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Digital Turbine

תוכנה שמוטמעת בטלפוני Android לפני שהם נמכרים, ומציבה על המסך אפליקציות ופרסומות. לצדה פועלת בורסת פרסום רגילה.

הציון שלנולא אטרקטיבית ביטחון בינוני
הציונים
ציונים · 1-4
צמיחה3/4 ↑

ההכנסות עלו ב-26.8%, צמיחה אורגנית, אחרי שלוש שנות ירידה. אבל רצף הצמיחה בן שנה בלבד, ולפי התחזית של החברה עצמה הצמיחה תיחצה.

איכות העסק2/4 ↓

לחברה עמדה אמיתית בתוכנה המותקנת בטלפונים, והיא מכסה שני שלישים מההכנסות. השליש הצומח מתמודד מול AppLovin, שהכנסותיה 5.48 מיליארד דולר לעומת 565 מיליון דולר.

איתנות פיננסית2/4 ↑

Digital Turbine עדיין חייבת 387.8 מיליון דולר על הלוואות שמועד פירעונן ב-2029, ולדברי החברה מימון מחדש שלהן הוא הצורך המרכזי שלה במזומנים בשנה הבאה.

יכולת ביצוע2/4 ↑

דוח תוצאות שתוקן תוך יום, סמנכ״ל כספים זמני שהוא גם החשב הראשי, מחיקה של 336.6 מיליון דולר ושלוש שנות ירידה במכירות.

ערך לבעלי המניות2/4 →

המכירות גדלו ב-15.2%, והמכירות למניה ב-5.4%. כסף שמגייסים מבעלי המניות עובר למלווה לפי החוזה, וכך גם מחצית מהמזומנים העודפים.

פוטנציאל2/4 →

הפוטנציאל בהפצה חלופית מותנה בשיתוף פעולה של Google, חברות הסלולר ויצרניות המכשירים, וההסכם החדש הגדול ביותר אינו קובע היקף ואינו קובע תקופה.

רמת סיכון2/4 →

מועד פירעון אחד, 2029, שהחברה אומרת שעליה לממן מחדש. את זה יכריעו המלווים בצעד אחד, לא העסק.

תמחור2/4 ↓

מכפיל של 26.80 על הרווח התפעולי בשנה האחרונה ושל 2.24 על המכירות, לעומת חציון של 1.20 בשש השנים האחרונות.

חוזק הראיות3/4 →

הטענות המרכזיות נשענות על נתונים מהדוחות, על IDC ועל התיעוד של Google עצמה, אבל את הגורמים התפעוליים אפשר למצוא רק בשיחת הדוחות.

השורה התחתונה

הציון שלנו: Digital Turbine לא אטרקטיבית. התוכנה שלה מוטמעת בטלפוני Android לפני שהם נמכרים, מקום שמפרסם לא יכול לקנות, אבל היא מרוויחה מפעילות פחות ממה שהיא משלמת על ריבית, ושוק הטלפונים, שהיא רק נתח ממנו, מצטמק. לכן העסק חלש. המניה יותר משילשה את מחירה בעקבות פסק דין שפותח את Android לחנויות אפליקציות מתחרות, אבל Google מיישמת אותו בתוך החנות שלה. המחיר מחייב שהרווח התפעולי יוכפל בערך ושההלוואות היקרות שלה ימומנו מחדש בזול, ולכן הוא מלא ולא זול. מחיר נמוך יותר לא יפתור חוב בשוק מתכווץ.

הטיעון לטווח הארוךבתי משפט פותחים את חנויות האפליקציות בטלפונים, אבל Google מיישמת זאת בתוך החנות שלה, ונמכרים פחות טלפונים. Digital Turbine עדיין צריכה להרוויח יותר מכל טלפון.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 9 טענות
C01עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine sells two things through one company. On Device Solutions is software that wireless carriers and device manufacturers put inside an Android handset before it is sold: it delivers applications to the device through the carrier's or manufacturer's own setup flow, presents news, weather and sports inside the native device experience, and includes SingleTap, which installs an application in one touch without the user going to an app store. App Growth Platform is an advertising business: a demand-side platform and an offer wall that app developers and brands buy campaigns through, and an exchange that lets app publishers sell their advertising inventory by real-time auction.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16
C04עובדהhigh confidence
In the fiscal year ended 31 March 2026 Digital Turbine earned $34,042 thousand of income from operations on $565,251 thousand of net revenue, and paid $58,580 thousand of net interest expense. Interest was 1.72 times operating profit. A further $9,795 thousand went on loss on extinguishment of debt, and the year ended in a loss before income taxes of $31,340 thousand, an income tax expense of $6,392 thousand struck on that loss, and a net loss of $37,732 thousand.
historical · fiscal year ended 31 March 2026written 2026-09-16
C13הסקהhigh confidence
The raised fiscal 2027 guidance implies revenue growth over the remaining nine months of 11.4% to 16.0%, against the 26.8% delivered in the June quarter, and adjusted EBITDA growth of 5.2% to 15.5% against the 69% delivered. Management raised the number and the raise still embeds the growth that drove the re-rating roughly halving from here.
against this

Guidance is a floor a management team chooses, not a forecast it believes, and this one has already been raised once in the same fiscal year - so the honest reading is that the company is guiding conservatively after one strong quarter rather than signalling a slowdown it can see. The comparison base also hardens through the year: the fiscal 2026 quarters the guide is measured against grew 18.2%, 12.4% and 19.6%, against a first quarter that grew nothing measurable because the year-ago figure is not given, so some deceleration in the growth RATE is arithmetic rather than deterioration. What survives both points is that the company's own published range does not extrapolate the June quarter, and the price has.

forwardwritten 2026-09-16
C23עובדהhigh confidence
Almost all of the move in Digital Turbine's shares has been re-rating rather than business. Over the 252 sessions to 16 September 2026 the price rose 120.8% while revenue for each share rose 5.4% and the multiple paid on it rose 109.5%, with diluted shares up 13.2%. Over the 126 sessions the price rose 220.9% while revenue for each share rose 12.6% and the multiple rose 185.1%. The shares closed fiscal 2026 at $2.88 and stood at $11.11 on 16 September 2026.
current state · 2026-09-16written 2026-09-16
C16עובדהhigh confidence
Google's own developer documentation states that its Play Catalog Access program was in effect as of 22 July 2026, that third-party United States Android app stores could sign up for it, and that from 15 July 2026 such stores could begin onboarding into the Third-party App Store on Play Program. It also states that from 22 June 2026 Google notified developers that unless they opted out by 22 July, Google Play would begin to provide their app listings to third-party United States Android app stores. The remedy is therefore being delivered inside Google Play - rival stores distributed from it, and its catalogue opened to them - rather than by making installation outside Play easier.
current state · 2026-07-22written 2026-09-16
C17הסקהmedium confidence
The event the market is paying for cuts both ways, and the filings say which way more clearly than the narrative does. Digital Turbine's on-device channel is worth what the friction of installing outside Google Play is worth. The Epic remedy reduces that friction inside Play: a rival store now arrives the way any other application does. More alternative stores existing is demand for Digital Turbine; alternative stores being reachable from Play is competition for the one thing its channel uniquely sold.
against this

The chief executive's reading is the opposite and it is not unreasonable: more app stores means more parties needing distribution and targeting, and Digital Turbine sells to them as customers rather than competing with them. A store listed inside Play still has to acquire users, which is what the demand-side platform and SingleTap are for, and the company reports alternative-application partners ramping. There is also no measured evidence either way yet - the program took effect eight weeks before this thesis and nobody has published enrolment numbers, so the direction of the effect on Digital Turbine's revenue per device is an open question rather than a settled one. What is settled is that the remedy is being delivered inside Play, which is not the remedy the equity story assumes.

current state · 2026-09-16written 2026-09-16
C24הסקהhigh confidence
At $11.11 the market pays about 26.8 times trailing operating profit for the whole enterprise, and $46 million a year of cash interest sits between that operating profit and the shareholder. The price requires operating profit to roughly double before the equity is left with a normal share of what the business earns, on a company whose own guidance implies growth halving from here.
against this

Two readings push back. On enterprise value against EBITDA the frozen pack puts the shares at 18.8 times against a six-year median of 19.2 - cheaper than their own history, not dearer - and on the guided $150 million of adjusted EBITDA the multiple is about 11 times. And operating profit is depressed by acquisition intangible amortisation: $208,485 thousand of intangibles remained at 30 June 2026 and $16,805 thousand of depreciation and amortisation ran through the June quarter alone, so the operating line carries the cost of businesses bought years ago and already impaired. The counter to the counter is that both of those are the point: EBITDA is the metric that removes the interest, and amortisation of what was acquired is exactly what a serial acquirer's valuation frame must keep in.

current state · 2026-09-16written 2026-09-16
C06עובדהhigh confidence
At 30 June 2026 Digital Turbine owed $285,000 thousand on Term loan A at an effective rate of 11.2% and $102,800 thousand on Term loan B at 11.6%, both maturing in August 2029 under a Financing Agreement with Blue Torch Finance LLC, secured on substantially all of the company's assets. Against that sat $42,930 thousand of unrestricted cash. The 10-Q states that the principal cash requirements for the twelve months following the report consist primarily of refinancing certain loan tranches under that agreement.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16
C14עובדהhigh confidence
IDC forecasts that worldwide smartphone shipments will fall 16.7% in 2026 to just over 1 billion units, the steepest annual contraction the industry has recorded, driven by memory prices. Android bears almost the entire decline, falling 24.3% in 2026, while iOS share rises almost four percentage points to a record 23.6%. Emerging markets are expected to drop over 20%, and the average selling price to reach $581, up 27.6% in a single year.
forwardwritten 2026-09-16
01

החברה

חברות הסלולר ויצרניות המכשירים מטמיעות את התוכנה של Digital Turbine בטלפוני Android לפני המכירה, כך שהיא כבר שם כשמדליקים את הטלפון בפעם הראשונה. היא מציבה אפליקציות בהגדרות הראשוניות של הטלפון, מציגה חדשות ומזג אוויר על המסך ומתקינה אפליקציה בנגיעה אחת, בלי חנות אפליקציות. זה שני שלישים מהמכירות.

