← All thesesCHYMNeutralMedium convictionSunday 4 October 2026עברית

Chime Financial

A checking account on your phone for lower- and middle-income Americans, run through partner banks and paid mostly by a small fee on every swipe of its debit card.

Our viewNeutral Medium conviction
The scores
The profile · 1-4
Growth4/4 ↑

Active Members +20% and revenue guided at 25%-26%, organic and broad-based, with the fastest member-add pace in company history and shrinking partner concentration.

Business quality3/4 ↑

A real, quantified cost-to-serve edge shows up as Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, but it is young and faces a well-capitalized rival targeting the identical population.

Financial position4/4 ↑

About $1.06 billion of cash and securities, no debt, an undrawn revolver and GAAP profit - though $590 million is committed to buying Stride.

Execution record3/4 →

Guidance was beaten and raised in Q2 FY2026, but the public track record is under two years and a CFO transition just landed mid-stream.

Per share capture3/4 →

The FY2025 loss was one-time accounting noise, not new shares issued, and the buyback was renewed at $200 million, cash-funded, but RSU pay outruns it.

Potential2/4 →

A large underserved population is real per FDIC data, but expansion depends on the employer channel scaling and bank-partner headroom Chime does not fully control.

Risk profile2/4 →

Two consent orders already realized, partner banks holding the charter until a bank purchase clears two regulators, and an interim CFO.

Valuation3/4 ↑

About 18.5 times raised guided Adjusted EBITDA pays for the 17%-18% margin management guides, not expansion beyond it - though still a forecast.

Evidence quality3/4 →

Central claims are filed GAAP facts corroborated by two filings, Block and Nu, plus a regulator survey, but some color rests on unverified management commentary.

The Verdict

We rate Chime neutral. It runs a checking account on the phone for lower- and middle-income Americans, paid mostly by a small fee each time a member swipes a debit card. The business is solid: profit is arriving fast, and it has raised this year's forecast again and again. After a fall of about a fifth, the price is fair: about right if this year's forecast comes true, with no extra credit for beating it and no cushion if it slips. The view hinges on that profit showing up in reported results for two quarters running, with a permanent finance chief named.

The long casePeople are moving their main account from branch banks to free phone accounts; Chime must keep winning members faster than the shrinking pool of unbanked households alone would give.

The evidence under this - 7 claims
C04facthigh confidence
FY2025 Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP, excluding stock-based compensation, D&A, other income, taxes, the CFPB/DFPI consent-order charges and one-time processor-termination costs) was $126.6 million, a 6% margin - up from -$7.0 million (roughly 0% margin) in FY2024 and -$189.3 million (-15% margin) in FY2023.
historical · FY2025written 2026-08-30
C06facthigh confidence
Q2 FY2026 revenue was $670 million, up 27% year over year; Adjusted EBITDA was $101.6 million at a 15% margin, up from 3% a year earlier - a 12-percentage-point expansion management attributed to a roughly 60% incremental Adjusted EBITDA margin on the quarter's revenue growth.
historical · Q2 FY2026written 2026-08-30
C07management claimmedium confidence
On September 8, 2026 Chime raised FY2026 guidance to revenue of $2.76-$2.77 billion (about 26%-27% growth) and Adjusted EBITDA of $481-$489 million (a 17%-18% margin), and guided Q3 FY2026 to revenue of about $705 million (about 30% growth) and Adjusted EBITDA of $117-$120 million (roughly 17%). The guide it replaced, issued with Q2 results, was $2.725-$2.745 billion and $465-$475 million.
against this
  • The guidance was raised the same week the company announced a ~10% workforce reduction and its CFO's departure - both real, recent, unresolved events that could cut either way on execution risk even though management frames the cost action as expansionary, not defensive (see C09, C10).
  • This raise came in an acquisition announcement rather than with a reported quarter, so no new filed quarter stands behind it; the first reported test of it is the Q3 print on 2026-11-04.
  1. 2026-09-24editedSuperseded on 2026-09-08: guidance raised for the fourth time in the Stride announcement (S12).
forwardwritten 2026-08-30
C29estimatemedium confidence
At the September 23, 2026 close of $26.46 and 378,585,111 shares outstanding on August 3, 2026 (Class A 347,019,852 and Class B 31,565,259), CHYM's market capitalisation was about $10.02 billion and, against $1,063.4 million of cash and marketable securities at June 30, 2026, its enterprise value about $8.95 billion - roughly 18.5 times the raised FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint of $485 million (C07), against about 25 times the $470 million midpoint when this thesis was written at $33.20. The Stride purchase (C33) is to be paid from that cash, so after closing the same share price carries an enterprise value about $590 million higher.
against this
  • The vendor pack's own EV/EBITDA figure is -2,057.58x TTM (C30) - not because the business is doing badly, but because it is computed off GAAP EBITDA, which is still swamped by the IPO stock-compensation cliff in the trailing window. That vendor figure and this thesis's own Adjusted-EBITDA-based multiple are answering different questions from the same starting point, and only one of them is usable.
  • The multiple is struck on guidance for a year not yet complete. Against trailing-twelve-month Adjusted EBITDA through June 2026 of about $305.7 million, the same enterprise value is about 29 times.
  1. 2026-09-24editedRe-struck at the 2026-09-23 close on filed cash and shares and the raised guidance midpoint; the price had fallen 20% since the thesis while the guide rose 3%.
current state · 2026-09-23written 2026-08-30
C09facthigh confidence
On August 5, 2026, Chime announced CFO Matthew Newcomb would step down effective August 7, 2026, 'not due to any disagreement regarding the Company or any matter related to the Company's operations, policies or practices'; President Mark Troughton was named President & Interim CFO while a permanent-CFO search was initiated. Newcomb will remain as an advisor through a transition period ending no later than December 31, 2027.
current state · 2026-08-05written 2026-08-30
C10facthigh confidence
On July 31, 2026, Chime committed to a reorganization reducing its workforce by approximately 10%, expecting $16-$20 million of net cash restructuring charges in Q3 2026, partly offset by a $9-12 million reversal of previously recognized stock-based compensation for forfeited awards, for a net income impact of roughly $6-9 million. CEO Christopher Britt told analysts the action was taken 'from a position of strength' to keep teams 'lean' and 'flatter' using AI, with some savings reinvested into growth.
against this

