← All thesesMCHPNeutralMedium convictionSaturday 3 October 2026עברית

Microchip Technology Incorporated

Microchip makes the small programmable chips, and the analog chips beside them, that run motors, sensors and controls inside factory machines, cars, aircraft and servers.

Our viewNeutral Medium conviction
The scores
The profile · 1-4
Growth3/4 ↑

Sales up 38% on a year and beating guidance, but the record is four quarters long and rides a restock after two years of decline.

Business quality3/4 →

Design-ins and qualification held its prices through a deep cycle, but half of new designs change chip and Chinese rivals win on price.

Financial position3/4 ↑

Net debt near 2.85 times adjusted EBITDA and falling on strong cash flow; the 2027 convertible put falls inside the horizon but is refinanceable.

Execution record2/4 ↑

Supply agreements helped overstock customers into a 57% sales collapse and a CEO change; two recent beats do not yet undo that pattern.

Per share capture2/4 →

The preferred will land about 23.8M shares, buybacks have stopped, and the dividend was partly debt-funded through the trough.

Potential2/4 →

A bounded upside, back to the 2023 peak, that rests on a cycle customers control; nothing is contracted beyond cancellable orders.

Risk profile3/4 →

Diversified across 101,000 customers; China's analog probe, a Malaysian tax dispute and a 70-year-old CEO with no named successor are survivable.

Valuation2/4 ↓

The price assumes sales back near the 2023 peak by fiscal 2029; if the upturn stalls, price per sales dollar stays above normal.

Evidence quality3/4 →

Sales, debt, shares and inventory are filed; market share, data-centre sales and end markets rest on management or paywalled measurers.

The Verdict

We rate Microchip neutral. Its small programmable and analog chips run motors, sensors and controls inside machines, cars and servers; they are designed into products for years, so customers rarely switch. But reported profit is about half its preferred figure, debt is heavy and there are no buybacks, so the business is mixed. Sales are recovering fast, and the price is full: it already assumes they climb back to the 2023 peak by 2029 with less profit per share, so a stall would hurt. The view hinges on whether the upturn lasts or is just customers restocking.

The long caseMachines, cars and data centres carry more electronics each year; Microchip needs that, not customers simply restocking, to carry sales back to their peak.

The evidence under this - 8 claims
C01facthigh confidence
Microchip sells microcontrollers from 8-bit to 32-bit, analog and power chips, FPGAs, and data-centre chips such as PCIe switches and storage controllers, to about 101,000 customers. Distributors carried 47% of fiscal 2026 sales; Arrow alone was 12% and no other buyer passed 10%.
current state · 2026-03-31written 2026-10-03
C07management claimmedium confidence
The 10-K says average selling prices of its mixed-signal microcontrollers have stayed relatively stable because the products are proprietary, and that most of its analog line is proprietary with similarly stable prices.
against this

GigaDevice cut its average MCU price from RMB 4.13 to RMB 3.82 in 2025 to win share (C45), and TechInsights expected the market's average price to fall to $1.01 (C16).

current state · 2026-03-31written 2026-10-03
C03facthigh confidence
Sales peaked at $8,438.7M in fiscal 2023 and a record $2.233B in the March 2023 quarter, fell to $4,401.6M in fiscal 2025, and bottomed at $970.5M in the March 2025 quarter, down 57% from the record.
historical · FY2023-FY2025written 2026-10-03
C04facthigh confidence
June 2026 quarter sales were $1,484.7M, up 38.0% on a year and 13.2% on the quarter. GAAP gross margin was 63.2%, operating margin 22.7% and EPS $0.37; non-GAAP gross margin 63.8%, operating margin 35.1% and EPS $0.76.
historical · Q1 FY2027written 2026-10-03
C28facthigh confidence
At $81.32 on October 2, 2026 company value was about $49.3B, 9.6 times trailing sales against a six-year median of 7.2 times; the trailing P/E was 112.7 against a median of 28.9.
current state · 2026-10-02written 2026-10-03
C31inferencemedium confidence
The price pays for a full return to peak: company value is about 6.0 times the fiscal 2029 consensus sales of $8.23B, near the 2023 peak, and the price is 15.5 times that year's $5.23 of adjusted EPS, below the $6.02 earned at the last peak.
derivedC28, C30, C03 and C32: company value over consensus sales and the price over consensus EPS, set against the 2023 peak
against this
  • At the 2023 peak the company traded at a similar price, $82.55 in buybacks, on $6.02 of EPS (C32), so 15.5 times a peak that is lower per share is not a stretched multiple.
  • Data-centre and aerospace sales are larger than at the last peak (C09, C40), so the peak mix may be richer.
current state · 2026-10-02written 2026-10-03
C30facthigh confidence
Of 46 rating analysts 32 say buy, 14 hold and none sell; consensus has sales of $6.40B and adjusted earnings of $3.64 a share in fiscal 2027, $7.45B and $4.57 in fiscal 2028, and $8.23B and $5.23 in fiscal 2029 (five analysts).
current state · 2026-10-02written 2026-10-03
C47inferencemedium confidence
Part of the recovery is restocking: distributor inventory sits at 25 days near the low end of its 17 to 43 day range (C08), after customers spent 2024 working off the stock the LTSAs left them with (C12), so sales are running above end demand.
derivedC08, C12, C17 and C39
against this
  • Management says distributor sell-through, sales to end users, rose 17% on the quarter in June, so end demand is growing too (C39).
  • Channel inventory is still near the low end of its range, so the refill has room before it overshoots.
current state · 2026-08-06written 2026-10-03
01

The company

Almost every machine with a motor, a sensor or a button has a small chip inside running it: a microcontroller, a tiny computer with its own memory. Microchip sells thousands of these, from simple 8-bit parts to 32-bit ones, plus the analog chips that measure and manage power beside them.