השליש האחר הוא עסק פרסום רגיל: יוצרי אפליקציות קונים דרכו פרסומות, ובעלי אפליקציות מוכרים בו את שטחי הפרסום שלהם במכרז אוטומטי.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 2 טענות
C01עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine sells two things through one company. On Device Solutions is software that wireless carriers and device manufacturers put inside an Android handset before it is sold: it delivers applications to the device through the carrier's or manufacturer's own setup flow, presents news, weather and sports inside the native device experience, and includes SingleTap, which installs an application in one touch without the user going to an app store. App Growth Platform is an advertising business: a demand-side platform and an offer wall that app developers and brands buy campaigns through, and an exchange that lets app publishers sell their advertising inventory by real-time auction.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16
C02עובדהhigh confidence
On Device Solutions was $109,996 thousand of the June 2026 quarter's revenue and App Growth Platform $56,596 thousand, before $609 thousand of intersegment elimination - 66% and 34% of the $165,983 thousand total. Segment profit, which is revenue less revenue share and nothing else, was $49,865 thousand for On Device Solutions and $45,070 thousand for App Growth Platform: 45.3% and 79.6% of each segment's own revenue.
historical · the quarter ended 30 June 2026written 2026-09-16

ממה היא מרוויחה

מפרסמים משלמים על כל הצבה בטלפון, וחברת הסלולר או יצרנית המכשירים שהתקינה את התוכנה לוקחת נתח. ברבעון שהסתיים ביוני 2026 נשארו לחברה 45 סנט מכל דולר. פעילות המכרזים משאירה 80 סנט, כי היא רק מתאימה בין קונים למוכרים. אף לקוח בודד אינו עשירית מהמכירות.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 2 טענות
C02עובדהhigh confidence
On Device Solutions was $109,996 thousand of the June 2026 quarter's revenue and App Growth Platform $56,596 thousand, before $609 thousand of intersegment elimination - 66% and 34% of the $165,983 thousand total. Segment profit, which is revenue less revenue share and nothing else, was $49,865 thousand for On Device Solutions and $45,070 thousand for App Growth Platform: 45.3% and 79.6% of each segment's own revenue.
historical · the quarter ended 30 June 2026written 2026-09-16
C11עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine has no disclosable customer concentration. The 10-K states that the company did not generate revenue from any single supply partner or customer that was more than 10% of net revenue during the years ended 31 March 2026, 2025 and 2024, while noting that one customer accounted for 20.6% of the accounts receivable balance at 31 March 2026. The risk factor heading nonetheless reads that a significant portion of revenue is derived from a limited number of wireless carriers and customers.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16
פירוט מקורות ההכנסה
מקורמשקל במכירות (שנת הכספים 2026, שהסתיימה במרץ 2026)איך
On Device Solutions67.7%תוכנה שחברות סלולר ויצרניות טלפונים מתקינות מראש בטלפוני Android. התשלום הוא על כל אפליקציה שהותקנה ועל כל פרסומת או כתבה שהוצגה, וההכנסות מתחלקות עם השותף.
App Growth Platform32.9%בורסת פרסום ורשת פרסום: יוצרי אפליקציות קונים פרסומות ובעלי אפליקציות מוכרים את שטחי הפרסום שלהם במכרז. ברוב המקרים ההכנסה נרשמת נטו, אחרי התשלומים לבעלי האפליקציות.

ההנהלה

ויליאם סטון עומד בראש Digital Turbine מאז 2014. ב-2021 הוא רכש שלוש חברות פרסום; אחר כך המכירות ירדו שלוש שנים, וחלק גדול ממה ששולם נמחק. עכשיו המכירות גדלות שוב. סמנכ״ל הכספים עזב במאי וראש מחלקת השותפויות יעזוב באוקטובר, ולכן את הכספים מנהל ממלא מקום זמני. בעלי עניין מחזיקים בכ-6%. הבונוסים תלויים במכירות וברווח לפני ריבית, ולכן אין יעד שכר שנמדד אחרי חשבון הריבית.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 5 טענות
C38עובדהhigh confidence
William G. Stone III has been chief executive since October 2014, after a year as president and chief operating officer. Joshua Kinsell, chief accounting officer since April 2024, has been interim chief financial officer since 1 June 2026; Benneaser John, formerly of Microsoft AI and Xandr, became chief technology officer in April 2026; and chief business officer Michael Akkerman, in post since June 2024, leaves on 30 October 2026 with no successor named.
current state · 2026-09-23written 2026-10-04
C22עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine has run this cycle before. Revenue reached $747,596 thousand in fiscal 2022, up 138.4% on the AdColony and Fyber acquisitions, then fell for three consecutive years - 10.9%, 18.2% and 9.9% - to $490,506 thousand in fiscal 2025. A goodwill impairment of $336,640 thousand was recorded in fiscal 2024. The shares reached $102.56 on 2 March 2021 and traded at $1.18 on 19 November 2024, a fall of 98.8%.
historical · fiscal 2022 to fiscal 2025written 2026-09-16
C28עובדהhigh confidence
Chief Financial Officer Steve Lasher resigned on 22 May 2026, four days before the annual report was filed, and Chief Accounting Officer Josh Kinsell was appointed interim Chief Financial Officer from 1 June while the company engaged a search firm. He still held both roles when the August results release had to be corrected. At the annual meeting on 25 August 2026 the advisory vote on executive compensation passed with 37,927,832 shares for and 26,468,367 against - 58.9% support.
current state · 2026-08-25written 2026-09-16
C39עובדהhigh confidence
At 1 July 2026 the ten directors and executive officers beneficially owned 7,258,308 shares, 6.0% of the 120,936,038 outstanding, counting options and units vesting within 60 days. William G. Stone III was the largest at 2,749,109 shares, 2.3%, of which 997,272 are exercisable options. BlackRock held 6.0% and Tennor Holding 5.0%, a figure the company says it cannot verify. There is one voting class.
current state · 2026-07-01written 2026-10-04
C40עובדהhigh confidence
The chief executive's annual bonus pays 40% on revenue, 40% on adjusted EBITDA and 20% at the committee's discretion, on a target of 150% of a $650,000 salary; fiscal 2026 paid $1,111,159, including a $236,486 discretionary award. The fiscal 2026 performance units vest on three-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA excludes interest, stock pay and other expense, and no goal names cash flow, debt or results for each share.
against this

The fiscal 2027 performance units add two relative total shareholder return goals to adjusted EBITDA (C29), so half of the newest performance award now rides on the share price, which does carry the interest bill and the dilution.

current state · 2026-09-02written 2026-10-04
02

היתרון התחרותי, ומי מאיים עליו

למה הלקוחות נשארים

התוכנה נמצאת בתוך מערכת ההפעלה של הטלפון ומותקנת שם בידי החברה שמוכרת אותו. כדי להגיע למקום הזה צריך הסכם עם כל חברת סלולר או יצרנית מכשירים, ואחר כך בדיקות בכל דגם. זה לקח עשור, וכסף של מפרסמים לא יכול לקנות את זה.

היתרון הזה מגן רק על שני שלישים מהחברה. לשליש המכרזים אין עמדה כזאת, והוא מתמודד מול AppLovin, שעושה את אותה עבודה בשיעור רווח תפעולי של 76%, על מכירות גדולות פי 9.7.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 4 טענות
C01עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine sells two things through one company. On Device Solutions is software that wireless carriers and device manufacturers put inside an Android handset before it is sold: it delivers applications to the device through the carrier's or manufacturer's own setup flow, presents news, weather and sports inside the native device experience, and includes SingleTap, which installs an application in one touch without the user going to an app store. App Growth Platform is an advertising business: a demand-side platform and an offer wall that app developers and brands buy campaigns through, and an exchange that lets app publishers sell their advertising inventory by real-time auction.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16
C02עובדהhigh confidence
On Device Solutions was $109,996 thousand of the June 2026 quarter's revenue and App Growth Platform $56,596 thousand, before $609 thousand of intersegment elimination - 66% and 34% of the $165,983 thousand total. Segment profit, which is revenue less revenue share and nothing else, was $49,865 thousand for On Device Solutions and $45,070 thousand for App Growth Platform: 45.3% and 79.6% of each segment's own revenue.
historical · the quarter ended 30 June 2026written 2026-09-16
C20עובדהhigh confidence
AppLovin, which Digital Turbine's own annual report names as a competitor in both of its segments, filed revenue of $5,480,717 thousand and income from operations of $4,151,914 thousand for 2025 - a 76% operating margin, 9.7 times Digital Turbine's revenue and 122 times its fiscal 2026 operating profit. It sells MAX, described in its own filing as an in-app bidding solution running a single unbiased real-time competitive auction for publishers' inventory, which is the job the DT Exchange does. Its annual report contains no mention of on-device, preload or carrier distribution.
historical · fiscal year 2025written 2026-09-16
C34עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine's competitive position is described by its own annual report as a highly competitive and fragmented mobile app ecosystem. It names Google Play as the primary competitor for On Device Solutions, Facebook, Snapchat, Unity Software, InMobi, Magnite and AppLovin more broadly, AppLovin, Unity Software and Liftoff for App Growth Platform, and The Trade Desk, AT&T, Google and Adobe among demand-side platforms - while noting that the more material competition is internally-developed operator solutions and media distribution built in-house by manufacturers and carriers.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16