The restructuring and the CFO's departure were announced within days of each other, alongside a raised full-year guide - a combination consistent with the 'position of strength' framing, but also the kind of clustering of a cost action and a finance-leadership change that a reader should not wave away as coincidence without more than management's own characterization to go on.

current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-08-30
C31management claimhigh confidence
FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance moved up in four steps across the company's first year public: $380-400 million (14%-15% margin) issued February 25, 2026 alongside management's statement that 2026 was expected to be Chime's first full year of GAAP net income profitability; $416-431 million (16% margin) issued May 6, 2026; $465-475 million issued at Q2 2026; and $481-489 million (17%-18% margin) issued September 8, 2026 with the Stride announcement (C07) - a roughly 24% increase at the midpoint from the original guide, in under seven months.
against this

A guidance raise of this size five months into the year is a genuinely strong signal, but it was issued alongside a 10% workforce reduction and a CFO departure (C09, C10) rather than in isolation - the same week's other news is why this thesis treats the raise as encouraging rather than as fully resolving the execution question.

  1. 2026-09-24editedFourth step added: the 2026-09-08 raise (S12).
forwardwritten 2026-08-30
01

The company

Chime gives people a checking account and a debit card on their phone, with no branches. It is not a bank. Two partner banks, Bancorp and Stride, hold the deposits and issue the cards; Chime runs the app and, since 2024, its own payment processing.

It is built for people banks serve badly, whose alternative is often an overdraft fee or a payday loan. 10.4 million people use it actively, up 20% in a year.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C01facthigh confidence
Chime is an asset-light technology company, not a bank; FDIC-insured checking accounts, debit cards and secured credit cards are provided through bank partners The Bancorp Bank, N.A. and Stride Bank, N.A. Chime earns revenue primarily from interchange fees on Chime-branded card spend (a payments-based model) rather than net interest margin on deposits and loans, which it frames as the structural difference from traditional banks.
historical · FY2025written 2026-08-30
C08facthigh confidence
Active Members reached 10.4 million in Q2 FY2026, up 20% year over year; Chime added 1.7 million net new Active Members over the trailing twelve months, more than in any prior 12-month period, and about 200,000 net new members in Q2 alone - roughly twice its typical seasonally-slower second-quarter pace. ARPAM grew 6% year over year to $260.
historical · Q2 FY2026written 2026-08-30
C22facthigh confidence
ChimeCore, Chime's proprietary payment processor and ledger launched in 2024, was built to let Chime develop products and process transactions in-house, reducing reliance on third-party vendors for transaction processing, ledgering, and technical operations; in 2025 Chime incurred $32.6 million of one-time costs to cease using its prior third-party payment processor.
historical · 2024-2025written 2026-08-30

How it makes money

Most of the money is the small fee a shop pays each time a member swipes a Chime card: $1.5B of last year's $2.19B of sales. The fastest-growing rest comes from short advances. MyPay lets members draw pay they have earned before payday; in the June quarter it advanced $4.5B and lost 0.9% of it.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C01facthigh confidence
Chime is an asset-light technology company, not a bank; FDIC-insured checking accounts, debit cards and secured credit cards are provided through bank partners The Bancorp Bank, N.A. and Stride Bank, N.A. Chime earns revenue primarily from interchange fees on Chime-branded card spend (a payments-based model) rather than net interest margin on deposits and loans, which it frames as the structural difference from traditional banks.
historical · FY2025written 2026-08-30
C02facthigh confidence
FY2025 total revenue was $2,186.8 million, up 31% from FY2024's $1,673.3 million: payments revenue $1,500.6 million (+18%) and platform-related revenue $686.2 million (+73%, driven by MyPay's 2024 launch and 2025's outbound instant transfers).
historical · FY2025written 2026-08-30
C19management claimmedium confidence
MyPay originations were $4.5 billion in Q2 FY2026 with a loss rate of 0.9% and a 64% transaction-profit margin, more than tripling MyPay transaction-profit dollars year over year; Instant Loans originations grew nearly 70% quarter over quarter to $300 million, with management expecting Instant Loans to exit Q3 FY2026 at an annualized revenue run rate above $100 million. On the earnings call, management said MyPay 'still operates at a price level that is half that of our competitors' and signaled it will intentionally let MyPay loss rates tick up somewhat in Q3 and Q4 FY2026 as it extends higher credit limits.
against this

Management's own stated plan is to deliberately raise MyPay loss rates going forward in exchange for higher transaction profit - a real credit-risk trade-off management is choosing, not merely disclosing, and one that has not yet shown up in a reported quarter.

current state · 2026-08-05written 2026-08-30
Where the money comes from, stream by stream
StreamShare of sales (Q2 FY2026)How it earns it
Debit-card interchange39%A cut of each purchase on Chime debit cards, paid by merchants through the card networks and passed on by the partner banks.
Credit-card interchange25%The same merchant fee on Chime's secured credit card, which earns a higher rate per purchase than debit.
MyPay17%Fees for getting part of a paycheck early, instantly, before payday; the advances are funded by Chime or its partner banks.
Other platform revenue19%Out-of-network ATM fees, instant transfers out, SpotMe tips, Instant Loans interest, cash-deposit fees and partner offers.

Who runs it

Co-founder Chris Britt has run Chime since he started it in 2012; his president, Troughton, is also covering finance until a new finance chief is found. Insiders own little of the stock but, through shares carrying 20 votes each, control two-thirds of the votes. The founders take no cash bonus: their extra shares pay out on sales growth plus profit as the company itself measures it, and on the share price. Neither measure counts the cost of paying staff in shares.