Half its sales are microcontrollers and 28% analog. Its buyers are about 101,000 makers of factory equipment, cars, aircraft and appliances, nearly half reached through distributors such as Arrow.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C01facthigh confidence
Microchip sells microcontrollers from 8-bit to 32-bit, analog and power chips, FPGAs, and data-centre chips such as PCIe switches and storage controllers, to about 101,000 customers. Distributors carried 47% of fiscal 2026 sales; Arrow alone was 12% and no other buyer passed 10%.
current state · 2026-03-31written 2026-10-03
C02facthigh confidence
In fiscal 2026 mixed-signal microcontrollers were $2,355.4M (50.0% of sales, up 4.7%), analog $1,329.0M (28.2%, up 14.9%) and other products $1,028.7M (21.8%, up 3.4%), a total of $4,713.1M, up 7.1%.
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-03
C46factmedium confidence
AspenCore's survey found 47% of embedded projects kept the previous processor in 2017, mostly for software compatibility (54% of those) and the same tools (48%); by 2023 it found nearly half of projects changed processor.
historical · 2017-2023written 2026-10-03
C48facthigh confidence
A car-grade chip must pass the AEC-Q100 stress tests, including 77 parts from each of three lots in a life test with no failures, plus the carmaker's own approval, and any change that could affect form, fit or function forces requalification.
current state · 2023-08-11written 2026-10-03
C38facthigh confidence
About 35% of sales come from Microchip's own wafer fabs in Gresham, Oregon and Colorado Springs and the rest from foundries; the Tempe fab closed in 2025, expansion is paused, and fiscal 2027 capital spending is guided near $100M.
current state · 2026-05-07written 2026-10-03

How it makes money

A dollar arrives each time a customer's product is built: the chip was chosen years earlier, and every unit made needs one. Most orders can be cancelled, so sales swing with how much stock customers want to hold.

About a third of the chips come from Microchip's own factories, so when they run below capacity profits fall faster than sales. Management's preferred profit figure leaves out about $90M a quarter of costs from past acquisitions.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C01facthigh confidence
Microchip sells microcontrollers from 8-bit to 32-bit, analog and power chips, FPGAs, and data-centre chips such as PCIe switches and storage controllers, to about 101,000 customers. Distributors carried 47% of fiscal 2026 sales; Arrow alone was 12% and no other buyer passed 10%.
current state · 2026-03-31written 2026-10-03
C02facthigh confidence
In fiscal 2026 mixed-signal microcontrollers were $2,355.4M (50.0% of sales, up 4.7%), analog $1,329.0M (28.2%, up 14.9%) and other products $1,028.7M (21.8%, up 3.4%), a total of $4,713.1M, up 7.1%.
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-03
C06facthigh confidence
In the June 2026 quarter non-GAAP net income was $438.6M against $202.0M GAAP to common holders. The gap is mainly $90.0M of acquisition amortisation, $75.0M of share-based pay and a 7.5% non-GAAP tax rate against 20.7% GAAP.
historical · Q1 FY2027written 2026-10-03
C38facthigh confidence
About 35% of sales come from Microchip's own wafer fabs in Gresham, Oregon and Colorado Springs and the rest from foundries; the Tempe fab closed in 2025, expansion is paused, and fiscal 2027 capital spending is guided near $100M.
current state · 2026-05-07written 2026-10-03
C12facthigh confidence
From early 2022 Microchip sold long-term supply agreements promising priority capacity; the 10-K says this and orders outside it left some customers holding excess inventory, and that LTSA customers may cancel orders if prices rise.
current state · 2026-03-31written 2026-10-03
Where the money comes from, stream by stream
StreamShare of sales (FY2026)How it earns it
Mixed-signal microcontrollers50.0%Proprietary 8- to 32-bit microcontrollers and 64-bit microprocessors designed into customers' products and sold mostly through distributors at stable prices.
Analog28.2%Power management, interface, timing and other analog chips, sold largely into the same customers' boards beside the microcontroller.
Other: FPGAs, memory, timing, services18.3%FPGAs, memory, timing systems, foundry and assembly services, legacy custom chips and aerospace products.
Technology licensing3.5%Licence fees and royalties for SuperFlash embedded memory and engineering services, sold to foundries and chipmakers; no cost of sales.

Who runs it

Steve Sanghi ran Microchip for thirty years, stepped back in 2021 and returned in late 2024 to lead the recovery; Eric Bjornholt has been finance chief since 2009. Insiders own under 2%, nearly all of it Sanghi's. His cash bonus rides on sales growth and on adjusted profit margins, his shares on adjusted operating margin; none of it rides on paying down debt or on cash. Shareholders voted down his pay in 2025, then approved a reworked plan.

The evidence under this - 4 claims
C53facthigh confidence
Steve Sanghi was Microchip's chief executive from 1991 to 2021 and has chaired the board since 1993; J. Eric Bjornholt joined in 1995 and has been chief financial officer since January 2009.
historical · 1991-2026written 2026-10-04
C50facthigh confidence
At June 22, 2026 the eleven directors and executive officers owned 9,718,089 shares, 1.79% of the 543,008,370 outstanding; Steve Sanghi held 9,452,437 (1.74%). BlackRock (10.00%), two Vanguard entities (7.48% and 5.98%) and State Street (5.10%) were the holders above 5%. There is one class of common stock.
current state · 2026-06-22written 2026-10-04
C51facthigh confidence
The quarterly cash bonus pays 20% on sequential sales growth, 15% each on non-GAAP gross margin, operating expenses to sales, operating margin and EPS, and 20% at the committee's discretion; the CEO's target is 200% of a $1.0M salary. Long-term PSUs pay on non-GAAP operating margin over twelve quarters and are 60% of the CEO's grants.
against this
  • Every metric is non-GAAP, which excludes share-based pay and acquisition amortisation, and none pays on cash flow, debt repayment or return on capital, though paying down debt is the stated use of cash (C20).
  • Nothing was paid in fiscal 2025, but the discretionary part was paid significantly above its 20% target in the third and fourth quarters of fiscal 2026.
  • Sanghi's interim award was all time-based; the permanent $28.2M award does not begin vesting until May 15, 2028.
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-04
C52facthigh confidence
Only 45.65% of votes cast backed executive pay at the August 2025 annual meeting, the first result below 80% since the vote began in 2011; after outreach and a move to 60% performance-based CEO equity, about 82.6% backed it in August 2026.
historical · 2025-08 to 2026-08written 2026-10-04
02

Why it wins, and who could beat it

Why customers come back

Once an engineer writes a product's software for a Microchip chip, using Microchip's own tools, changing chips means rewriting it. In cars it also means passing the industry's stress tests again, including a life test on 77 chips from each of three batches with no failures.

So a chip already in a product keeps its place and its price. The company says its prices stayed stable, and it raised them broadly in August 2026. The contest is for the next design: about half of new projects do change chips.