האיום

Google. הדוח השנתי של החברה עצמה מציין את Google Play כמתחרה העיקרית בתוכנה לטלפונים. מאז 22 ביולי 2026 Google מאפשרת לחנויות אפליקציות מתחרות להגיע למשתמשי Android מתוך Play, כך שחנות מתחרה מותקנת עכשיו כמו כל אפליקציה אחרת, בלי הסכם עם חברת סלולר ובלי שום דבר שמוטמע בטלפון. זה מבטל את הקושי שהמוצר הזה קיים כדי לפתור.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 3 טענות
C16עובדהhigh confidence
Google's own developer documentation states that its Play Catalog Access program was in effect as of 22 July 2026, that third-party United States Android app stores could sign up for it, and that from 15 July 2026 such stores could begin onboarding into the Third-party App Store on Play Program. It also states that from 22 June 2026 Google notified developers that unless they opted out by 22 July, Google Play would begin to provide their app listings to third-party United States Android app stores. The remedy is therefore being delivered inside Google Play - rival stores distributed from it, and its catalogue opened to them - rather than by making installation outside Play easier.
current state · 2026-07-22written 2026-09-16
C17הסקהmedium confidence
The event the market is paying for cuts both ways, and the filings say which way more clearly than the narrative does. Digital Turbine's on-device channel is worth what the friction of installing outside Google Play is worth. The Epic remedy reduces that friction inside Play: a rival store now arrives the way any other application does. More alternative stores existing is demand for Digital Turbine; alternative stores being reachable from Play is competition for the one thing its channel uniquely sold.
against this

The chief executive's reading is the opposite and it is not unreasonable: more app stores means more parties needing distribution and targeting, and Digital Turbine sells to them as customers rather than competing with them. A store listed inside Play still has to acquire users, which is what the demand-side platform and SingleTap are for, and the company reports alternative-application partners ramping. There is also no measured evidence either way yet - the program took effect eight weeks before this thesis and nobody has published enrolment numbers, so the direction of the effect on Digital Turbine's revenue per device is an open question rather than a settled one. What is settled is that the remedy is being delivered inside Play, which is not the remedy the equity story assumes.

current state · 2026-09-16written 2026-09-16
C34עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine's competitive position is described by its own annual report as a highly competitive and fragmented mobile app ecosystem. It names Google Play as the primary competitor for On Device Solutions, Facebook, Snapchat, Unity Software, InMobi, Magnite and AppLovin more broadly, AppLovin, Unity Software and Liftoff for App Growth Platform, and The Trade Desk, AT&T, Google and Adobe among demand-side platforms - while noting that the more material competition is internally-developed operator solutions and media distribution built in-house by manufacturers and carriers.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16

המתחרות: GOOGL, APP, U, ועוד אחת: פרטית, פיתוח פנימי של לקוח או נסחרת בחו״ל.

פירוט המתחרים
סימולמתחרהשלבבסיס להשוואה
GOOGLGoogle, באמצעות תוכנית Play Catalog Accessבסיס להשוואה: מוצר שונהכבר נמכרמוצר שונה
APPAppLovin, באמצעות MAX ו-Axonבסיס להשוואה: בתחום אחד בלבדכבר נמכרבתחום אחד בלבד
UUnity Software, באמצעות מערך ironSourceבסיס להשוואה: בתחום אחד בלבדכבר נמכרבתחום אחד בלבד
Samsung ו-Motorola, ובאופן כללי חברות הסלולר שהן לקוחותבסיס להשוואה: נסחרות בחו״לכבר נמכרנסחרת בחו״ל
03

פוטנציאל הצמיחה

גודל ההזדמנות

השוק הוא טלפוני Android שנמכרים בכל שנה, והוא מצטמק. לפי IDC יימכרו ב-2026 קצת יותר ממיליארד סמארטפונים, ירידה של 16.7%, הגדולה ביותר שנרשמה. מכירות Android יורדות ב-24.3%, ובמדינות העניות יותר, שבהן החברה צומחת, הירידה עולה על 20%.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 2 טענות
C14עובדהhigh confidence
IDC forecasts that worldwide smartphone shipments will fall 16.7% in 2026 to just over 1 billion units, the steepest annual contraction the industry has recorded, driven by memory prices. Android bears almost the entire decline, falling 24.3% in 2026, while iOS share rises almost four percentage points to a record 23.6%. Emerging markets are expected to drop over 20%, and the average selling price to reach $581, up 27.6% in a single year.
forwardwritten 2026-09-16
C19טענת ההנהלהmedium confidence
On the August 2026 call management stated that international On Device Solutions revenue grew nearly 80% year over year, that global devices grew double digits while international revenue per device grew more than 40%, that direct brand advertising grew over 70% and the DT Exchange over 40%, that net leverage stood at 2.5 turns against more than 5 a year earlier, and that nearly 3 billion devices and more than 80,000 applications carry the technology. Not one of these figures appears in any filing.
against this

Four things argue against taking these at face value. None has a filed home, so none can be checked against a statement - which is the point of recording them as management claims. The one that carries most weight in the argument, international revenue for each device up more than 40%, is given as a rate with no level beneath it, so it cannot be reconciled to the $109,996 thousand of segment revenue that is filed. The 'nearly 3 billion devices' is cumulative rather than a period figure and is not comparable to IDC's annual shipment count. And this management's numbers had to be corrected once the day after this call. Against that: the figures that CAN be checked reconcile - segment revenue, segment profit, the leverage arithmetic and revenue for each employee all agree with the filings and the headcount series - so the record on the checkable ones is clean.

historical · the quarter ended 30 June 2026written 2026-09-16

מי כבר התחייב

כמעט שום דבר אינו מחויב. הזכייה החדשה הגדולה ביותר, חברת הסלולר Orange במאי 2026, אינה קובעת מספר טלפונים, תשלום מינימלי או תקופה, ואף הסכם לא הוגש לדיווח רשמי.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 1 טענה
C18עובדהhigh confidence
The Orange agreement announced on 19 May 2026 - the largest new distribution win in the story management tells, and the one analysts asked about - discloses no volume, no term, no revenue commitment and no device count. The release says only that rollout is expected to begin in the second half of 2026 and gradually expand across devices and countries in Europe. No agreement has been filed.
current state · 2026-05-19written 2026-09-16
04

התוצאות

המספרים

היא צומחת?בקצב יציב

המכירות גדלו ב-19% ב-12 החודשים שהסתיימו ביוני 2026, בערך בקצב של 15% בשנה שהסתיימה במרץ 2026.

Mar 2022: $748MMar 2023: $666MMar 2024: $544MMar 2025: $491MMar 2026: $565M12 mo to Jun 2026: $600M$748M$600M
היא רווחית?כן

שיעור הרווח התפעולי הוא 10%, לעומת ‎-69% בשנה שהסתיימה במרץ 2024.

Mar 2022: 12%Mar 2023: 6.9%Mar 2024: −69%Mar 2025: −11%Mar 2026: 6.0%12 mo to Jun 2026: 10%12%10%
הצמיחה משתלמת?משתלמת

ההוצאות התפעוליות לוקחות 47 סנט מכל דולר מכירות, לעומת 38 סנט בשנה שהסתיימה במרץ 2022.

Mar 2022: 38¢Mar 2023: 47¢Mar 2024: 121¢Mar 2025: 63¢Mar 2026: 51¢12 mo to Jun 2026: 47¢38¢47¢
התשואה על ההון גבוהה?נמוכה מאוד

התשואה על ההון העצמי ירדה ל-‎-20%, מ-11% בשנה שהסתיימה במרץ 2022.

Mar 2022: 11%Mar 2023: 3.0%Mar 2024: −103%Mar 2025: −49%Mar 2026: −21%12 mo to Jun 2026: −20%11%−20%
היא מייצרת מזומנים?כן

העסק ייצר 50.9 מיליון דולר תזרים מפעילות שוטפת, 8.5% מהמכירות, לפני השקעות הוניות, שהחברה אינה מתייגת בדוחות.

Mar 2022: $84.7MMar 2023: $113MMar 2024: $28.7MMar 2025: $11.9MMar 2026: $41.8M12 mo to Jun 2026: $50.9M$84.7M$50.9M
המאזן איתן?מתוח

החוב שלה גבוה ב-310 מיליון דולר מהמזומנים שבידיה, כ-6.1 שנים של המזומנים שהפעילות מייצרת.

Mar 2022: −$407MMar 2023: −$335MMar 2024: −$351MMar 2025: −$369MMar 2026: −$323M12 mo to Jun 2026: −$310M−$407M−$310M
בעלי המניות מדוללים?כן

מספר המניות עלה ב-18% ב-4.3 שנים, ותגמול מבוסס מניות עולה לחברה 2.1% מהמכירות.

Mar 2022: 103MMar 2023: 102MMar 2024: 101MMar 2025: 104MMar 2026: 113M12 mo to Jun 2026: 121M103M121M
כל המספרים

נתונים מדוחות ה-10-K וה-10-Q של החברה, נכון ל-4 באוקטובר 2026. שנת הכספים של החברה מסתיימת במרץ.