The evidence under this - 4 claims
C39facthigh confidence
Co-founder Christopher Britt has been chief executive and chairman since founding Chime in 2012, after Green Dot (chief product officer 2007-2010); co-founder Ryan King is a director and was chief technical officer to 2022 and 2023-2024; Mark Troughton, chief operating officer 2019-2025 and formerly president of Ring, has been president since December 2025 and interim CFO since August 2026; Adam Frankel has been general counsel since 2023.
current state · 2026-08-05written 2026-10-04
C40facthigh confidence
At March 31, 2026 directors and executive officers as a group held 4.1% of Class A and all 32.1M Class B shares, which carry 20 votes each: 66.2% of the voting power. Britt held 34.3% of the votes and King 31.1%. The largest outside holder was DST Global, 14.9% of Class A and 5.3% of the votes.
against this

The founders' economic stake is far smaller than their control: about 47M of some 383M shares, roughly an eighth, against two-thirds of the votes, so control does not rest on proportionate ownership.

current state · 2026-03-31written 2026-10-04
C41facthigh confidence
The 2025 bonus for executives other than the co-founders paid half on revenue and half on a modified Adjusted EBITDA margin (targets $2.167B and 5%), funded at 95% after downward discretion. The co-founders get no cash bonus; their 2025 performance shares vest on revenue growth plus Adjusted EBITDA margin reaching 40%, 45%, 50% and 55% in any year to 2032 (Britt 3.0M shares, King 1.8M), and on nine stock-price hurdles from $24.93 to $93.68.
against this

Both measures exclude stock pay, which is about 10% of revenue (C38), so the plan rewards a margin that leaves out the cost shareholders bear through dilution.

historical · FY2025 plan yearwritten 2026-10-04
C09facthigh confidence
On August 5, 2026, Chime announced CFO Matthew Newcomb would step down effective August 7, 2026, 'not due to any disagreement regarding the Company or any matter related to the Company's operations, policies or practices'; President Mark Troughton was named President & Interim CFO while a permanent-CFO search was initiated. Newcomb will remain as an advisor through a transition period ending no later than December 31, 2027.
current state · 2026-08-05written 2026-08-30
02

Why it wins, and who could beat it

Why customers come back

Chime's edge is cost. It has no branches and no loans of its own to fund, and it lends against the member's next paycheck, which lands in the Chime account first. That, management says, is how MyPay charges half what rivals do and still keeps 64% of its transaction income as profit.

Block, which owns Cash App, confirms the playbook from outside: its own annual report aims the same cheap, large-scale service at the same households.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C01facthigh confidence
Chime is an asset-light technology company, not a bank; FDIC-insured checking accounts, debit cards and secured credit cards are provided through bank partners The Bancorp Bank, N.A. and Stride Bank, N.A. Chime earns revenue primarily from interchange fees on Chime-branded card spend (a payments-based model) rather than net interest margin on deposits and loans, which it frames as the structural difference from traditional banks.
historical · FY2025written 2026-08-30
C19management claimmedium confidence
MyPay originations were $4.5 billion in Q2 FY2026 with a loss rate of 0.9% and a 64% transaction-profit margin, more than tripling MyPay transaction-profit dollars year over year; Instant Loans originations grew nearly 70% quarter over quarter to $300 million, with management expecting Instant Loans to exit Q3 FY2026 at an annualized revenue run rate above $100 million. On the earnings call, management said MyPay 'still operates at a price level that is half that of our competitors' and signaled it will intentionally let MyPay loss rates tick up somewhat in Q3 and Q4 FY2026 as it extends higher credit limits.
against this

Management's own stated plan is to deliberately raise MyPay loss rates going forward in exchange for higher transaction profit - a real credit-risk trade-off management is choosing, not merely disclosing, and one that has not yet shown up in a reported quarter.

current state · 2026-08-05written 2026-08-30
C16facthigh confidence
Block's own FY2025 10-K states that, with its bank partners, Cash App is 'aiming to become one of the top providers of banking services to households in the United States that earn up to $150,000 per year' - a target population Block itself describes independently of Chime, and one that overlaps heavily with Chime's own stated focus on adults earning up to $100,000 (and, in its stated growth strategy, expanding toward $200,000).
current state · 2026-02-26written 2026-08-30

The threat

Cash App is the closest rival. Block says it wants to be a top bank for American households earning up to $150,000, much the same people Chime serves, and Cash App's financial-services revenue alone was about 1.4 times Chime's whole revenue last year.

The evidence under this - 2 claims
C16facthigh confidence
Block's own FY2025 10-K states that, with its bank partners, Cash App is 'aiming to become one of the top providers of banking services to households in the United States that earn up to $150,000 per year' - a target population Block itself describes independently of Chime, and one that overlaps heavily with Chime's own stated focus on adults earning up to $100,000 (and, in its stated growth strategy, expanding toward $200,000).
current state · 2026-02-26written 2026-08-30
C18facthigh confidence
Block's Cash App segment reported $16,247,880 thousand of FY2025 revenue, of which $10,355,938 thousand (64%) was bitcoin ecosystem revenue (a low-margin, gross-reported pass-through) rather than the financial-services revenue comparable to Chime's business; Cash App's financial-solutions revenue alone was $3,165,594 thousand, still roughly 1.4 times Chime's entire FY2025 revenue.
historical · FY2025written 2026-08-30

The rivals: XYZ, SOFI, AFRM, KLAR, PYPL, NU, BAC, COF, C, JPM, PNC, WFC, ALLY.

Who else does this, rival by rival
TickerRivalHow far alongPriced against it
XYZBlock, Inc. (Cash App)Priced against it: Small part of itOn saleSmall part of it
SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.Priced against it: Small part of itOn saleSmall part of it
AFRM · KLAR · PYPLAffirm, Klarna and PayPalPriced against it: Different productOn saleDifferent product
NUNubank and RevolutPriced against it: Same productAnnouncedSame product
BAC · COF · C · JPM · PNC · WFC · ALLYTraditional card issuers and banks (Bank of America, Capital One, Citibank, J.P. Morgan Chase, PNC Bank, Wells Fargo, Ally, Discover)Priced against it: Small part of itOn saleSmall part of it
03

How big it could get

How big this could get

In 2023 the FDIC, which insures American bank deposits, counted about 24.6 million households that had no bank account or leaned on services outside one: 18.4% of all households. Chime does not say how many of its 10.4 million members came from that group, so nobody can say how much of the pool it already holds.