The evidence under this - 4 claims
C46factmedium confidence
AspenCore's survey found 47% of embedded projects kept the previous processor in 2017, mostly for software compatibility (54% of those) and the same tools (48%); by 2023 it found nearly half of projects changed processor.
historical · 2017-2023written 2026-10-03
C48facthigh confidence
A car-grade chip must pass the AEC-Q100 stress tests, including 77 parts from each of three lots in a life test with no failures, plus the carmaker's own approval, and any change that could affect form, fit or function forces requalification.
current state · 2023-08-11written 2026-10-03
C07management claimmedium confidence
The 10-K says average selling prices of its mixed-signal microcontrollers have stayed relatively stable because the products are proprietary, and that most of its analog line is proprietary with similarly stable prices.
against this

GigaDevice cut its average MCU price from RMB 4.13 to RMB 3.82 in 2025 to win share (C45), and TechInsights expected the market's average price to fall to $1.01 (C16).

current state · 2026-03-31written 2026-10-03
C11management claimmedium confidence
Management says it raised prices from mid-August 2026, largely across the board though unevenly by product, to recover inflationary costs it had absorbed; it cited a distributor price-reserve release and a strong licensing quarter in the margin guide.
against this

The increase recovers costs rather than raising real prices, and customers under LTSAs may cancel orders when prices rise (C12).

current state · 2026-08-06written 2026-10-03

The threat

Four larger rivals, led by Infineon, outsell it in microcontrollers. Chinese makers such as GigaDevice are growing by cutting prices; GigaDevice sold 22.3% more chips in 2025 at a lower price. In data-centre switches Microchip lost the last generation to Broadcom and Astera Labs, and is now second source.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C14factmedium confidence
Omdia, as reported, put the microcontroller market at $28.0B in 2023, $22.4B in 2024 and about $22.1B in 2025, down 0.3%; Infineon led with 23.2%, followed by NXP, Renesas, STMicroelectronics and Microchip, the five holding about 80%.
historical · 2023-2025written 2026-10-03
C45facthigh confidence
GigaDevice raised MCU revenue 13.0% in 2025 on 22.3% more units, 500.3M, by cutting its average price from RMB 4.13 to RMB 3.82 to win share; it holds 1.2% of the world market and names Infineon, Renesas, NXP and ST as the incumbents.
historical · 2025written 2026-10-03
C10management claimmedium confidence
Management says Microchip led PCIe Gen 2 to Gen 4 but was late on Gen 5 and lost all of that business, now ships Gen 5 as second source, and has 14 Gen 6 design wins with first parts shipping from the end of June 2026.
against this

Astera Labs' 10-K names Microchip as a competitor, and Broadcom sells PCIe switches; neither confirms Microchip's design wins.

current state · 2026-08-06written 2026-10-03

The rivals: STM, NXPI, AVGO, ALAB, TXN, ADI, and 2 more that are private, in-house or listed abroad.

Who else does this, rival by rival
TickerRivalWhere it competesHow far alongPriced against it
STMSTMicroelectronics STM32 microcontrollersPriced against it: YesSemiconductor productsOn saleYes
NXPIInfineon, NXP and Renesas car and industrial microcontrollersPriced against it: YesSemiconductor productsOn saleYes
GigaDevice GD32 and other Chinese Arm and RISC-V microcontrollersPriced against it: Listed abroadSemiconductor productsOn saleListed abroad
Espressif ESP32 and Raspberry Pi RP2040 and RP2350Priced against it: Listed abroadSemiconductor productsOn saleListed abroad
AVGO · ALABBroadcom and Astera Labs PCIe switches and retimersPriced against it: One segment onlySemiconductor productsOn saleOne segment only
TXN · ADITexas Instruments and Analog Devices analog chipsPriced against it: YesSemiconductor productsOn saleYes
03

How big it could get

How big this could get

Microcontrollers were a $22.1B market in 2025 by Omdia's count, still below 2023's $28.0B, and analog chips $86.5B by WSTS's. Microchip's $2.36B of microcontroller and $1.33B of analog sales are a solid slice of both, so its growth comes from the market recovering more than from new ground.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C14factmedium confidence
Omdia, as reported, put the microcontroller market at $28.0B in 2023, $22.4B in 2024 and about $22.1B in 2025, down 0.3%; Infineon led with 23.2%, followed by NXP, Renesas, STMicroelectronics and Microchip, the five holding about 80%.
historical · 2023-2025written 2026-10-03
C15facthigh confidence
WSTS put the analog chip market at $79.6B in 2024 and $86.5B in 2025, up 8.7%, and forecasts $95.4B in 2026, up 10.2%. WSTS publishes no microcontroller-only figure.
historical · 2024-2025written 2026-10-03
C02facthigh confidence
In fiscal 2026 mixed-signal microcontrollers were $2,355.4M (50.0% of sales, up 4.7%), analog $1,329.0M (28.2%, up 14.9%) and other products $1,028.7M (21.8%, up 3.4%), a total of $4,713.1M, up 7.1%.
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-03
Where the growth is coming from, business by business

Where the growth is coming from

BusinessShare of revenueGrowth: last quarterLast half-yearLast year
Semiconductor products97%+38.3%+37.5%+20.9%
Rest of the company3%+29.1%+13.9%+22.2%
Whole company100%+38.0%+36.7%+20.9%

The filed split through 2026-06-30. These rates are not carried forward: the reading below says why.

How we read it: The score believes neither projection: both segments rise together on a cyclical restock and licensing is 3% of sales, so the higher blend is the June pace carried forward, not a shift in mix.

04

The results

The numbers

Is it growing?Steady

Sales grew 21% over the twelve months to Jun 2026, faster than the 7.1% in the year to Mar 2026.

Mar 2022: $6.82BMar 2023: $8.44BMar 2024: $7.63BMar 2025: $4.40BMar 2026: $4.71B12 mo to Jun 2026: $5.12B$6.82B$5.12B
Is it profitable?Healthy

Operating margin is 16%, down from 34% in the year to Mar 2024.

Mar 2022: 27%Mar 2023: 37%Mar 2024: 34%Mar 2025: 6.7%Mar 2026: 10%12 mo to Jun 2026: 16%27%16%
Does growth pay off?Pays off

Running costs take 45¢ of each sales dollar, up from 38¢ in the year to Mar 2022.

Mar 2022: 38¢Mar 2023: 31¢Mar 2024: 32¢Mar 2025: 49¢Mar 2026: 47¢12 mo to Jun 2026: 45¢38¢45¢
Does it earn good returns?Low

Each dollar put into the business earns 5.4% a year after tax, down from 12% in the year to Mar 2022.

Mar 2022: 12%Mar 2023: 18%Mar 2024: 16%Mar 2026: 3.3%12 mo to Jun 2026: 5.4%12%5.4%
Is it making cash?Strong

It turned 22% of sales into free cash, $1.11B over the last twelve months.

Mar 2022: $2.47BMar 2023: $3.13BMar 2024: $2.61BMar 2025: $772MMar 2026: $871M12 mo to Jun 2026: $1.11B$2.47B$1.11B
Is the balance sheet safe?Strained

It owes $5.09B more than the cash it holds, about 4.2 years of the cash its operations bring in.