מרץ 2022מרץ 2023מרץ 2024מרץ 2025מרץ 202612 חודשים עד יוני 2026
גודל וצמיחה
מכירות$748M$666M$544M$491M$565M$600M
צמיחת המכירות+138%−11%−18%−9.9%+15%+19%
רווח
שיעור הרווח הגולמי50%54%52%52%57%57%
שיעור הרווח התפעולי12%6.9%−69%−11%6.0%10%
שיעור הרווח הנקי4.8%2.5%−77%−19%−6.7%−5.8%
עלות הצמיחה, לכל דולר מכירות
מחקר ופיתוח7.1%8.5%9.9%8.0%7.2%6.8%
מכירות ושיווק8.5%9.5%11%13%10%10.0%
הנהלה וכלליות19%23%31%35%25%22%
תגמול מבוסס מניות2.6%4.6%6.2%6.8%2.9%2.1%
השקעות הוניות--4.5%5.6%5.4%-
מזומנים
תזרים מפעילות שוטפת$84.7M$113M$28.7M$11.9M$41.8M$50.9M
תזרים מזומנים חופשי--$4.40M−$15.6M$11.2M-
מאזן
מזומנים והשקעות לזמן קצר$127M$75.1M$32.9M$39.4M$37.7M$42.9M
חוב$533M$411M$383M$409M$361M$353M
מזומן נטו−$407M−$335M−$351M−$369M−$323M−$310M
תשואות ומניות
תשואה על ההון המושקע12%3.4%----
מספר המניות (בדילול מלא)103M102M101M104M113M121M

עלות הצמיחה

בשנתיים האחרונות עלה פחות לרכוש כל דולר מכירות: הוצאות המשרד וההנהלה, פיתוח המוצרים, השיווק והתגמול במניות ירדו כולם כשיעור מהמכירות. חלק גדול מזה נבע מקיצוץ בכוח אדם, שלא יחזור על עצמו, והנתח שמועבר לחברות הסלולר גדל עם כל מכירה.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 3 טענות
C37עובדהhigh confidence
Per sales dollar, general and administrative cost fell from 35.4 cents in fiscal 2025 to 25.1 in fiscal 2026 and 22.0 over the four quarters to June 2026, product development from 8.0 to 7.2 and 6.8, sales and marketing from 12.6 to 10.3 and 10.0, and stock pay from 6.8 to 2.9 and 2.1, while revenue less revenue share rose from 52.0 to 56.9 and 57.3 cents. In fiscal 2021, before the acquisitions, general and administrative cost was 10.8 cents.
against this

The improvement is from cutting costs as much as from growth: general and administrative dollars fell from $173,647 thousand to $142,124 thousand after two reductions in force (C32), a saving that does not repeat. Against fiscal 2021, before the 2021 acquisitions, every one of these lines is still a larger share of sales.

historical · fiscal 2021 to the four quarters to June 2026written 2026-10-04
C32עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine employed 620 people at the fiscal 2026 year end, 4.2% fewer than a year earlier, after a transformation programme that ran two reductions in force in November 2024 and January 2025 and completed in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. Revenue for each employee reached $911,695 against $464,292 in 2018, a rise of 96% over eight years, on a headcount series every row of which names the annual report it came from.
current state · 2026-03-31written 2026-09-16
C04עובדהhigh confidence
In the fiscal year ended 31 March 2026 Digital Turbine earned $34,042 thousand of income from operations on $565,251 thousand of net revenue, and paid $58,580 thousand of net interest expense. Interest was 1.72 times operating profit. A further $9,795 thousand went on loss on extinguishment of debt, and the year ended in a loss before income taxes of $31,340 thousand, an income tax expense of $6,392 thousand struck on that loss, and a net loss of $37,732 thousand.
historical · fiscal year ended 31 March 2026written 2026-09-16

הדוח האחרון (4 באוגוסט)

הרבעון שהסתיים ביוני 2026, לפי הדוחות.

27%
צמיחת המכירות
לעומת הרבעון המקביל אשתקד
16.4%
צמיחה לעומת הרבעון הקודם
לעומת ‎-5.8% ברבעון שלפני כן
14¢
רווח תפעולי
לכל דולר מכירות

במבט ראשון, הרבעון הראשון של שנת הכספים 2027, שהסתיים ביוני 2026, היה הפנייה שהמשקיעים חיכו לה: המכירות עלו ב-26.8% והרווח התפעולי היה 23.1 מיליון דולר, לעומת הפסד ברבעון המקביל אשתקד. אבל 58% מהצמיחה הגיעו משליש המכרזים, הפעילות שאין לה עמדה מוגנת.

מתחת לשורת הרווח התפעולי החברה עדיין הפסידה. הריבית לקחה 12.9 מיליון דולר והרבעון הסתיים בהפסד של 11.3 מיליון דולר. הרווח של 42.5 מיליון דולר שהחברה מציגה בראש הדוח מתקבל אחרי שמוסיפים בחזרה סכום של פי 4.7 מההפסד, כולל הריבית.

מה זה אומר על התזההתוצאות הראו שהמפנה אמיתי ברמה התפעולית, אבל עדיין לא עבור בעלי המניות: הריבית עדיין דחפה את החברה להפסד, והרווח שהיא מציגה מוסיף בחזרה הרבה יותר מההפסד הזה. רוב הצמיחה הגיעה מעסק המכרזים, שמוגן פחות, וזה תומך בציון לא אטרקטיבית.

הרבעון בפירוט

צמיחת המכירות לעומת הרבעון הקודם, לפי הדוחות.

רווח למניה $0.19 לעומת $0.14 צפוי; $-0.09 לפי הדוחות, והפער הוא הסעיפים שהחברה מנטרלת.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 4 טענות
C13הסקהhigh confidence
The raised fiscal 2027 guidance implies revenue growth over the remaining nine months of 11.4% to 16.0%, against the 26.8% delivered in the June quarter, and adjusted EBITDA growth of 5.2% to 15.5% against the 69% delivered. Management raised the number and the raise still embeds the growth that drove the re-rating roughly halving from here.
against this

Guidance is a floor a management team chooses, not a forecast it believes, and this one has already been raised once in the same fiscal year - so the honest reading is that the company is guiding conservatively after one strong quarter rather than signalling a slowdown it can see. The comparison base also hardens through the year: the fiscal 2026 quarters the guide is measured against grew 18.2%, 12.4% and 19.6%, against a first quarter that grew nothing measurable because the year-ago figure is not given, so some deceleration in the growth RATE is arithmetic rather than deterioration. What survives both points is that the company's own published range does not extrapolate the June quarter, and the price has.

forwardwritten 2026-09-16
C05עובדהhigh confidence
In the June 2026 quarter income from operations was $23,061 thousand against a loss of $4,661 thousand a year earlier, and net interest expense was $12,890 thousand. Below that sat a $10,799 thousand unrealized loss on derivatives - the remeasurement of the warrants issued to the lenders, which grows as the share price rises - and $9,094 thousand of other expense, of which $9,281 thousand was a non-cash write-down of a non-marketable strategic equity investment. The quarter ended in a net loss of $11,329 thousand, or $0.09 a share.
historical · the quarter ended 30 June 2026written 2026-09-16
C03עובדהhigh confidence
App Growth Platform revenue grew 55.9% in the June 2026 quarter and On Device Solutions 15.2%, so the faster-growing third of the company supplied $20,304 thousand of the $35,057 thousand of growth - 58% of it. The filing attributes the App Growth Platform increase primarily to improved performance in the Asia Pacific and China regions, of which $14,342 thousand was advertising exchange revenue from continued onboarding of new publishers and demand partners and $5,962 thousand was brand and performance advertising.
against this

The mix reading cuts against the thesis as well as for it. App Growth Platform earns 79.6% of its revenue after revenue share against On Device Solutions' 45.3%, so the shift toward it raised the company's non-GAAP gross margin from 47.3% to 49.4% - real operating leverage, not an accounting effect. And the chief executive's account of the brand business, up over 70%, describes demand won from holding companies and named advertisers rather than from adding cheap supply. The concern is what the exchange half is: publisher supply added in Asia Pacific and China is the part of advertising technology with the lowest barriers, and the filing itself names onboarding rather than pricing as the driver.

historical · the quarter ended 30 June 2026written 2026-09-16
C10עובדהhigh confidence
Adjusted EBITDA of $42.5 million in the June 2026 quarter is built from a filed net loss of $11,329 thousand by adding back $53.8 million: depreciation and amortisation of $16,805 thousand, net interest expense of $12,890 thousand, the unrealized derivative loss of $10,799 thousand, other expense of $9,094 thousand, income tax expense of $2,288 thousand, stock-based compensation of $2,448 thousand and severance of $156 thousand, less a $681 thousand foreign exchange gain. The add-backs are 4.7 times the loss they are added to, and the largest cash item among them, the interest, is a contractual obligation rather than a one-off.
historical · the quarter ended 30 June 2026written 2026-09-16
לאן הלך הכסף

מספר המניות גדל ב-13.5% בשנת הכספים 2026, והכסף הלך לפירעון חוב למלווה ולא לעסק. סמנכ״ל הכספים התפטר במאי, ויעדי הבונוס החדשים נמדדים לפני ריבית.

בעלי עניין ברבעון השני של 2026: 1 רכישות ו-6 מכירות, לפי דיווחי Form 4 שלהם.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 4 טענות
C08עובדהhigh confidence
Shares outstanding rose from 105,977,642 at 31 March 2025 to 120,315,203 at 31 March 2026, an increase of 13.5% in one fiscal year, and to 120,936,038 at the 1 July 2026 record date. The 10-Q states that a term loan tranche of $55,000 thousand was repaid in full using proceeds from the company's At-the-Market equity sales offering, which was subsequently terminated. On 25 August 2026 stockholders approved raising the 2020 Equity Incentive Plan pool by 10,630,000 shares, from 20,560,000 to 31,190,000 - an addition equal to 8.8% of the shares then outstanding.
current state · 2026-07-01written 2026-09-16
C35הסקהhigh confidence
The company thesis and the shareholder thesis are not the same thesis here. Revenue grew 15.2% in fiscal 2026 and revenue for each share grew 5.4%, because the share count grew 13.5%. The equity raised in that year went to the lender by contract rather than into the business, and from fiscal 2027 half of any excess cash flow is contractually the lender's before a shareholder sees it.
against this

The dilution has stopped for now and the reason it happened is defensible. The At-the-Market programme was terminated, shares outstanding rose only 0.5% in the June quarter, and what the equity bought was a cut in gross debt from $430,000 thousand borrowed to $387,800 thousand outstanding and a fall in net leverage management puts at more than five turns to 2.5 - a genuine transfer of value from lender to shareholder at the cost of ownership. Stock-based compensation is also modest at $2,448 thousand in the quarter, well below the growth rate. The open item is the 10,630,000-share pool increase approved in August and the refinancing the 10-Q names as the principal cash requirement of the coming year, neither of which has yet had its per-share cost set.

current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16
C28עובדהhigh confidence
Chief Financial Officer Steve Lasher resigned on 22 May 2026, four days before the annual report was filed, and Chief Accounting Officer Josh Kinsell was appointed interim Chief Financial Officer from 1 June while the company engaged a search firm. He still held both roles when the August results release had to be corrected. At the annual meeting on 25 August 2026 the advisory vote on executive compensation passed with 37,927,832 shares for and 26,468,367 against - 58.9% support.
current state · 2026-08-25written 2026-09-16
C29עובדהhigh confidence
The fiscal 2027 long-term incentive awards granted to the four named executive officers on 2 September 2026 are half time-based units and half performance units, and the performance units vest on four equally weighted goals: adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2028, adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2029, and two measures of relative total shareholder return. Management is paid on the measure that is struck above the interest bill.
current state · 2026-09-02written 2026-09-16
05

המחיר, ואיפה אנחנו חלוקים על השוק

בקצרה. מלא. המחיר מגלם מפנה שצריך להמשיך הרבה מעבר לתחזית של Digital Turbine עצמה, והמלווים מקבלים את שלהם לפני שבעלי המניות רואים משהו.