The evidence under this - 2 claims
C11facthigh confidence
The FDIC's 2023 National Survey found 4.2% of U.S. households (about 5.6 million) were unbanked and 14.2% (about 19.0 million) were underbanked, together about 18.4% (roughly 24.6 million households) using nonbank or no financial services for needs a traditional checking relationship would otherwise meet; 81.6% (about 109.1 million households) were fully banked.
current state · 2023-12-31written 2026-08-30
C08facthigh confidence
Active Members reached 10.4 million in Q2 FY2026, up 20% year over year; Chime added 1.7 million net new Active Members over the trailing twelve months, more than in any prior 12-month period, and about 200,000 net new members in Q2 alone - roughly twice its typical seasonally-slower second-quarter pace. ARPAM grew 6% year over year to $260.
historical · Q2 FY2026written 2026-08-30
04

The results

The numbers

Is it growing?Fast

Sales grew 26% over the twelve months to Jun 2026, about the same pace as the 31% in the year to Dec 2025.

Dec 2023: $1.28BDec 2024: $1.67BDec 2025: $2.19B12 mo to Jun 2026: $2.46B$1.28B$2.46B
Is it profitable?Losing

Operating margin is −2.1%, up from −18% in the year to Dec 2023.

Dec 2023: −18%Dec 2024: −3.7%Dec 2025: −48%12 mo to Jun 2026: −2.1%−18%−2.1%
Does growth pay off?Pays off

Running costs take 91¢ of each sales dollar, down from 101¢ in the year to Dec 2023.

Dec 2023: 101¢Dec 2024: 91¢Dec 2025: 136¢12 mo to Jun 2026: 91¢101¢91¢
Is it making cash?Solid

The business brought in $345M of cash from operations, 14% of sales, before capital spending, which the filer does not tag.

Dec 2023: −$157MDec 2024: $64.1MDec 2025: $52.8M12 mo to Jun 2026: $345M−$157M$345M
Are shares being diluted?Diluting

The share count rose 523% in 2.5 years, and pay in shares costs 11% of sales.

Dec 2023: 63.1MDec 2024: 64.9MDec 2025: 236M12 mo to Jun 2026: 393M63.1M393M
All the numbers

Filed figures from the company's 10-K and 10-Q, read 2026-10-04. Fiscal years end in December.

Dec 2023Dec 2024Dec 202512 mo to Jun 2026
Size and growth
Sales$1.28B$1.67B$2.19B$2.46B
Sales growth-+31%+31%+26%
Profit
Gross margin83%88%88%89%
Operating margin−18%−3.7%−48%−2.1%
Net margin−16%−1.5%−46%−0.7%
What growth costs, per sales dollar
Research and development20%19%43%19%
Sales and marketing35%31%29%26%
General and admin12%11%23%14%
Pay in shares2.0%1.8%49%11%
Capital spending0.8%0.3%0.9%-
Cash
Cash from operations−$157M$64.1M$52.8M$345M
Free cash flow−$167M$59.3M$32.9M-
Balance sheet
Cash and short-term investments$240M$707M$1.05B$1.06B
Returns and shares
Shares (diluted)63.1M64.9M236M393M

What growth costs

Growth is making Chime more profitable: marketing, technology and office costs each take a smaller share of every sales dollar each year. Two costs push the other way: losses on the pay advances and loans that earn its fastest-growing fees, and paying staff in shares, which rose sharply after the listing.

The evidence under this - 2 claims
C37facthigh confidence
Excluding stock pay and its payroll tax, sales and marketing fell from 34.6 cents per sales dollar in FY2023 to 31.0 in FY2024, 26.6 in FY2025 and 24.3 in H1 FY2026; technology and development from 19.4 to 17.8, 14.6 and 12.6; general and administrative from 11.4 to 9.8, 10.6 and 7.5; member support from 20.9 to 16.9, 14.4 and 14.2. Transaction and risk losses rose from 11.9 to 13.1 and 18.6 cents, then 14.6 in H1 FY2026. The numbers card's research-and-development tag is the same line as the income statement's technology and development.
against this

The cost of the credit that drives platform revenue grows faster than sales when MyPay and Instant Loans scale: transaction and risk losses rose 85% in FY2025, mostly MyPay (S01), and management has said MyPay loss rates will drift up (C19).

historical · FY2023 to H1 FY2026written 2026-10-04
C38facthigh confidence
Stock pay including payroll tax was $26.0M in FY2023 and $29.8M in FY2024, about 2% of revenue; $1,092.8M in FY2025, almost all from awards that vested at the June 2025 listing; and $136.0M in H1 FY2026, about 10% of revenue.
historical · FY2023 to H1 FY2026written 2026-10-04

The last report (5 Aug)

Quarter ended June 2026, filed figures.

27%
Sales growth
against the same quarter a year earlier
3.5%
Growth from the quarter before
against 8.6% the quarter before that
3¢
Operating profit
per dollar of sales

In the second quarter of 2026 sales grew 27% to $670M, and adjusted profit reached 15% of sales, up from 3% a year earlier: about 60 cents of each extra dollar of sales became profit. It also made a profit under standard accounting for a second quarter running; last year's $1.01B loss was almost all share awards that vested at the listing.

Chime added about 200,000 members, twice its usual second-quarter pace. The same week brought a 10% staff cut and the finance chief's exit.

What it did to the thesisIt supported the case that Chime turns extra sales into profit and keeps adding members. It also added the risk behind the Neutral view: a staff cut and the finance chief leaving in the same week, while the price already assumes this year's promised profit arrives cleanly.

The quarter in detail

Sales growth from the previous quarter, filed figures.

Earnings per share $0.07 against $0.00 expected; $0.07 as filed, with no adjustments.