Mar 2022: −$7.37BMar 2023: −$6.21BMar 2024: −$5.68BMar 2025: −$4.86BMar 2026: −$5.26B12 mo to Jun 2026: −$5.09B−$7.37B−$5.09B
Are shares being diluted?Stable

The share count fell 2.7% in 4.3 years, and pay in shares costs 5.4% of sales.

Mar 2022: 566MMar 2023: 557MMar 2024: 548MMar 2025: 537MMar 2026: 545M12 mo to Jun 2026: 550M566M550M
All the numbers

Filed figures from the company's 10-K and 10-Q, read 2026-10-04. Fiscal years end in March.

Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 202612 mo to Jun 2026
Size and growth
Sales$6.82B$8.44B$7.63B$4.40B$4.71B$5.12B
Sales growth+25%+24%−9.5%−42%+7.1%+21%
Profit
Gross margin65%68%65%56%58%60%
Operating margin27%37%34%6.7%10%16%
Net margin19%27%25%−0.0%4.9%9.3%
What growth costs, per sales dollar
Research and development15%13%14%22%23%22%
Selling, general and admin11%9.5%9.6%14%14%14%
Pay in shares3.1%2.0%2.3%4.1%5.4%5.4%
Capital spending5.4%5.8%3.7%2.9%1.9%1.7%
Cash
Cash from operations$2.84B$3.62B$2.89B$898M$962M$1.20B
Free cash flow$2.47B$3.13B$2.61B$772M$871M$1.11B
Balance sheet
Cash and short-term investments$319M$234M$320M$772M$240M$272M
Debt$7.69B$6.44B$6.00B$5.63B$5.50B$5.36B
Net cash−$7.37B−$6.21B−$5.68B−$4.86B−$5.26B−$5.09B
Returns and shares
Return on capital12%18%16%-3.3%5.4%
Shares (diluted)566M557M548M537M545M550M

What growth costs

Most of Microchip's costs stay put when sales move. Research and sales spending barely changed while sales nearly halved, so profit margins collapsed; as sales come back, most of each extra dollar turns into profit. The catch: pay in shares now takes more than twice the share of sales it did at the peak.

The evidence under this - 2 claims
C55facthigh confidence
From fiscal 2023 to 2026 sales fell from $8,438.7M to $4,713.1M while R&D moved only from $1,118.3M to $1,085.9M (13.3% to 23.0% of sales) and SG&A from $797.7M to $674.3M (9.5% to 14.3%); stock pay rose from 2.0% to 5.4% of sales and capital spending fell from 5.8% to 1.9%. Operating margin fell from 36.9% to 10.4%, after $431.1M (9.2%) of acquisition amortisation in fiscal 2026.
historical · FY2023-FY2026written 2026-10-04
C56inferencemedium confidence
Growth widens Microchip's margin: R&D and SG&A held near flat in dollars through a 44% fall in sales, so the recovery runs mostly to profit, as the twelve months to June 2026 show, with operating margin at 15.5% against 10.4% in fiscal 2026.
against this
  • Stock pay has more than doubled per sales dollar since fiscal 2023, and the non-GAAP margins the bonus pays on leave it out (C51).
  • Capital spending is held near $100M with fab expansion paused (C38); a sustained upturn would bring that back.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-10-04

The last report (6 Aug)

Quarter ended June 2026, filed figures.

38%
Sales growth
against the same quarter a year earlier
13.2%
Growth from the quarter before
against 10.6% the quarter before that
23¢
Operating profit
per dollar of sales

Q1 fiscal 2027, reported on 6 August, brought $1.48B of sales, up 38% on a year and above the company's forecast for the second quarter running. Data-centre, defence and factory customers all grew.

On the company's preferred measure, profit per share was $0.76; on the reported basis it was $0.37. Management forecast $1.589B to $1.618B for the September quarter, and a profit margin it said would not keep rising.

What it did to the thesisIt proved the recovery is real and broad, and that management can forecast it again. It left open how much is customers refilling empty shelves rather than lasting demand, which is the question the price turns on.

The quarter in detail

Sales growth from the previous quarter, filed figures.

Earnings per share $0.76 against $0.70 expected; $0.37 as filed, the gap being what the company adds back.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C04facthigh confidence
June 2026 quarter sales were $1,484.7M, up 38.0% on a year and 13.2% on the quarter. GAAP gross margin was 63.2%, operating margin 22.7% and EPS $0.37; non-GAAP gross margin 63.8%, operating margin 35.1% and EPS $0.76.
historical · Q1 FY2027written 2026-10-03
C05management claimmedium confidence
Management guides September-quarter sales of $1.589B to $1.618B, non-GAAP gross margin of 66% to 67% and non-GAAP EPS of $0.91 to $0.95 (GAAP $0.53 to $0.54). It says the margin includes licensing, a price increase and lower write-offs, and should not keep rising.
against this
  • The margin guide sits above the company's own 65% long-term target and leans on one-offs it names: a strong licensing quarter and a distributor price-reserve release (C11).
  • UBS noted September would be the sixth quarter above seasonal and that upturns rarely run past eight (C39).
forwardwritten 2026-10-03
C06facthigh confidence
In the June 2026 quarter non-GAAP net income was $438.6M against $202.0M GAAP to common holders. The gap is mainly $90.0M of acquisition amortisation, $75.0M of share-based pay and a 7.5% non-GAAP tax rate against 20.7% GAAP.
historical · Q1 FY2027written 2026-10-03
C36facthigh confidence
March 2026 quarter sales of $1.311B, up 35.1% on a year, beat the guide midpoint of $1.260B, and June's $1.4847B beat the $1.456B midpoint; non-GAAP EPS beat the guide range both times.
historical · Q4 FY2026-Q1 FY2027written 2026-10-03
C40management claimmedium confidence
Management gave June-quarter sales by end market: industrial 32.2% (up 24.3%), data centre 17.1% (up 97.8%), aerospace and defence 16.7% (up 45.6%), automotive 15.0% (up 29.3%), communications 8.2%, consumer 7.4% and compute 3.4%.
against this

No filing carries an end-market split, and the categories are management's own.

historical · Q1 FY2027written 2026-10-03
What management did with the money

Through the slump Microchip kept paying its dividend, $984.0M in fiscal 2026, more than the cash the business made, so debt rose. Now that cash is back, about $500M in the June quarter, management says every spare dollar goes to repaying debt, with no share buybacks.