מחיר המניה
$11.11
שער סגירה,
מכפיל ה-EBITDA (שווי החברה ביחס לרווח התזרימי)
18.8
המכפיל המקובל בשש השנים האחרונות: 19.2
מכפיל המכירות
2.2
המכפיל המקובל בשש השנים האחרונות: 1.2

המניה עלתה מ-2.88 דולר במרץ ל-11.11 דולר בספטמבר. 84% מהעלייה בשישה החודשים האחרונים נבעו מכך שהקונים שילמו יותר על כל דולר מכירות, ולא מצמיחה במכירות.

המבחן יגיע ב-3 בנובמבר עם תוצאות הרבעון שהסתיים בספטמבר. גם התחזית שהועלתה, בין 650 ל-670 מיליון דולר לשנה, גוזרת צמיחה של בין 11.4% ל-16.0% בלבד בתשעת החודשים הנותרים, לעומת 26.8% ברבעון יוני.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 3 טענות
C23עובדהhigh confidence
Almost all of the move in Digital Turbine's shares has been re-rating rather than business. Over the 252 sessions to 16 September 2026 the price rose 120.8% while revenue for each share rose 5.4% and the multiple paid on it rose 109.5%, with diluted shares up 13.2%. Over the 126 sessions the price rose 220.9% while revenue for each share rose 12.6% and the multiple rose 185.1%. The shares closed fiscal 2026 at $2.88 and stood at $11.11 on 16 September 2026.
current state · 2026-09-16written 2026-09-16
C12עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine guides fiscal 2027 to revenue of $650 million to $670 million and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $145 million to $155 million, raised on 4 August 2026 from the $630 million to $650 million and $135 million to $145 million issued on 26 May 2026. Fiscal 2026 delivered revenue of $565.3 million and adjusted EBITDA of $122.5 million.
forwardwritten 2026-09-16
C13הסקהhigh confidence
The raised fiscal 2027 guidance implies revenue growth over the remaining nine months of 11.4% to 16.0%, against the 26.8% delivered in the June quarter, and adjusted EBITDA growth of 5.2% to 15.5% against the 69% delivered. Management raised the number and the raise still embeds the growth that drove the re-rating roughly halving from here.
against this

Guidance is a floor a management team chooses, not a forecast it believes, and this one has already been raised once in the same fiscal year - so the honest reading is that the company is guiding conservatively after one strong quarter rather than signalling a slowdown it can see. The comparison base also hardens through the year: the fiscal 2026 quarters the guide is measured against grew 18.2%, 12.4% and 19.6%, against a first quarter that grew nothing measurable because the year-ago figure is not given, so some deceleration in the growth RATE is arithmetic rather than deterioration. What survives both points is that the company's own published range does not extrapolate the June quarter, and the price has.

forwardwritten 2026-09-16
איך לקרוא את המכפיל

מכפיל של כ-27 על הרווח התפעולי של שנה, על שווי החברה כולה, כולל החוב שלה. לפני שבעלי המניות רואים משהו מהרווח הזה, 46 מיליון דולר בשנה הולכים על ריבית.

כדי שהמחיר יהיה הגיוני, הרווח התפעולי צריך להכפיל את עצמו בערך, בזמן שלפי התחזית של החברה עצמה הצמיחה שלה תיחצה בערך מכאן.

גם את ההלוואות שלה, 387.8 מיליון דולר שמועד פירעונן ב-2029 בריבית של 11.2% ו-11.6%, צריך להחליף בהלוואות זולות בהרבה. זה עוד לא קרה.

מול ההיסטוריה שלה. יקרה בהרבה מהמקובל בהיסטוריה של החברה, ביחס לכל דולר מכירות. העסק טוב יותר מבעבר, אבל הוא עדיין מפסיד אחרי ריבית.

הראיות (באנגלית) · 4 טענות
C24הסקהhigh confidence
At $11.11 the market pays about 26.8 times trailing operating profit for the whole enterprise, and $46 million a year of cash interest sits between that operating profit and the shareholder. The price requires operating profit to roughly double before the equity is left with a normal share of what the business earns, on a company whose own guidance implies growth halving from here.
against this

Two readings push back. On enterprise value against EBITDA the frozen pack puts the shares at 18.8 times against a six-year median of 19.2 - cheaper than their own history, not dearer - and on the guided $150 million of adjusted EBITDA the multiple is about 11 times. And operating profit is depressed by acquisition intangible amortisation: $208,485 thousand of intangibles remained at 30 June 2026 and $16,805 thousand of depreciation and amortisation ran through the June quarter alone, so the operating line carries the cost of businesses bought years ago and already impaired. The counter to the counter is that both of those are the point: EBITDA is the metric that removes the interest, and amortisation of what was acquired is exactly what a serial acquirer's valuation frame must keep in.

current state · 2026-09-16written 2026-09-16
C06עובדהhigh confidence
At 30 June 2026 Digital Turbine owed $285,000 thousand on Term loan A at an effective rate of 11.2% and $102,800 thousand on Term loan B at 11.6%, both maturing in August 2029 under a Financing Agreement with Blue Torch Finance LLC, secured on substantially all of the company's assets. Against that sat $42,930 thousand of unrestricted cash. The 10-Q states that the principal cash requirements for the twelve months following the report consist primarily of refinancing certain loan tranches under that agreement.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16
C13הסקהhigh confidence
The raised fiscal 2027 guidance implies revenue growth over the remaining nine months of 11.4% to 16.0%, against the 26.8% delivered in the June quarter, and adjusted EBITDA growth of 5.2% to 15.5% against the 69% delivered. Management raised the number and the raise still embeds the growth that drove the re-rating roughly halving from here.
against this

Guidance is a floor a management team chooses, not a forecast it believes, and this one has already been raised once in the same fiscal year - so the honest reading is that the company is guiding conservatively after one strong quarter rather than signalling a slowdown it can see. The comparison base also hardens through the year: the fiscal 2026 quarters the guide is measured against grew 18.2%, 12.4% and 19.6%, against a first quarter that grew nothing measurable because the year-ago figure is not given, so some deceleration in the growth RATE is arithmetic rather than deterioration. What survives both points is that the company's own published range does not extrapolate the June quarter, and the price has.

forwardwritten 2026-09-16
C25עובדהhigh confidence
On the ratios the frozen pack computes, the shares stand at 2.24 times trailing revenue against a six-year median of 1.20 for the prior fiscal years, 7.03 times book against a median of 1.93, and 2.75 times revenue on an enterprise basis against a median of 1.85. Enterprise value against EBITDA is the one exception at 18.8 times against a median of 19.2. The free cash flow yield is 1.6% against a median of 0.5%.
current state · 2026-09-16written 2026-09-16
המכפיל מול המתחרים

אף אחת מהמתחרות שלעיל אינה מוכרת את אותו מוצר לאותם לקוחות כחלק משמעותי מפעילותה. השוואת מחירים דורשת לפחות שתיים, ולכן המחיר נבחן מול ההיסטוריה של החברה עצמה.

איפה אנחנו חלוקים על השוק

השוק חושב

המניה שמאפשרת להשקיע בפתיחת Android לחנויות אפליקציות מתחרות, כשהצמיחה השנה מוכיחה שהמפנה הגיע.

אנחנו חושבים

הסעד השיפוטי מגיע בתוך Google Play, וזה מבטל את הקושי שהמוצר של החברה מוכר פתרון לו.

השוק כבר האמין בסיפור הזה: במרץ 2021 המניה הגיעה ל-102.56 דולר על רקע הרעיון שחנויות האפליקציות ייאלצו להיפתח. אחר כך המכירות ירדו שלוש שנים ברציפות, ובנובמבר 2024 המניה עמדה על 1.18 דולר.

הטיעון נגדנו אמיתי. הפעם הצמיחה היא של החברה עצמה ולא נרכשה, העלויות קוצצו, והסעד השיפוטי אכן נכנס לתוקף. עוד שני רבעונים שבהם המכירות לכל טלפון גדלות ביותר מ-40% יוכיחו שטעינו.

