented 82.1% of the worldwide connector market, up from 81.0% in 2024. The balance of the connector industry had shipments of $17.783 billion in 2025
    backsC23C24C43
  10. S10primaryindustry data2026-03-24
    the market's 2025 growth
    The worldwide electronic connector market expanded by more than $12.7 billion in 2025, delivering a 14.7% increase over 2024 sales, one of the industry's stronger performances in recent years.
    backsC23
  11. S11primaryindustry data2026-09-16
    data-centre power capacity in 2025 and 2026 and growth expected in 2027
    Global data center power demand capacity reached 122.9 GW in 2025 and is estimated to rise to 161 GW in 2026. In 2027, continued CapEx expansion by CSPs and sustained overall server shipments are expected to keep annual growth in data center power demand capacity above 30%.
    backsC25
  12. S12primaryindustry data2026-05-31
    the share of scale-up links expected to move to co-packaged optics by 2030-2031, and copper's place inside racks
    this forecast is based on an assumption that only 10-15% of all scale-up interconnects will migrate to NPO/CPO by 2030-2031. We also expect that the scale-up networks will continue to rely on copper interconnects within the racks and the optical interconnects will be only used for multi-rack connections.
    backsC26
  13. S13primarycompany release2025-03-18
    when NVIDIA's co-packaged optics switches ship
    NVIDIA Quantum-X Photonics InfiniBand switches are expected to be available later this year, with NVIDIA Spectrum-X Photonics Ethernet switches coming in 2026 from leading infrastructure and system vendors.
    backsC27
  14. S14primarycompany release2026-10-18
    the copper backplane that links the GPUs in a Grace Blackwell rack
    DGX Grace Blackwell rack scale systems are rack scale solutions for graphics processing units (GPUs) connected by NVLink through the NVLink passive copper cable cartridge backplane.
    backsC27
  15. S15secondaryvendor data2026-10-18
    Research pack (FMP market data, FINRA short interest), frozen
    content/APH/research-pack.json
    price, market value, the 52-week range, the price-move decomposition, analyst ratings and estimates, short interest, the cohort and the employee series
    backsC19C28C29C31C32C33C34
  16. S17secondarynews2026-01-28
    the stated reason for the January fall
    Amphenol (APH) plunged after an earnings call raised concerns of slowing growth.
    backsC34
  17. S18primarycompany filing2026-10-18
    every open-market sale and purchase and its Rule 10b5-1 flag
    backsC35
  18. S19primarycompany filing2026-08-06
    the split's terms and timing
    backsC30
  19. S20primarycompany filing2026-09-04
    the split taking effect on 2 September 2026 and the $0.125 dividend
    backsC30
  20. S21primarycompany filing2026-04-08
    executive officers and tenure, beneficial ownership, bonus metrics and long-term pay
    backsC36C37
  21. S22primarycompany filing2026-10-06
    Luc Walter's move and Ryan Fisher's appointment from 1 January 2027
    backsC36
  22. S23primaryindustry data2026-09-29
    the acquisitions of CommScope and other top-100 makers
    This will be the last year that CommScope (#19), Smiths Interconnect (#35), or Omnetics (#90) will be represented as standalone companies, as all have been acquired by other top 100 companies.
    backsC43
  23. S25primarycompany release2026-10-28
    third-quarter sales, orders, margins, cash flow, four acquisitions, the dividend and buyback, and the fourth-quarter and full-year guide
    backsC06C08C15C44C45
  24. S26secondarytranscript2026-10-28
    segment margins, IT datacom growth and the fourth-quarter outlook, CommScope, and management's answers on demand and margins
    On a sequential basis, sales increased by 30% from the second quarter which was substantially better than our expectation for a mid teens increase.
    backsC08C15C44C45
Rendered from content/APH/thesis.json · thesis reviewed 2026-10-28. This page explains a company; it does not say what to pay, when to buy or how much.