The evidence under this - 6 claims
C06facthigh confidence
Q2 FY2026 revenue was $670 million, up 27% year over year; Adjusted EBITDA was $101.6 million at a 15% margin, up from 3% a year earlier - a 12-percentage-point expansion management attributed to a roughly 60% incremental Adjusted EBITDA margin on the quarter's revenue growth.
historical · Q2 FY2026written 2026-08-30
C05facthigh confidence
Q2 FY2026 GAAP net income was $27.9 million (4% net margin), Chime's second consecutive quarter of positive GAAP net income; H1 FY2026 net income was $81.3 million, against a net loss of $910.4 million in H1 FY2025 (which included the IPO stock-compensation cliff).
historical · Q2 FY2026written 2026-08-30
C03facthigh confidence
FY2025 GAAP net loss was $1,009.9 million (net margin -46%), driven overwhelmingly by $1,092.8 million of stock-based compensation expense and related payroll tax - the liquidity-based vesting condition on RSUs granted before the IPO was satisfied at the June 2025 IPO, triggering recognition of previously unrecognized expense. FY2024 net loss was $25.3 million (-2% margin); FY2023 was $203.2 million (-16% margin).
historical · FY2025written 2026-08-30
C08facthigh confidence
Active Members reached 10.4 million in Q2 FY2026, up 20% year over year; Chime added 1.7 million net new Active Members over the trailing twelve months, more than in any prior 12-month period, and about 200,000 net new members in Q2 alone - roughly twice its typical seasonally-slower second-quarter pace. ARPAM grew 6% year over year to $260.
historical · Q2 FY2026written 2026-08-30
C10facthigh confidence
On July 31, 2026, Chime committed to a reorganization reducing its workforce by approximately 10%, expecting $16-$20 million of net cash restructuring charges in Q3 2026, partly offset by a $9-12 million reversal of previously recognized stock-based compensation for forfeited awards, for a net income impact of roughly $6-9 million. CEO Christopher Britt told analysts the action was taken 'from a position of strength' to keep teams 'lean' and 'flatter' using AI, with some savings reinvested into growth.
against this

The restructuring and the CFO's departure were announced within days of each other, alongside a raised full-year guide - a combination consistent with the 'position of strength' framing, but also the kind of clustering of a cost action and a finance-leadership change that a reader should not wave away as coincidence without more than management's own characterization to go on.

current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-08-30
C09facthigh confidence
On August 5, 2026, Chime announced CFO Matthew Newcomb would step down effective August 7, 2026, 'not due to any disagreement regarding the Company or any matter related to the Company's operations, policies or practices'; President Mark Troughton was named President & Interim CFO while a permanent-CFO search was initiated. Newcomb will remain as an advisor through a transition period ending no later than December 31, 2027.
current state · 2026-08-05written 2026-08-30
What management did with the money

It bought back shares with cash: a $200M programme finished by May, and a second $200M approved. In September it agreed to spend $590M of cash on Stride, about 1.5 times the bank's net assets, without raising new money.

Insiders in 2026Q2: 9 purchases and 12 sales, from their Form 4 filings.

The evidence under this - 2 claims
C23facthigh confidence
In November 2025, Chime's board authorized a $200 million share-repurchase program; the company had repurchased $77.5 million of Class A shares by December 31, 2025. By its Q1 FY2026 release (May 6, 2026), that authorization was fully completed, and the board approved a second, additional $200 million repurchase authorization - both funded from cash rather than by issuing new shares.
historical · Q4 2025 - Q1 2026written 2026-08-30
C33facthigh confidence
On September 8, 2026 Chime agreed to acquire Central Service Corporation, parent of Stride Bank, N.A. - one of its two bank partners, for more than seven years - for $590 million in cash, about 1.5 times Stride's tangible book value, funded from balance-sheet cash with no new capital. Closing is expected in the first half of 2027 and requires approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve Board; on closing Chime becomes a bank holding company and Stride becomes Chime Bank, N.A.
against this

The 8-K names what is new rather than what is settled: approval may not come on the expected timeline or at all, may carry conditions that adversely affect Chime, and bank-holding-company status brings Federal Reserve supervision and regulatory requirements Chime has never carried.

current state · 2026-09-08written 2026-09-24
05

The price, and where we disagree

In short. Fair. The price pays for the profit Chime has promised this year and the growth already in hand, nothing more. That profit has to show up in reported results before further growth comes free.

Share price
$26.46
close,
Price for each $1 of sales
4.3
its 4-year normal 9.3
Price for each $1 of net worth
7.2
its 4-year normal 13.2

The shares fell about 20% after we first wrote while the profit forecast rose, so the price of each dollar of promised profit dropped from about 25 times to 18.5.

The test is 4 November. The September quarter is guided to about $705M of sales and $117M to $120M of adjusted profit, roughly 17%. A permanent finance chief would be news too.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C29estimatemedium confidence
At the September 23, 2026 close of $26.46 and 378,585,111 shares outstanding on August 3, 2026 (Class A 347,019,852 and Class B 31,565,259), CHYM's market capitalisation was about $10.02 billion and, against $1,063.4 million of cash and marketable securities at June 30, 2026, its enterprise value about $8.95 billion - roughly 18.5 times the raised FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint of $485 million (C07), against about 25 times the $470 million midpoint when this thesis was written at $33.20. The Stride purchase (C33) is to be paid from that cash, so after closing the same share price carries an enterprise value about $590 million higher.
against this
  • The vendor pack's own EV/EBITDA figure is -2,057.58x TTM (C30) - not because the business is doing badly, but because it is computed off GAAP EBITDA, which is still swamped by the IPO stock-compensation cliff in the trailing window. That vendor figure and this thesis's own Adjusted-EBITDA-based multiple are answering different questions from the same starting point, and only one of them is usable.
  • The multiple is struck on guidance for a year not yet complete. Against trailing-twelve-month Adjusted EBITDA through June 2026 of about $305.7 million, the same enterprise value is about 29 times.
  1. 2026-09-24editedRe-struck at the 2026-09-23 close on filed cash and shares and the raised guidance midpoint; the price had fallen 20% since the thesis while the guide rose 3%.
current state · 2026-09-23written 2026-08-30
C07management claimmedium confidence
On September 8, 2026 Chime raised FY2026 guidance to revenue of $2.76-$2.77 billion (about 26%-27% growth) and Adjusted EBITDA of $481-$489 million (a 17%-18% margin), and guided Q3 FY2026 to revenue of about $705 million (about 30% growth) and Adjusted EBITDA of $117-$120 million (roughly 17%). The guide it replaced, issued with Q2 results, was $2.725-$2.745 billion and $465-$475 million.
against this
  • The guidance was raised the same week the company announced a ~10% workforce reduction and its CFO's departure - both real, recent, unresolved events that could cut either way on execution risk even though management frames the cost action as expansionary, not defensive (see C09, C10).
  • This raise came in an acquisition announcement rather than with a reported quarter, so no new filed quarter stands behind it; the first reported test of it is the Q3 print on 2026-11-04.
  1. 2026-09-24editedSuperseded on 2026-09-08: guidance raised for the fourth time in the Stride announcement (S12).
forwardwritten 2026-08-30
C09facthigh confidence
On August 5, 2026, Chime announced CFO Matthew Newcomb would step down effective August 7, 2026, 'not due to any disagreement regarding the Company or any matter related to the Company's operations, policies or practices'; President Mark Troughton was named President & Interim CFO while a permanent-CFO search was initiated. Newcomb will remain as an advisor through a transition period ending no later than December 31, 2027.
current state · 2026-08-05written 2026-08-30
How we read the multiple