מה אומרים האנליסטים
המלצות חיוביות
100%
מתוך 3, 1 בספטמבר
לפני ארבעה חודשים
67%
מתוך 3, 1 במאי
הראיות (באנגלית) · 5 טענות
C22עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine has run this cycle before. Revenue reached $747,596 thousand in fiscal 2022, up 138.4% on the AdColony and Fyber acquisitions, then fell for three consecutive years - 10.9%, 18.2% and 9.9% - to $490,506 thousand in fiscal 2025. A goodwill impairment of $336,640 thousand was recorded in fiscal 2024. The shares reached $102.56 on 2 March 2021 and traded at $1.18 on 19 November 2024, a fall of 98.8%.
historical · fiscal 2022 to fiscal 2025written 2026-09-16
C23עובדהhigh confidence
Almost all of the move in Digital Turbine's shares has been re-rating rather than business. Over the 252 sessions to 16 September 2026 the price rose 120.8% while revenue for each share rose 5.4% and the multiple paid on it rose 109.5%, with diluted shares up 13.2%. Over the 126 sessions the price rose 220.9% while revenue for each share rose 12.6% and the multiple rose 185.1%. The shares closed fiscal 2026 at $2.88 and stood at $11.11 on 16 September 2026.
current state · 2026-09-16written 2026-09-16
C16עובדהhigh confidence
Google's own developer documentation states that its Play Catalog Access program was in effect as of 22 July 2026, that third-party United States Android app stores could sign up for it, and that from 15 July 2026 such stores could begin onboarding into the Third-party App Store on Play Program. It also states that from 22 June 2026 Google notified developers that unless they opted out by 22 July, Google Play would begin to provide their app listings to third-party United States Android app stores. The remedy is therefore being delivered inside Google Play - rival stores distributed from it, and its catalogue opened to them - rather than by making installation outside Play easier.
current state · 2026-07-22written 2026-09-16
C17הסקהmedium confidence
The event the market is paying for cuts both ways, and the filings say which way more clearly than the narrative does. Digital Turbine's on-device channel is worth what the friction of installing outside Google Play is worth. The Epic remedy reduces that friction inside Play: a rival store now arrives the way any other application does. More alternative stores existing is demand for Digital Turbine; alternative stores being reachable from Play is competition for the one thing its channel uniquely sold.
against this

The chief executive's reading is the opposite and it is not unreasonable: more app stores means more parties needing distribution and targeting, and Digital Turbine sells to them as customers rather than competing with them. A store listed inside Play still has to acquire users, which is what the demand-side platform and SingleTap are for, and the company reports alternative-application partners ramping. There is also no measured evidence either way yet - the program took effect eight weeks before this thesis and nobody has published enrolment numbers, so the direction of the effect on Digital Turbine's revenue per device is an open question rather than a settled one. What is settled is that the remedy is being delivered inside Play, which is not the remedy the equity story assumes.

current state · 2026-09-16written 2026-09-16
C19טענת ההנהלהmedium confidence
On the August 2026 call management stated that international On Device Solutions revenue grew nearly 80% year over year, that global devices grew double digits while international revenue per device grew more than 40%, that direct brand advertising grew over 70% and the DT Exchange over 40%, that net leverage stood at 2.5 turns against more than 5 a year earlier, and that nearly 3 billion devices and more than 80,000 applications carry the technology. Not one of these figures appears in any filing.
against this

Four things argue against taking these at face value. None has a filed home, so none can be checked against a statement - which is the point of recording them as management claims. The one that carries most weight in the argument, international revenue for each device up more than 40%, is given as a rate with no level beneath it, so it cannot be reconciled to the $109,996 thousand of segment revenue that is filed. The 'nearly 3 billion devices' is cumulative rather than a period figure and is not comparable to IDC's annual shipment count. And this management's numbers had to be corrected once the day after this call. Against that: the figures that CAN be checked reconcile - segment revenue, segment profit, the leverage arithmetic and revenue for each employee all agree with the filings and the headcount series - so the record on the checkable ones is clean.

historical · the quarter ended 30 June 2026written 2026-09-16
06

מה יכול להשתבש, ואיך נדע

הסיכונים

  • המלווה בא קודם. הריבית הייתה פי 1.72 מהרווח התפעולי בשנה שעברה, ומהשנה הזאת מחצית מכל מזומן עודף הולכת למלווה לפי החוזה.
  • שוק טלפונים מצטמצם. כשמשלוחי Android יורדים ברבע, כל טלפון חדש שהחברה נכנסת אליו צריך להילקח ממישהו אחר.
  • חברות סלולר שבונות בעצמן. הדוח השנתי שלה קובע שהתחרות הגדולה יותר היא מצד חברות סלולר ויצרניות מכשירים שכותבות את התוכנה הזאת בעצמן.
  • דיווח רעוע. ההפסד ברבעון יוני הוכרז כ-3.2 מיליון דולר ותוקן למחרת ל-11.3 מיליון דולר, ובחברה סמנכ״ל כספים זמני.
הראיות (באנגלית) · 7 טענות
C04עובדהhigh confidence
In the fiscal year ended 31 March 2026 Digital Turbine earned $34,042 thousand of income from operations on $565,251 thousand of net revenue, and paid $58,580 thousand of net interest expense. Interest was 1.72 times operating profit. A further $9,795 thousand went on loss on extinguishment of debt, and the year ended in a loss before income taxes of $31,340 thousand, an income tax expense of $6,392 thousand struck on that loss, and a net loss of $37,732 thousand.
historical · fiscal year ended 31 March 2026written 2026-09-16
C07עובדהhigh confidence
On 20 April 2026 the company amended the Financing Agreement to cut the minimum liquidity covenant for the period from 1 April to 31 December 2026 from $20,000 thousand to $15,000 thousand, paying a $5,000 thousand amendment fee that was capitalised into the debt discount, limiting remaining exit fees to $1,350 thousand and future duration fees to $5,000 thousand. The agreement requires mandatory prepayment of proceeds raised from equity issuances and, beginning in fiscal year 2027, of 50% of any excess cash flow.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16
C14עובדהhigh confidence
IDC forecasts that worldwide smartphone shipments will fall 16.7% in 2026 to just over 1 billion units, the steepest annual contraction the industry has recorded, driven by memory prices. Android bears almost the entire decline, falling 24.3% in 2026, while iOS share rises almost four percentage points to a record 23.6%. Emerging markets are expected to drop over 20%, and the average selling price to reach $581, up 27.6% in a single year.
forwardwritten 2026-09-16
C15הסקהmedium confidence
Digital Turbine's device growth is share, not market. Its addressable base - Android handsets, and disproportionately those sold in emerging markets - is contracting about a quarter this year on IDC's count, while the company reports device growth in the low-to-mid teens. Every unit of that growth has to come from carriers and manufacturers it did not previously have, or from more screens inside handsets it already reaches.
against this

Share taken from a shrinking base is still revenue, and there is a real mechanism behind it: the Orange agreement, the Motorola and Samsung volumes management named, and the chief executive's point that a higher average selling price is what funds the advertising inventory in the first place. Rising device prices can raise revenue per device even as units fall, which is exactly what the company reports. Two things blunt the counter. IDC has iOS gaining share as Android falls, and iOS is a base Digital Turbine cannot enter at all. And share gains are finite and lumpy in a way a growing market is not: there is a fixed number of large carriers and handset makers, each is won once, and the company does not disclose how many it has or how many are left.

current state · 2026-08-26written 2026-09-16
C34עובדהhigh confidence
Digital Turbine's competitive position is described by its own annual report as a highly competitive and fragmented mobile app ecosystem. It names Google Play as the primary competitor for On Device Solutions, Facebook, Snapchat, Unity Software, InMobi, Magnite and AppLovin more broadly, AppLovin, Unity Software and Liftoff for App Growth Platform, and The Trade Desk, AT&T, Google and Adobe among demand-side platforms - while noting that the more material competition is internally-developed operator solutions and media distribution built in-house by manufacturers and carriers.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16
C09עובדהhigh confidence
The results release Digital Turbine furnished on 4 August 2026 headlined "First Quarter GAAP Net Loss of $3.2 Million and GAAP EPS of $(0.03)". The 10-Q filed the next day reported a net loss of $11,329 thousand and $(0.09) a share. The whole difference sits in one line: other expense, net, restated from $(921) thousand to $(9,094) thousand. The company furnished an amended release on 5 August whose stated sole purpose was to correct the original, and the chief financial officer had warned on the call that a non-cash adjustment was still being finalised.
against this

Three things argue the other way. The chief financial officer flagged the adjustment on the call itself rather than leaving it to be discovered, so the disclosure was voluntary and same-day. The whole item is non-cash and touched neither the adjusted EBITDA of $42.5 million the market actually trades this company on nor, the 8-K/A states, the reported cash flows or compliance with debt covenants. And the correction the amendment describes - an $8,173 thousand liability wrongly assumed in a prior business combination - makes the balance sheet better rather than worse, since it reduced liabilities and raised stockholders' equity. What it does not explain away is that the GAAP headline the market saw on print day was understated by a factor of 3.6 and that no analyst on the call asked about it.

historical · 4 to 5 August 2026written 2026-09-16
C28עובדהhigh confidence
Chief Financial Officer Steve Lasher resigned on 22 May 2026, four days before the annual report was filed, and Chief Accounting Officer Josh Kinsell was appointed interim Chief Financial Officer from 1 June while the company engaged a search firm. He still held both roles when the August results release had to be corrected. At the annual meeting on 25 August 2026 the advisory vote on executive compensation passed with 37,927,832 shares for and 26,468,367 against - 58.9% support.
current state · 2026-08-25written 2026-09-16
שאלות פתוחות
  • כמה מרוויחה החברה מטלפון אחד בשנה. היא מדווחת באיזה קצב זה גדל, אבל לא את הסכום.
  • כמה חנויות אפליקציות מתחרות הצטרפו לתוכנית של Google מאז יולי. איש לא פרסם את הנתון הזה.
  • מתי ובאילו תנאים ימומנו מחדש ההלוואות שמועד פירעונן ב-2029.
הראיות (באנגלית) · 3 טענות
C19טענת ההנהלהmedium confidence
On the August 2026 call management stated that international On Device Solutions revenue grew nearly 80% year over year, that global devices grew double digits while international revenue per device grew more than 40%, that direct brand advertising grew over 70% and the DT Exchange over 40%, that net leverage stood at 2.5 turns against more than 5 a year earlier, and that nearly 3 billion devices and more than 80,000 applications carry the technology. Not one of these figures appears in any filing.
against this