Insiders in 2026Q3: 54 purchases and 48 sales, from their Form 4 filings.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C21facthigh confidence
In fiscal 2026 operating cash flow was $962.1M and capital spending $91.1M, while common dividends took $984.0M and preferred dividends $108.5M: the payout exceeded free cash flow of about $871M.
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-03
C22facthigh confidence
In the June 2026 quarter operating cash flow was $511.5M and capital spending $13.9M, so free cash flow was $497.6M; net debt fell about $170M after $246.9M of common dividends.
historical · Q1 FY2027written 2026-10-03
C20management claimhigh confidence
Management puts net debt at about $5.2B and net debt to adjusted EBITDA at 2.85, expected below 2.5 in September, and says all spare cash will go to debt: no buyback and no dividend increase for the foreseeable future.
against this

Adjusted EBITDA adds back share-based pay; the same debt measured on GAAP operating income of $490.1M in fiscal 2026 (C37) is far higher.

forwardwritten 2026-10-03
05

The price, and where we disagree

In short. Full. The price already pays for sales climbing back to the 2023 peak by 2029, with less profit per share than then, so little is left over if the upturn ends early.

Share price
$81.32
close,
Company value for each $1 of sales
9.6
rivals' middle 9.8 · its 6-year normal 7.2

The shares fell 31% between May and July on worry that the upturn was peaking, then jumped 13.9% after the June results beat.

The next results, due around 5 November, test whether the September forecast holds. Orders are the strongest in about four years, but this is the sixth quarter above the usual seasonal pattern, and upturns rarely run past eight. The company's operations chief also left in August.

The evidence under this - 4 claims
C35facthigh confidence
The close fell from $99.49 on May 22, 2024 to $35.34 on April 8, 2025; it reached $102.92 on May 6, 2026, fell to $71.37 by July 29, then rose 13.9% to $84.69 the day after the June-quarter results.
historical · 2024-05 to 2026-10written 2026-10-03
C39management claimmedium confidence
Management says bookings in June were the strongest in about four years with book-to-bill well above one, and that lead times are stretching as AI demand crowds out foundry, substrate and assembly capacity. UBS noted September is the sixth quarter above seasonal.
against this

Stretching lead times are what drove the 2022 over-ordering that the LTSAs worsened (C12); strong bookings at long lead times are the signal that preceded the last correction.

current state · 2026-08-06written 2026-10-03
C05management claimmedium confidence
Management guides September-quarter sales of $1.589B to $1.618B, non-GAAP gross margin of 66% to 67% and non-GAAP EPS of $0.91 to $0.95 (GAAP $0.53 to $0.54). It says the margin includes licensing, a price increase and lower write-offs, and should not keep rising.
against this
  • The margin guide sits above the company's own 65% long-term target and leans on one-offs it names: a strong licensing quarter and a distributor price-reserve release (C11).
  • UBS noted September would be the sixth quarter above seasonal and that upturns rarely run past eight (C39).
forwardwritten 2026-10-03
C26facthigh confidence
Chief Operating Officer Richard Simoncic resigned effective August 17, 2026 to run Menlo Microsystems; Menlo says he founded Microchip's analog business and grew it past $2B a year.
historical · 2026-07written 2026-10-03
How we read the multiple

Buyers pay about 9.6 times a year's sales, in the middle of the rivals' range but above Microchip's own usual 7.2. What has to be true:

  1. Sales grow from $1.48B a quarter to about $2.0B by fiscal 2029, the analysts' forecast.
  2. That is back near the 2023 record of $2.233B a quarter.
  3. Profit per share that year reaches about $5.23 on the preferred measure, against $6.02 at the last peak.
  4. At today's price that is about 15.5 times that profit: an ordinary price, but only if all of it happens.

Against its own history. Dearer than its own normal across a full boom and slump, so the price is already counting the recovery rather than waiting for it.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C28facthigh confidence
At $81.32 on October 2, 2026 company value was about $49.3B, 9.6 times trailing sales against a six-year median of 7.2 times; the trailing P/E was 112.7 against a median of 28.9.
current state · 2026-10-02written 2026-10-03
C31inferencemedium confidence
The price pays for a full return to peak: company value is about 6.0 times the fiscal 2029 consensus sales of $8.23B, near the 2023 peak, and the price is 15.5 times that year's $5.23 of adjusted EPS, below the $6.02 earned at the last peak.
derivedC28, C30, C03 and C32: company value over consensus sales and the price over consensus EPS, set against the 2023 peak
against this
  • At the 2023 peak the company traded at a similar price, $82.55 in buybacks, on $6.02 of EPS (C32), so 15.5 times a peak that is lower per share is not a stretched multiple.
  • Data-centre and aerospace sales are larger than at the last peak (C09, C40), so the peak mix may be richer.
current state · 2026-10-02written 2026-10-03
C30facthigh confidence
Of 46 rating analysts 32 say buy, 14 hold and none sell; consensus has sales of $6.40B and adjusted earnings of $3.64 a share in fiscal 2027, $7.45B and $4.57 in fiscal 2028, and $8.23B and $5.23 in fiscal 2029 (five analysts).
current state · 2026-10-02written 2026-10-03
C32facthigh confidence
In fiscal 2023 sales were $8.439B, non-GAAP operating margin 46.9% and non-GAAP EPS $6.02 against GAAP $4.02; in the March 2023 quarter the company bought back shares at an average $82.55.
historical · FY2023written 2026-10-03
C43facthigh confidence
Among filed rivals company value to sales runs from 3.8 times at STMicroelectronics and 5.2 at NXP to 14.3 at Texas Instruments and 15.1 at Analog Devices; Microchip's 9.6 sits at the median.
current state · 2026-10-03written 2026-10-03
Priced against its rivals

The competitors its own annual report names, each confirmed against the rival's filing. Measured on company value for each $1 of sales, cheapest first:

TickerCompanycompany value for each $1 of sales
STMSTMicroelectronics3.8×
NXPINXP Semiconductors5.2×
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated9.6×
TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated14.3×
ADIAnalog Devices15.1×

The middle of the other 4 is 9.8. Microchip Technology Incorporated is 3rd cheapest of 5.

Rivals' figures come from a data provider, so read the spread of the group rather than any single pair.

In the middle of the group, so the market prices it like an average rival, neither marking it down for its debt nor up for its recovery.

Private or foreign rivals that cannot be priced: Infineon Technologies AG, Renesas Electronics Corporation.

Where we disagree with the market

The market believes

Microchip is the cleanest chip recovery, with data centres on top, and the upturn has years left to run.

We believe

The recovery is real and partly customers restocking. The price already pays for the full return to peak, with less per share.

The market reads the beats. The filings show a reported profit about half the preferred figure, $5.4B of debt, preferred shares that turn into about 23.8M new shares in 2028, and no buybacks.

We are wrong if quarterly sales reach $2.0B with distributors still holding little stock and debt falling below twice yearly earnings before interest.