The whole company, after its cash, costs about 18.5 times the $481M to $489M of profit Chime promises this year, on its own adjusted measure. That is 17 to 18 cents of profit on each dollar of sales.

The price pays for that and the growth in hand, and asks for nothing more. For the shares to be cheap, that margin must keep climbing past the promise; for them to be dear, the promise must slip.

Against its own history. Far cheaper than its own short history, while the business now makes a profit. But that history is brief and was set while it lost money, so it anchors little.

The evidence under this - 2 claims
C29estimatemedium confidence
At the September 23, 2026 close of $26.46 and 378,585,111 shares outstanding on August 3, 2026 (Class A 347,019,852 and Class B 31,565,259), CHYM's market capitalisation was about $10.02 billion and, against $1,063.4 million of cash and marketable securities at June 30, 2026, its enterprise value about $8.95 billion - roughly 18.5 times the raised FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint of $485 million (C07), against about 25 times the $470 million midpoint when this thesis was written at $33.20. The Stride purchase (C33) is to be paid from that cash, so after closing the same share price carries an enterprise value about $590 million higher.
against this
  • The vendor pack's own EV/EBITDA figure is -2,057.58x TTM (C30) - not because the business is doing badly, but because it is computed off GAAP EBITDA, which is still swamped by the IPO stock-compensation cliff in the trailing window. That vendor figure and this thesis's own Adjusted-EBITDA-based multiple are answering different questions from the same starting point, and only one of them is usable.
  • The multiple is struck on guidance for a year not yet complete. Against trailing-twelve-month Adjusted EBITDA through June 2026 of about $305.7 million, the same enterprise value is about 29 times.
  1. 2026-09-24editedRe-struck at the 2026-09-23 close on filed cash and shares and the raised guidance midpoint; the price had fallen 20% since the thesis while the guide rose 3%.
current state · 2026-09-23written 2026-08-30
C07management claimmedium confidence
On September 8, 2026 Chime raised FY2026 guidance to revenue of $2.76-$2.77 billion (about 26%-27% growth) and Adjusted EBITDA of $481-$489 million (a 17%-18% margin), and guided Q3 FY2026 to revenue of about $705 million (about 30% growth) and Adjusted EBITDA of $117-$120 million (roughly 17%). The guide it replaced, issued with Q2 results, was $2.725-$2.745 billion and $465-$475 million.
against this
  • The guidance was raised the same week the company announced a ~10% workforce reduction and its CFO's departure - both real, recent, unresolved events that could cut either way on execution risk even though management frames the cost action as expansionary, not defensive (see C09, C10).
  • This raise came in an acquisition announcement rather than with a reported quarter, so no new filed quarter stands behind it; the first reported test of it is the Q3 print on 2026-11-04.
  1. 2026-09-24editedSuperseded on 2026-09-08: guidance raised for the fourth time in the Stride announcement (S12).
forwardwritten 2026-08-30
Priced against its rivals

Only Nu Holdings sells the same thing to the same buyers as a large part of what it does. Block, SoFi Technologies, Bank of America, Capital One Financial, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase & Co., The PNC Financial Services Group, Wells Fargo & Company and Ally Financial do too, but as a small part of much bigger companies, so their price says little about this one. A price comparison needs at least two, so the price is judged against its own history instead.

Where we disagree with the market

The market believes

Analysts are nearly unanimous: 13 rate the shares a buy, 1 a hold, none a sell, finance chief's exit or not.

We believe

The price assumes the forecast holds cleanly. A departing finance chief and a staff cut in the same week are real risks, not noise.

The standard measures make the shares look absurd, because listing-era share awards still swamp the accounts. On the company's own adjusted profit, the price pays for the plan and no more, so a stumble is not priced in.

We are wrong if the September quarter lands at or above the forecast and a permanent finance chief is named without more upheaval.