Four things argue against taking these at face value. None has a filed home, so none can be checked against a statement - which is the point of recording them as management claims. The one that carries most weight in the argument, international revenue for each device up more than 40%, is given as a rate with no level beneath it, so it cannot be reconciled to the $109,996 thousand of segment revenue that is filed. The 'nearly 3 billion devices' is cumulative rather than a period figure and is not comparable to IDC's annual shipment count. And this management's numbers had to be corrected once the day after this call. Against that: the figures that CAN be checked reconcile - segment revenue, segment profit, the leverage arithmetic and revenue for each employee all agree with the filings and the headcount series - so the record on the checkable ones is clean.

historical · the quarter ended 30 June 2026written 2026-09-16
C16עובדהhigh confidence
Google's own developer documentation states that its Play Catalog Access program was in effect as of 22 July 2026, that third-party United States Android app stores could sign up for it, and that from 15 July 2026 such stores could begin onboarding into the Third-party App Store on Play Program. It also states that from 22 June 2026 Google notified developers that unless they opted out by 22 July, Google Play would begin to provide their app listings to third-party United States Android app stores. The remedy is therefore being delivered inside Google Play - rival stores distributed from it, and its catalogue opened to them - rather than by making installation outside Play easier.
current state · 2026-07-22written 2026-09-16
C06עובדהhigh confidence
At 30 June 2026 Digital Turbine owed $285,000 thousand on Term loan A at an effective rate of 11.2% and $102,800 thousand on Term loan B at 11.6%, both maturing in August 2029 under a Financing Agreement with Blue Torch Finance LLC, secured on substantially all of the company's assets. Against that sat $42,930 thousand of unrestricted cash. The 10-Q states that the principal cash requirements for the twelve months following the report consist primarily of refinancing certain loan tranches under that agreement.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-09-16

מה ישנה את ההערכה שלנו

חוב גבוה מול בסיס שמצטמק הוא השילוב היחיד שאין בו מנגנון תיקון עצמי. קו התוכנה המותקנת מראש אמיתי, אבל היתרון התחרותי שלו הוא הפצה דרך חברות סלולר ויצרניות מכשירים, ועל העמדה הזאת הדוח השנתי של החברה עצמה אומר שהיא מתמודדת עם תחרות מהותית יותר מצד חברות סלולר ויצרניות שבונות את התוכנה בעצמן (C34). מימון מחדש היה משפר את החשבון ולא היה נוגע בבסיס הטלפונים, ובסיס הטלפונים הוא מה שהקו הזה הוא נתח ממנו. זו הייתה הגבולית ביותר מבין שלוש החברות שהועברו לארכיון, והיא זו שהכי סביר שההחלטה לגביה תתהפך.

  1. פותח מחדש את המחקרהחוב נפתר ובסיס הטלפונים מפסיק להצטמצם

    נדרשים כל אלה:

    • ○ההלוואות של 2029 נפרעות או ממומנות מחדש בעלות ריבית נמוכה בהרבה, וכך הרווח התפעולי מגיע לבעלי המניות.במעקב שוטף
    • ○המכירות מהתוכנה בטלפונים גדלות משנה לשנה שני רבעונים ברציפות, בזמן שמשלוחי הטלפונים בעולם מפסיקים לרדת.ייבדק בדוח הבא, עד 3 בנובמבר
נטעה גם אם
  • המכירות לכל טלפון ממשיכות לגדול ביותר מ-40% בעוד שני רבעונים, מהר יותר מהירידה במשלוחי Android.
  • החברה מתחילה לדווח על מכירות מחנויות אפליקציות מתחרות כשורה נפרדת, והשורה הזאת גדלה.
  • צמיחת המכירות בשאר השנה שתסתיים במרץ 2027 נשארת מעל 16.0%, הקצב שהקצה העליון של התחזית גוזר.

מה בהמשך

  • 3 בנובמבר 2026 תוצאות הרבעון השני של שנת הכספים 2027: האם ההכנסה לכל מכשיר ממשיכה לגדול בקרוב ל-40%, האם טווח התחזית לשנה כולה מועלה שוב, והאם אחת מההלוואות לזמן קצוב ממומנת מחדש בעלות נמוכה יותר.
כל האירועים הצפויים
  • 3 בנובמבר 2026 תוצאות הרבעון השני של שנת הכספים 2027: האם ההכנסה לכל מכשיר ממשיכה לגדול בקרוב ל-40%, האם טווח התחזית לשנה כולה מועלה שוב, והאם אחת מההלוואות לזמן קצוב ממומנת מחדש בעלות נמוכה יותר.
  • דצמבר 2026 תחילת ההפצה של Orange באירופה: האם ההסכם החדש הגדול ביותר להפצה מקבל מספר מכשירים, היקף או הכנסה מדווחים, או שהוא נשאר סיפור בלי תנאים.
  • 31 בדצמבר 2026 תום החלון של ההקלה בתניית הנזילות המינימלית ושל הוויתור על עמלה: האם החברה מפרעת מראש את המקטע שנקבע כדי להימנע מעמלות משך, ועומדת שוב מינואר ברצפת הנזילות של 20 מיליון דולר, או שהיא זקוקה להסכם תיקון נוסף בתשלום.
  • פברואר 2027 תוצאות הרבעון השלישי של שנת הכספים 2027, הרבעון החזק ביותר עונתית: האם המחצית השנייה צומחת מהר יותר ממה שהתחזית גוזרת, בין 11.4% ל-16.0%, והאם מונה סמנכ״ל כספים קבוע.
מה קרה מאז
נכתבה
16 בספטמבר
המחיר בעת כתיבת התזה
$11.11
16 בספטמבר
  • 5 באוקטוברבדיקת התזההטיעון בעד ההשקעה מופיע עכשיו מתחת לשורה התחתונהאחרי פיילוט בחמש חברות, הבעלים ביקש להוסיף את הטיעון בעד ההשקעה לכל תזה.
  • 4 באוקטוברבדיקת התזהרשימת הבדיקות של הבעלים: מקורות ההכנסה, עלות הצמיחה, ההנהלה, אירועים צפוייםרשימת הבדיקות של הבעלים הראתה שהשיטה שותקת בשאלות מי מנהל את החברה, כמה עולה הצמיחה, מאיפה מגיע הכסף ואילו אירועים צפויים בתאריכים ידועים. בסבב הזה מילאנו את ארבעת הנושאים מתוך דוח הזימון לאסיפה והדוחות.
  • 26 בספטמברבדיקת התזהמה שיוכיח שטעינו מצביע עכשיו כלפי מעלה. ההערכה לא השתנתהכל אחד מהמבחנים של ההערכה תיאר דרך שבה הטיעון האופטימי נכשל, ולכן יכול היה רק לאשש הערכה שלילית. עכשיו המבחנים מציינים מה יראה שטעינו: מכירות לכל טלפון שגדלות מהר יותר, הלוואה זולה יותר ורווח שמוכפל.
  • 16 בספטמברהתזה נכתבהלא אטרקטיבית, ביטחון בינוניאחרי שהמניה יותר משילשה את מחירה בשישה חודשים בעקבות פסק הדין בעניין חנויות האפליקציות של Google, כשהריבית עדיין גדולה מהרווח התפעולי.

נבדקה גם פעם אחת, ללא ממצא חדש שמצריך פעולה.

מקורות 19

Where this came from

Sources - 19

Every claim above cites one of these, or states the reasoning that derived it. The quote is frozen at the date it was read: a link can rot, and an agent fetch returns a reading of a page rather than the page. Backs counts the whole claim ledger, so it can name a claim this page does not surface.