What analysts say, and the evidence
Analysts positive
77%
of 26, 1 Oct
Four months earlier
74%
of 27, 1 Jun
The evidence under this - 6 claims
C30facthigh confidence
Of 46 rating analysts 32 say buy, 14 hold and none sell; consensus has sales of $6.40B and adjusted earnings of $3.64 a share in fiscal 2027, $7.45B and $4.57 in fiscal 2028, and $8.23B and $5.23 in fiscal 2029 (five analysts).
current state · 2026-10-02written 2026-10-03
C31inferencemedium confidence
The price pays for a full return to peak: company value is about 6.0 times the fiscal 2029 consensus sales of $8.23B, near the 2023 peak, and the price is 15.5 times that year's $5.23 of adjusted EPS, below the $6.02 earned at the last peak.
derivedC28, C30, C03 and C32: company value over consensus sales and the price over consensus EPS, set against the 2023 peak
against this
  • At the 2023 peak the company traded at a similar price, $82.55 in buybacks, on $6.02 of EPS (C32), so 15.5 times a peak that is lower per share is not a stretched multiple.
  • Data-centre and aerospace sales are larger than at the last peak (C09, C40), so the peak mix may be richer.
current state · 2026-10-02written 2026-10-03
C47inferencemedium confidence
Part of the recovery is restocking: distributor inventory sits at 25 days near the low end of its 17 to 43 day range (C08), after customers spent 2024 working off the stock the LTSAs left them with (C12), so sales are running above end demand.
derivedC08, C12, C17 and C39
against this
  • Management says distributor sell-through, sales to end users, rose 17% on the quarter in June, so end demand is growing too (C39).
  • Channel inventory is still near the low end of its range, so the refill has room before it overshoots.
current state · 2026-08-06written 2026-10-03
C06facthigh confidence
In the June 2026 quarter non-GAAP net income was $438.6M against $202.0M GAAP to common holders. The gap is mainly $90.0M of acquisition amortisation, $75.0M of share-based pay and a 7.5% non-GAAP tax rate against 20.7% GAAP.
historical · Q1 FY2027written 2026-10-03
C33inferencemedium confidence
The next peak earns less per share than the last: the preferred adds about 23.8M shares, interest cost $221.3M in fiscal 2026, and no buyback will shrink the count while the debt is paid down.
derivedC23, C37, C20 and C24
against this

Debt repayment at about $500M a quarter (C22) lowers interest, and conversion of the 2024 notes is unlikely below $121.80, so fewer shares than feared may arrive.

forwardwritten 2026-10-03
C23facthigh confidence
The $1.485B of 7.50% mandatory convertible preferred converts on about March 15, 2028 at 16.0060 to 19.6080 shares per preferred share; above the $62.48 threshold price that is about 23.8M shares, already in the 574.3M diluted count.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-10-03
06

What could go wrong, and how we would know

The risks

  • The upturn ends early. Part of the growth is customers refilling stock; once shelves are full, orders can fall as fast as they did in 2024.
  • Over-ordering again. Lead times are stretching, the same signal that led customers to over-order in 2022 and fuelled the last bust.
  • Cheaper Chinese chips. GigaDevice and others win sockets by cutting prices, and about half of new designs change chip.
  • Thin leadership. The chief executive is 70, the operations chief left in August, and no successor has been named.
  • Debt and a 2027 deadline. Holders of $1.25B of convertible bonds may demand repayment in June 2027; debt is still about $5.4B.
  • China and tax. China is investigating US analog chips for dumping, and Malaysia claims up to about $480M in tax.
The evidence under this - 8 claims
C47inferencemedium confidence
Part of the recovery is restocking: distributor inventory sits at 25 days near the low end of its 17 to 43 day range (C08), after customers spent 2024 working off the stock the LTSAs left them with (C12), so sales are running above end demand.
derivedC08, C12, C17 and C39
against this
  • Management says distributor sell-through, sales to end users, rose 17% on the quarter in June, so end demand is growing too (C39).
  • Channel inventory is still near the low end of its range, so the refill has room before it overshoots.
current state · 2026-08-06written 2026-10-03
C39management claimmedium confidence
Management says bookings in June were the strongest in about four years with book-to-bill well above one, and that lead times are stretching as AI demand crowds out foundry, substrate and assembly capacity. UBS noted September is the sixth quarter above seasonal.
against this

Stretching lead times are what drove the 2022 over-ordering that the LTSAs worsened (C12); strong bookings at long lead times are the signal that preceded the last correction.

current state · 2026-08-06written 2026-10-03
C12facthigh confidence
From early 2022 Microchip sold long-term supply agreements promising priority capacity; the 10-K says this and orders outside it left some customers holding excess inventory, and that LTSA customers may cancel orders if prices rise.
current state · 2026-03-31written 2026-10-03
C45facthigh confidence
GigaDevice raised MCU revenue 13.0% in 2025 on 22.3% more units, 500.3M, by cutting its average price from RMB 4.13 to RMB 3.82 to win share; it holds 1.2% of the world market and names Infineon, Renesas, NXP and ST as the incumbents.
historical · 2025written 2026-10-03
C27facthigh confidence
Steve Sanghi, 70, returned as interim chief executive on November 18, 2024, after his successor left in the downturn, and was made permanent on July 2, 2025.
historical · 2024-11 to 2025-07written 2026-10-03
C26facthigh confidence
Chief Operating Officer Richard Simoncic resigned effective August 17, 2026 to run Menlo Microsystems; Menlo says he founded Microchip's analog business and grew it past $2B a year.
historical · 2026-07written 2026-10-03
C41facthigh confidence
The 10-K discloses China's September 2025 anti-dumping investigation into US analog chips and a Malaysian tax dispute of up to MYR 1.9B, about $480.2M.
current state · 2026-03-31written 2026-10-03
C19facthigh confidence
At June 30, 2026 Microchip had $272.3M of cash and $5,361.3M of long-term debt. Debt includes $1.0B notes due 2028, 2029 and 2030, commercial paper, and $2.15B of convertibles; holders of the $1.25B 2024 notes may put them on June 1, 2027 if the stock is below $121.80.
current state · 2026-06-30written 2026-10-03
What we still do not know
  • Microchip's share of the microcontroller market, and whether it really gained share as management says.
  • How much of the recent growth is end demand and how much is customers restocking.
  • How large data-centre sales are in a figure the company has filed; so far they are stated only on calls.
  • Who will run operations, and who will follow the chief executive.
The evidence under this - 4 claims
C13management claimlow confidence
Management says Microchip fell further than rivals after COVID because it was less flexible and customers held more of its stock, and that it gained share in pretty much all markets over the last two years.
against this
  • Omdia still ranks Microchip fifth in microcontrollers and publishes no share for it (C14).
  • A recovery from a deeper cut is partly restocking, which a share gain and a refill look alike from outside (C47).
current state · 2026-08-06written 2026-10-03
C47inferencemedium confidence
Part of the recovery is restocking: distributor inventory sits at 25 days near the low end of its 17 to 43 day range (C08), after customers spent 2024 working off the stock the LTSAs left them with (C12), so sales are running above end demand.
derivedC08, C12, C17 and C39
against this
  • Management says distributor sell-through, sales to end users, rose 17% on the quarter in June, so end demand is growing too (C39).
  • Channel inventory is still near the low end of its range, so the refill has room before it overshoots.
current state · 2026-08-06written 2026-10-03
C09management claimmedium confidence
Management puts data-centre sales at about $591M in calendar 2025, 14% of sales ($303M from the data-centre unit, $288M from catalog parts), and expects about $1B in 2026, up 69%; June-quarter data-centre sales rose 97.8% on a year.
against this
  • No filing reports data-centre sales; the figures are stated on the call only.
  • Management says it lost all of its PCIe Gen 5 switch business to rivals (C10).
forwardwritten 2026-10-03
C26facthigh confidence
Chief Operating Officer Richard Simoncic resigned effective August 17, 2026 to run Menlo Microsystems; Menlo says he founded Microchip's analog business and grew it past $2B a year.
historical · 2026-07written 2026-10-03