What analysts say, and the evidence
Analysts positive
88%
of 24, 1 Sep
Four months earlier
84%
of 19, 1 May
The evidence under this - 5 claims
C28factmedium confidence
Analyst consensus as of 2026-10-04 was 16 buy, 1 hold and 0 sell (FMP grade consensus) - a strongly bullish split, three more buys than the 13 buy and 1 hold recorded in August.
  1. 2026-10-04editedvalid_through of 2026-09-30 passed; re-struck on FMP's grade consensus of 2026-10-04 (16 buy, 1 hold, 0 sell) and shelf life rolled to the Q3 print
current state · 2026-10-04written 2026-08-30
C30facthigh confidence
The vendor pack's trailing-twelve-month EV/EBITDA reads -2,057.58x (against a prior-year median of -44.28x) and TTM P/E reads -585.54x - both computed on GAAP earnings still dominated by the FY2025 IPO stock-compensation cliff (C03), not on the Adjusted EBITDA management and analysts actually use to evaluate the business (C04, C29).
current state · 2026-08-30written 2026-08-30
C29estimatemedium confidence
At the September 23, 2026 close of $26.46 and 378,585,111 shares outstanding on August 3, 2026 (Class A 347,019,852 and Class B 31,565,259), CHYM's market capitalisation was about $10.02 billion and, against $1,063.4 million of cash and marketable securities at June 30, 2026, its enterprise value about $8.95 billion - roughly 18.5 times the raised FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint of $485 million (C07), against about 25 times the $470 million midpoint when this thesis was written at $33.20. The Stride purchase (C33) is to be paid from that cash, so after closing the same share price carries an enterprise value about $590 million higher.
against this
  • The vendor pack's own EV/EBITDA figure is -2,057.58x TTM (C30) - not because the business is doing badly, but because it is computed off GAAP EBITDA, which is still swamped by the IPO stock-compensation cliff in the trailing window. That vendor figure and this thesis's own Adjusted-EBITDA-based multiple are answering different questions from the same starting point, and only one of them is usable.
  • The multiple is struck on guidance for a year not yet complete. Against trailing-twelve-month Adjusted EBITDA through June 2026 of about $305.7 million, the same enterprise value is about 29 times.
  1. 2026-09-24editedRe-struck at the 2026-09-23 close on filed cash and shares and the raised guidance midpoint; the price had fallen 20% since the thesis while the guide rose 3%.
current state · 2026-09-23written 2026-08-30
C09facthigh confidence
On August 5, 2026, Chime announced CFO Matthew Newcomb would step down effective August 7, 2026, 'not due to any disagreement regarding the Company or any matter related to the Company's operations, policies or practices'; President Mark Troughton was named President & Interim CFO while a permanent-CFO search was initiated. Newcomb will remain as an advisor through a transition period ending no later than December 31, 2027.
current state · 2026-08-05written 2026-08-30
C10facthigh confidence
On July 31, 2026, Chime committed to a reorganization reducing its workforce by approximately 10%, expecting $16-$20 million of net cash restructuring charges in Q3 2026, partly offset by a $9-12 million reversal of previously recognized stock-based compensation for forfeited awards, for a net income impact of roughly $6-9 million. CEO Christopher Britt told analysts the action was taken 'from a position of strength' to keep teams 'lean' and 'flatter' using AI, with some savings reinvested into growth.
against this

The restructuring and the CFO's departure were announced within days of each other, alongside a raised full-year guide - a combination consistent with the 'position of strength' framing, but also the kind of clustering of a cost action and a finance-leadership change that a reader should not wave away as coincidence without more than management's own characterization to go on.

current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-08-30
06

What could go wrong, and how we would know

The risks

  • Two regulators must approve Stride. Buying its bank needs the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve, and closing is not expected before the first half of 2027.
  • A ceiling on the main income. Card-issuing banks under $10B of assets escape a federal cap on swipe fees. Chime has promised to keep its assets below that line.
  • Partner banks can say no. Bancorp caps what it will carry for Chime's advances at about $1.7B, and can limit new ones if expected losses rise.
  • Losses allowed to rise. Management plans to let MyPay losses tick up this half as it raises members' limits.
  • A record with regulators. A 2024 order from the federal consumer regulator runs to 2029, after earlier fines in California and Illinois.
The evidence under this - 6 claims
C33facthigh confidence
On September 8, 2026 Chime agreed to acquire Central Service Corporation, parent of Stride Bank, N.A. - one of its two bank partners, for more than seven years - for $590 million in cash, about 1.5 times Stride's tangible book value, funded from balance-sheet cash with no new capital. Closing is expected in the first half of 2027 and requires approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve Board; on closing Chime becomes a bank holding company and Stride becomes Chime Bank, N.A.
against this

The 8-K names what is new rather than what is settled: approval may not come on the expected timeline or at all, may carry conditions that adversely affect Chime, and bank-holding-company status brings Federal Reserve supervision and regulatory requirements Chime has never carried.

current state · 2026-09-08written 2026-09-24
C35facthigh confidence
Regulation II exempts debit-card issuers that, together with their affiliates, hold less than $10 billion of assets from its caps on interchange fees; Chime's 10-K says interchange has historically been a substantial majority of its revenue and that it depends in part on its bank partners keeping that exemption. Announcing the Stride deal, Chime said it 'will manage its balance sheet and keep its assets below $10 billion for the foreseeable future.'
current state · 2026-09-08written 2026-09-24
C12facthigh confidence
Chime's bank partners cap the balance-sheet exposure they will carry for Chime-branded liquidity products: Bancorp's commitment is capped at 200% of its own tier 1 capital in aggregate (about $1.7 billion as of December 31, 2025) and 125% (about $1.1 billion) excluding Credit Builder, with the right to limit originations if forecast losses exceed a specified threshold; Stride has a contractual option to sell individual MyPay receivables back to Chime once they age two days past origination, and Chime must maintain a minimum $5 million cash reserve against Stride-related negative balances.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-08-30
C19management claimmedium confidence
MyPay originations were $4.5 billion in Q2 FY2026 with a loss rate of 0.9% and a 64% transaction-profit margin, more than tripling MyPay transaction-profit dollars year over year; Instant Loans originations grew nearly 70% quarter over quarter to $300 million, with management expecting Instant Loans to exit Q3 FY2026 at an annualized revenue run rate above $100 million. On the earnings call, management said MyPay 'still operates at a price level that is half that of our competitors' and signaled it will intentionally let MyPay loss rates tick up somewhat in Q3 and Q4 FY2026 as it extends higher credit limits.
against this

Management's own stated plan is to deliberately raise MyPay loss rates going forward in exchange for higher transaction profit - a real credit-risk trade-off management is choosing, not merely disclosing, and one that has not yet shown up in a reported quarter.