  1. S1primarycompany filing2026-05-26
    Item 1: the two reportable segments and what sits in each - Application Media and Content Media inside On Device Solutions, Advertising Solutions and Ad Monetization inside App Growth Platform - the Competition section naming Google Play, Facebook, Snapchat, Unity Software, InMobi, Magnite, AppLovin, The Trade Desk, Adobe and Liftoff, and $40,476 thousand of product development cost. Item 1A: the transformation programme completed in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, the carrier-concentration risk factor, the indebtedness risk factors and the $336,640 thousand goodwill impairment recorded in fiscal 2024. Item 7: the fiscal 2026 income statement line by line - net revenue $565,251, revenue share $243,638, income from operations $34,042, interest expense net $58,580, loss on extinguishment of debt $9,795, loss before income taxes $31,340, income tax expense $6,392 - unrestricted cash of $37,719, and the Financing Agreement terms. Item 8: the balance sheet with 120,315,203 shares outstanding against 105,977,642 a year earlier, the revenue-recognition principal-versus-agent policy, and the statement that no single supply partner or customer exceeded 10% of net revenue in fiscal 2026, 2025 or 2024. Item 9B: the resignation of Chief Financial Officer Steve Lasher and the appointment of Chief Accounting Officer Josh Kinsell as interim Chief Financial Officer.
    backsC01C04C07C08C11C17C20C21C22C23C24C25C28C30C32C33C34C35C36C37C38C41
  2. S10primaryindustry data2026-07-22
    The attacker's own account of what the Epic injunction actually requires it to do: third-party United States Android app stores could sign up for the Play Catalog Access program from 22 June 2026, onboarding opened 15 July 2026, and the program took effect on 22 July 2026 - so a rival store is now distributed from inside Google Play rather than around it. Also the 1 October 2026 date from which developers in the external-offers and alternative-billing programmes must report transactions and pay service fees.
    On June 22, 2026, we notified developers that unless they are opted-out by July 22, 2026, Google Play will begin to provide their app listing(s) to third-party US Android app stores. … Additionally, third-party US Android app stores can now sign-up for the Play Catalog Access program. … On July 15, 2026, interested third-party US Android app distribution platforms and app stores can begin onboarding into the Third-party App Store on Play Program. … As of July 22, 2026, this program is now in effect.
    backsC16C17
  3. S11primarycompany release2026-05-19
    The largest new distribution agreement in the story management tells, and what it does not say: Orange will use the SingleTap technology and alternative app distribution platform across Europe, with rollout from the second half of 2026. No contract volume, no term, no revenue commitment and no device count is disclosed.
    AUSTIN, Texas, May 19, 2026 /PRNewswire/ … With rollout expected to begin in H2 2026 and gradually expand across devices and countries in Europe, Orange subscribers across Europe will benefit from customized user journeys on their mobile devices, enabling new app discovery opportunities tailored to their needs and preferences.
    backsC18
  4. S12primarycompany filing2026-02-19
    The scale of the company Digital Turbine's own annual report names as a competitor in both segments, read in that company's filing rather than in Digital Turbine's: MAX, the in-app bidding product that competes directly for the publisher inventory the DT Exchange is winning, and the Axon recommendation engine behind it. Searched for any mention of on-device, preload or carrier distribution and there is none in the document, which answers whether the largest named rival competes in On Device Solutions.
    MAX is our in-app bidding solution that optimizes the value of publishers' advertising inventory by running a single unbiased, real-time competitive auction … Revenue | $ | 5,480,717 … Income from operations | 4,151,914 | 1,910,956 | 772,411
    backsC20
  5. S13primaryvendor data2026-09-16
    Frozen research pack, content/APPS/research-pack.json
    content/APPS/research-pack.json
    Price, market value of $1,343,598,960 and enterprise value of $1,653,255,960 at 16 September 2026; the 20-day average daily range of 5.71%; the decomposition of the price move into the part the business did and the part the market did; the six-year medians of every valuation ratio; the FINRA short-interest settlement; the analyst-consensus series and its disagreement with the snapshot; and the vendor-against-filings cross-check, which agrees to 0.0% on both revenue and operating income.
    backsC23C24C25C26C27C32C35
  6. S14secondaryvendor data2026-09-16
    The peer trajectory the pressure test needed: Unity's revenue rising from $1.391 billion in 2022 to $2.187 billion in 2023 on the ironSource merger and then falling to $1.813 billion in 2024 and $1.850 billion in 2025, against operating losses of $832.8 million, $755.1 million and $422.6 million. AppLovin's revenue of $5.481 billion and operating income of $4.152 billion in 2025. Magnite's revenue of $713.9 million and operating income of $97.8 million in 2025.
    read, but no claim rests on it
  7. S15secondaryvendor data2026-09-16
    The record of the last time this market held this view: a high of $102.56 on 2 March 2021, a low of $1.18 on 19 November 2024, a March 2026 fiscal year-end close of $2.88 and $11.11 at 16 September 2026. The 1,432 sessions the frozen pack's 759 bars cannot reach.
    backsC22C23
  8. S16primarycompany filing2026-02-11
    The filed revenue of the peer that ran this cycle first, read in its own annual report rather than in a vendor re-key: total revenue of $1,849,648 thousand in 2025, $1,813,255 thousand in 2024 and $2,187,317 thousand in 2023. It also splits the advertising half out - Grow Solutions at $1,228,239 thousand in 2025 against $1,328,143 thousand in 2023 - so the part of Unity that matches Digital Turbine's App Growth Platform is measurably smaller two years after the merger that built it.
    Total revenue | $ | 1,849,648 | $ | 1,813,255 | $ | 2,187,317
    backsC21
  9. S17primarycompany filing2026-07-13
    Beneficial ownership at the 1 July 2026 record date, the executive officers and their start dates, the director biography of William G. Stone III, the fiscal 2026 annual incentive design and payouts, the long-term incentive design and the pay-versus-performance table.
    backsC38C39C40C41
  10. S18primarycompany filing2026-09-24
    Michael Akkerman, Chief Business Officer, resigned to take a chief executive role elsewhere, effective 30 October 2026; no successor named and no agreement filed.
    backsC38
  11. S19primarycompany filing2026-10-01
    A universal shelf registration on Form S-3ASR filed 1 October 2026, and a resale prospectus supplement covering 1,222,418 shares issuable on exercise of the warrants issued to the lenders under the Financing Agreement of 29 August 2025; the company receives no proceeds from the resale.
    backsC41
  12. S2primarycompany filing2026-08-05
    The filed first-quarter statements: net revenue $165,983, income from operations $23,061, interest expense net $12,890, unrealized loss on derivatives $10,799, other expense net $9,094, net loss $11,329 and diluted loss per share of $0.09. Note 9 Debt: Term loan A $285,000 at an 11.2% effective rate and Term loan B $102,800 at 11.6%, both due August 2029, the April 2026 amendment cutting the liquidity covenant from $20,000 to $15,000 for a $5,000 fee, and the mandatory prepayment provisions. Note 1: the revision of prior period financial statements for an immaterial error of $8,173 in liabilities assumed in a prior business combination. The segment note giving ODS revenue of $109,996 and segment profit of $49,865 against AGP revenue of $56,596 and segment profit of $45,070. The cash flow statement: $17,859 of operating cash flow, $11,585 of interest paid, $7,506 of income taxes paid, $16,805 of depreciation and amortisation and $2,448 of stock-based compensation. Unrestricted cash of $42,930, and the statement that the principal cash requirements for the next twelve months consist primarily of refinancing certain loan tranches.
    backsC02C03C05C06C07C08C09C10C11C13C15C23C24C25C31C33C34C35C37
  13. S3primarycompany release2026-08-04
    The figures the market traded on the day of the print: a headline reading "First Quarter GAAP Net Loss of $3.2 Million and GAAP EPS of $(0.03)", an income statement showing other expense, net of $(921), loss before income taxes of $(868) and a net loss of $(3,156), and the raised fiscal 2027 outlook of $650 million to $670 million of revenue and $145 million to $155 million of non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA.
    backsC09C12C13
  14. S4primarycompany release2026-08-05
    The explanatory note stating that the sole purpose of the amendment is to correct the original earnings release, and the amended income statement restating other expense, net to $(9,094), loss before income taxes to $(9,041) and the net loss to $(11,329) or $(0.09) a share. The adjusted EBITDA reconciliation, unchanged at $42.5 million, showing the full add-back list: stock-based compensation $2,448, depreciation and amortisation $16,805, interest expense $12,890, other expense $9,094, unrealized loss on derivatives $10,799, income tax expense $2,288, severance $156 and foreign exchange $(681).
    backsC09C10
  15. S5primarycompany release2026-05-26
    Fiscal 2026 full-year figures: revenue $565.3 million, GAAP net loss $37.7 million or $(0.33) a share, non-GAAP adjusted net income $64.9 million or $0.56 a share, and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $122.5 million against $72.3 million in fiscal 2025. The fourth-quarter split - On Device Solutions $91.0 million up 5%, App Growth Platform $52.1 million up 57% - and the first fiscal 2027 outlook, of $630 million to $650 million of revenue and $135 million to $145 million of adjusted EBITDA.
    backsC12C13
  16. S6primarytranscript2026-08-04
    The operating metrics that appear in no filing: international On Device Solutions revenue up nearly 80% year over year, global devices up double digits and revenue per device up more than 40%, direct brand advertising up over 70% and the DT Exchange up over 40%, net leverage of 2.5 turns against more than 5 a year earlier, 80% of DT Exchange advertiser spend from non-gaming partners, nearly 3 billion devices and more than 80,000 apps carrying the technology, and run-rate revenue per employee above $1 million against about $800,000 a year earlier. Also the chief financial officer's statement of a GAAP net loss of $3.2 million and his warning that a non-cash adjustment was still being finalised, the chief executive's reading of the Epic-Google outcome as a tailwind, non-GAAP gross margin of 49.4% against 47.3%, and the whole question section: two analysts, eight turns, no question on the debt, the interest bill, the warrant liability or the pending adjustment.
    backsC03C09C15C17C19C27C30
  17. S7primarycompany filing2026-08-25
    Stockholder approval of a fourth amendment to the 2020 Equity Incentive Plan increasing the authorised pool by 10,630,000 shares from 20,560,000 to 31,190,000, and the say-on-pay vote of 37,927,832 for against 26,468,367 against with 337,470 abstaining. Also 120,936,038 common shares outstanding at the 1 July 2026 record date.
    backsC08C28
  18. S8primarycompany filing2026-09-08
    The 2 September 2026 grants to the four named executive officers, half in performance stock units and half in time-based units, and the performance conditions: four equally weighted goals, two of them adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2028 and fiscal 2029 and two of them relative total shareholder return against the S&P Software & Services Select Industry Index.
    backsC29C40
  19. S9primaryindustry data2026-08-26
    The measured size and direction of the device base On Device Solutions is sold onto, from the firm that counts the shipments rather than from the company that monetises them: a 16.7% decline in 2026 to just over 1 billion units, with Android bearing almost the entire decline at 24.3%, emerging markets expected to drop over 20%, iOS share rising almost four points to a record 23.6%, and the average selling price up 27.6% to $581.
    worldwide smartphone shipments will fall 16.7% in 2026 to just over 1 billion units … Android bears almost the entire decline, falling 24.3% in 2026 … iOS share moves in the opposite direction, increasing almost four percentage points from last year to a record-high 23.6% share … The mass market does not hold up, especially in emerging markets, which are expected to drop over 20% this year … The average selling price of a smartphone will reach $581 in 2026, up 27.6% in a single year
    backsC14C15
נבנה מתוך content/APPS/thesis.json · התזה נבדקה לאחרונה ב-26 בספטמבר 2026. העמוד מסביר את החברה; הוא לא אומר כמה לשלם, מתי לקנות או באיזה היקף. התרגום לעברית נעשה בבינה מלאכותית, והנוסח האנגלי הוא הקובע.