What would change our view

  1. Neutral→AttractiveThe price returns to its usual multiple

    It needs:

    • ○The company's value falls to 7.2 times its last year of sales, its usual level.about ≈$60.44 today, 26% below the last close
  2. Neutral→AttractiveSales outrun the peak path

    It needs all of:

    • ○Quarterly sales reach $2.0B, up from $1.48B.checked at the next results, due by 5 Nov
    • ○Debt falls to twice yearly earnings before interest and other charges, from 2.85 times.checked at the next results, due by 5 Nov
  3. Neutral→UnattractiveThe upturn turns into another overshoot

    It needs any of:

    • ○Distributors' stock of Microchip chips rises above 35 days of sales, from 25.checked at the next results, due by 5 Nov
    • ○The profit margin on the preferred measure falls below 60%, from 63.8%.checked at the next results, due by 5 Nov
We would also be wrong if
  • Sales fall in a quarter while distributors' stock rises above 35 days.
  • Data-centre sales for 2026 come in well short of $1B.

What is coming

  • 5 November 2026 Q2 fiscal 2027 results: Sales against the $1.589B to $1.618B guide, non-GAAP gross margin against 66% to 67%, distributor inventory days and whether leverage fell below 2.5.
Every dated event ahead
  • 5 November 2026 Q2 fiscal 2027 results: Sales against the $1.589B to $1.618B guide, non-GAAP gross margin against 66% to 67%, distributor inventory days and whether leverage fell below 2.5.
  • February 2027 Q3 fiscal 2027 results and the March-quarter guide: Whether the December quarter beats its usual seasonal fall and the price increase holds, or restocking (C47) fades as distributor inventory rebuilds.
  • 1 June 2027 Put date on the $1.25B 2024 convertible notes: Whether holders put the notes with the stock below $121.80 and how Microchip refinances them while promising every spare dollar to debt.
  • 15 March 2028 Mandatory conversion of the 7.50% preferred: About 23.8M new shares land and the $108.5M preferred dividend ends: the per-share cost of the trough financing becomes final.
Since we wrote this
Written
3 Oct
Price the thesis read
$81.32
2 Oct
  • 5 OctThesis reviewThe long case now sits under the verdictAfter the five-name pilot, the owner asked for the long case on every thesis.
  • 4 OctThesis reviewOwner's checklist: revenue streams, cost of growth, management, catalystsThe owner's checklist found the method silent on who runs the company, what growth costs, where the money comes from and what is dated ahead; this pass fills those four blocks from the proxy and filings.
  • 3 OctThesis writtenNeutral, medium convictionWritten eight weeks after the June-quarter beat and a month before Q2 fiscal 2027 results, with the shares back near $81 after a 31% fall from May's high.

Also checked 1 time with nothing new to act on.

Sources 33

Where this came from

Sources - 33

Every claim above cites one of these, or states the reasoning that derived it. The quote is frozen at the date it was read: a link can rot, and an agent fetch returns a reading of a page rather than the page. Backs counts the whole claim ledger, so it can name a claim this page does not surface.

  1. S01primarycompany filing2026-05-21
    Item 1 (products, customers, distribution, manufacturing, competition), risk factors (LTSAs, China anti-dumping probe, Malaysian tax), MD&A by product line, ASP stability, distributor and balance-sheet inventory days, debt and convertible terms, the preferred, dividends, executives
    backsC01C02C03C07C08C12C19C21C24C27C37C38C41C44C49C53C54C55C56
  2. S02primarycompany release2026-08-06
    June-quarter sales, GAAP and non-GAAP margins and EPS, the reconciliation (amortisation, share-based pay, tax), cash flow, net debt reduction, the September-quarter guide
    Net sales of $1.485 billion, increased 38.0% from the year-ago quarter and up 13.2% sequentially.
    backsC04C05C06C19C20C22C23C36
  3. S03primarytranscript2026-08-06
    Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings call transcript
    data/cache/transcripts/MCHP-2027Q1.json (FMP earning-call-transcript, quarter label 2027Q1, call held 2026-08-06)
    data-centre sales ($591M in 2025, about $1B expected in 2026), end-market growth, the August price increase, the gross-margin one-offs, leverage of 2.85 times, no buyback or dividend increase, PCIe Gen 5 and Gen 6, lead times; questions from UBS, BofA, Wells Fargo, Susquehanna, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies and others
    we essentially lost all of our Gen 5 business, we got none by the time we came to market, that business was gone.
    backsC05C09C10C11C13C20C39C40C42
  4. S04primarycompany release2026-05-07
    March-quarter sales against guide, fiscal 2026 non-GAAP EPS, the June-quarter guide, fiscal 2027 capex and the paused expansion
    Midpoint of net sales guidance for the June 2026 quarter of $1.456 billion, which would be up 35.3% from a year ago quarter and 11.0% sequentially.
    backsC36C38
  5. S05primarycompany release2023-05-04
    the peak: fiscal 2023 sales of $8.439B, non-GAAP operating margin of 46.9%, non-GAAP EPS of $6.02 against GAAP $4.02, and buybacks at an average $82.55 in the March 2023 quarter
    Record net sales of $2.233 billion, up 1.6% sequentially and up 21.2% from the year ago quarter.
    backsC03C32C55
  6. S06primarycompany filing2026-08-06
    distributor inventory days, balance-sheet inventory days, debt and cash at June 30, 2026, the convertible put
    backsC08C19C49C56
  7. S07primarycompany filing2026-07-24
    Richard Simoncic, Chief Operating Officer, resigned effective August 17, 2026
    backsC26
  8. S08primarynews2026-08-19
    where the departing COO went, and what he ran
    At Microchip, he founded the company's analog business and grew it into a $2+ billion annual revenue organization, while integrating more than 30 acquisitions.
    backsC26
  9. S09secondarycompany release2026-09-21
    the Hailo close; terms not disclosed. The GlobeNewswire and microchip.com copies refused this client
    today announced that it has completed its acquisition of Hailo, a provider of accelerated edge AI processors, vision processors, robotics processors and AI software technologies.
    backsC42
  10. S10primarycompany filing2025-03-12
    the mandatory conversion date of March 15, 2028, the 16.0060 to 19.6080 conversion rate per preferred share, the initial price near $51.00 and the threshold appreciation price near $62.48
    backsC23
  11. S11primarycompany filing2026-02-19
    NXP names Microchip among its primary key public competitors; its microcontroller and processor lines for cars and industry
    read, but no claim rests on it
  12. S12primarycompany filing2026-02-26
    the Embedded Processing segment of general-purpose and automotive STM32 microcontrollers
    read, but no claim rests on it
  13. S13primarycompany filing2026-02-13
    Embedded Processing at about 15% of TI's revenue, $2,697M in 2025, with microcontrollers; customers reuse software across product generations
    read, but no claim rests on it
  14. S14secondaryindustry data2026-04-07
    Omdia's 2025 microcontroller market of about $22.1B, down 0.3%; Infineon first at 23.2%; Microchip fifth
    In second to fifth place are NXP, Renesas, STMicroelectronics, and Microchip. The five leading microcontroller manufacturers account for around 80 percent of the total market, estimates Omdia
    backsC14
  15. S15secondaryindustry data2025-03-11
    Omdia's 2023 and 2024 microcontroller market totals, through a rival's release
    The global microcontroller market reached 22.4 billion in 2024, down from 28.0 billion in 2023, as reported by Omdia.
    backsC14
  16. S16primaryindustry data2025-02-15
    unit growth and an average microcontroller price; no unit total
    While the total market is forecast to increase 3.8% and microcontroller shipments are forecast to increase 9% in 2025, the average selling price (ASP) is forecast to decrease five cents to $1.01 in 2025.
    backsC16
  17. S17primaryindustry data2026-06-02
    analog market of $86.5B in 2025, forecast $95.4B in 2026 and $101.7B in 2027; the JEITA copy gives $79.6B for 2024. WSTS publishes no microcontroller-only line
    Analog 86,519 95,358 101,662 8.7 10.2 6.6
    backsC15
  18. S18primarycompany filing2026-08-05
    a distributor's sales up 48% on a year and inventory days of 81, down 18
    backsC17
  19. S19primarycompany filing2026-08-06
    Microchip's largest distributor: components sales up 39% on a year, book-to-bill well above parity
    backsC17
  20. S20primaryindustry data2026-09-24
    industrial robot installations up 11% in 2025
    The global operational stock of industrial robots surged 9% to a record 5 million units in 2025. This was driven by an 11% jump in annual installations
    backsC18
  21. S21primaryindustry data2026-04-23
    world vehicle production in units
    Global vehicle production rose from 92.7 million units in 2024 to 96.4 million in 2025 (+3.9%)
    backsC18
  22. S22secondaryvendor data2026-10-03
    Research pack (FMP market tier and filed statements), frozen at content/MCHP/research-pack.json
    content/MCHP/research-pack.json
    last close, company value and multiples against six-year medians, the price-move split, the analyst split, consensus estimates, the cohort, short interest
    backsC03C04C28C29C30C34C35C43C44
  23. S23primarycompany filing2026-10-03
    every open-market insider trade with its Rule 10b5-1 flag
    backsC25
  24. S24primaryregulator2026-09-15
    shares sold short and days to cover
    32,590,000 shares short, settlement date 2026-09-15, as read by scripts/api/finra.py
    backsC34
  25. S25primaryindustry data2017-04-01
    47% of projects reused the previous processor; of those, 22% because switching was too expensive or slow, 54% for software compatibility, 48% to keep the same tools
    68% say “ecosystem” outweighs “the chip” (25%). Best ecosystem is Microchip and TI.
    backsC46
  26. S26primaryindustry data2023-06-15
    about half of projects change processor; read by an agent fetch twice with the same wording, since the repository fetcher got no response
    However nearly half of all projects involve using processors that differ from those used previously, in an effort to access a richer set of features and to work with vendors with better and more clearly laid out roadmaps.
    backsC46
  27. S27primaryindustry data2023-08-11
    the car-grade qualification a replacement chip must pass: 77 parts from each of 3 lots with no failures in the life test, plus the carmaker's own approval
    Requalification of a device is required when the supplier makes a change to the product and/or process that impacts (or could potentially impact) the form, fit, function, quality and/or reliability of the device
    backsC48
  28. S28primarycompany filing2026-04-02
    MCU revenue up 13.0% on 22.3% more units (500.3M) at lower prices; 1.2% global share per Frost & Sullivan; names Infineon, Renesas, NXP and ST as the incumbents
    partially offset by a decrease in average selling prices from RMB4.13 per unit in 2024 to RMB3.82 per unit in 2025 primarily due to the more competitive prices we offered to further solidify and expand our market share amid intensified market competition.
    backsC45
  29. S29primarycompany filing2026-02-10
    names Microchip among its wireless microcontroller competitors, beside Espressif, Nordic and Telink
    read, but no claim rests on it
  30. S30secondarynews2024-11-24
    a rival's account of the same correction: inventory from fixed contracts, Chinese competition
    He added that the re-absorption of inventory was responsible for 60 percent of the ST’s microcontroller sales decline with the rest being down to the shrinking market and loss of market share.
    read, but no claim rests on it
  31. S31primarycompany filing2026-08-19
    stockholders approved 12,000,000 more shares for the 2004 Equity Incentive Plan
    backsC24
  32. S32primarycompany filing2026-07-06
    beneficial ownership at June 22, 2026; the MICP quarterly bonus metrics, targets and payouts for fiscal 2026; the PSU metric (non-GAAP operating margin over twelve quarters); the interim and permanent CEO awards; the 2025 say-on-pay result and the outreach; director biographies
    backsC50C51C52C53
  33. S33primarycompany filing2026-08-19
    the 2026 advisory vote on executive pay: 366,406,303 for, 77,323,079 against, 1,758,166 abstaining
    backsC52
Rendered from content/MCHP/thesis.json · thesis reviewed 2026-10-03. This page explains a company; it does not say what to pay, when to buy or how much.