current state · 2026-08-05written 2026-08-30
C13facthigh confidence
In May 2024, Chime entered a Consent Order with the CFPB, agreeing to pay a $3.25 million penalty and $1.3 million in redress to former members sent allegedly delayed account-closure balance checks, plus five years of enhanced compliance, reporting and recordkeeping obligations running through 2029.
historical · May 2024written 2026-08-30
C14facthigh confidence
In February 2024, Chime entered a Consent Order with the DFPI (California), paying a $2.5 million penalty and agreeing to customer-service process enhancements. Chime had earlier (March 2021) settled with the DFPI and the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation over marketing practices allegedly implying it was a bank, paying a $200,000 penalty to Illinois.
historical · 2021-2024written 2026-08-30
What we still do not know
  • Whether the partner banks' caps on Chime's advances have ever actually stopped a loan. The filings describe the limit, not its history.
  • How many members had no bank, or a poor one, before joining: how much of the pool Chime already holds.
  • Who the permanent finance chief will be, and when.
The evidence under this - 4 claims
C12facthigh confidence
Chime's bank partners cap the balance-sheet exposure they will carry for Chime-branded liquidity products: Bancorp's commitment is capped at 200% of its own tier 1 capital in aggregate (about $1.7 billion as of December 31, 2025) and 125% (about $1.1 billion) excluding Credit Builder, with the right to limit originations if forecast losses exceed a specified threshold; Stride has a contractual option to sell individual MyPay receivables back to Chime once they age two days past origination, and Chime must maintain a minimum $5 million cash reserve against Stride-related negative balances.
current state · 2025-12-31written 2026-08-30
C11facthigh confidence
The FDIC's 2023 National Survey found 4.2% of U.S. households (about 5.6 million) were unbanked and 14.2% (about 19.0 million) were underbanked, together about 18.4% (roughly 24.6 million households) using nonbank or no financial services for needs a traditional checking relationship would otherwise meet; 81.6% (about 109.1 million households) were fully banked.
current state · 2023-12-31written 2026-08-30
C08facthigh confidence
Active Members reached 10.4 million in Q2 FY2026, up 20% year over year; Chime added 1.7 million net new Active Members over the trailing twelve months, more than in any prior 12-month period, and about 200,000 net new members in Q2 alone - roughly twice its typical seasonally-slower second-quarter pace. ARPAM grew 6% year over year to $260.
historical · Q2 FY2026written 2026-08-30
C09facthigh confidence
On August 5, 2026, Chime announced CFO Matthew Newcomb would step down effective August 7, 2026, 'not due to any disagreement regarding the Company or any matter related to the Company's operations, policies or practices'; President Mark Troughton was named President & Interim CFO while a permanent-CFO search was initiated. Newcomb will remain as an advisor through a transition period ending no later than December 31, 2027.
current state · 2026-08-05written 2026-08-30

What would change our view

  1. Neutral→AttractivePriced for the guided margin, not for more of it

    It needs:

    • ○The company's value falls to about 15 times this year's promised adjusted profit: paying for the plan, with the growth free.about ≈$21.45 today, 19% below the last close
  2. Neutral→AttractiveThe margin runs past its own guidance, at a lesser discount

    It needs:

    • ○Adjusted profit tops 17% of sales two reported quarters running, sales growth stays above 20%, and the price stays under about 20 times.checked at the next results, due by 4 Nov
  3. Reopens the researchThe bank-partner cap is shown never to bind

    It needs:

    • ○Chime shows whether its partner banks' caps on its advances have ever actually held it back.checked at the next results, due by 4 Nov
We would also be wrong if
  • Adjusted profit falls back below 10% of sales for two quarters in a row.
  • Growth in active members slows below 10% a year.
  • After Stride, assets approach $10B or the bank loses its exemption from the swipe-fee cap.

What is coming

  • 4 November 2026 Q3 FY2026 results: Adjusted EBITDA against the $117-120M guide on about $705M of revenue, MyPay losses against the slight rise flagged, and whether a permanent CFO is named.
Every dated event ahead
  • 4 November 2026 Q3 FY2026 results: Adjusted EBITDA against the $117-120M guide on about $705M of revenue, MyPay losses against the slight rise flagged, and whether a permanent CFO is named.
  • February 2027 Q4 FY2026 results and FY2027 guidance: Whether a second quarter clears a 17% Adjusted EBITDA margin, which route P2 needs, and whether FY2026 clears the co-founders' first 40% growth-and-profit tranche.
  • June 2027 Stride Bank acquisition closes: Whether the OCC and Federal Reserve approve on time and without onerous conditions, and how close a bank-owning Chime sits to the $10 billion interchange-cap line.
Since we wrote this
Written
30 Aug
Price the thesis read
$26.46
23 Sep
  • 5 OctThesis reviewThe long case now sits under the verdictAfter the five-name pilot, the owner asked for the long case on every thesis.
  • 4 OctThesis reviewAnalyst ratings re-checked. View heldThe one expired market fact was refreshed and still reads strongly bullish. Nothing in the argument depends on it, so the view waits on the November print.
  • 4 OctThesis reviewOwner's checklist: revenue streams, cost of growth, management, catalystsThe owner's checklist found the method silent on who runs the company, what growth costs, where the money comes from and what is dated ahead; this pass fills those four blocks from the proxy and filings.
  • 24 SepNewsChime to buy its partner bank as price falls 20%. View heldA fourth forecast raise and the fall mean the shares now pay for the promised margin. No reported quarter has shown that margin yet, so the view waits on November.
  • 30 AugThesis writtenNeutral, medium convictionProfit margins had risen fast, but the finance chief left and staff were cut the same week the forecast went up.

Also checked 2 times with nothing new to act on.

Sources 16

Where this came from

Sources - 16

Every claim above cites one of these, or states the reasoning that derived it. The quote is frozen at the date it was read: a link can rot, and an agent fetch returns a reading of a page rather than the page. Backs counts the whole claim ledger, so it can name a claim this page does not surface.

  1. S01primarycompany filing2026-03-06
    Business description, bank-partner structure and capital constraints, competition risk factors, CFPB/DFPI consent order history, revenue/expense detail, balance sheet, share count, buyback program, key metrics (Active Members, Purchase Volume, ARPAM).
    backsC01C02C03C04C12C13C14C15C22C23C24C25C30C35C36C37C38C42C43
  2. S02primarycompany filing2026-08-05
    Q2 FY2026 GAAP and adjusted results, raised FY2026 guidance, the July 31 2026 ~10% workforce reduction and its expected cost, and the CFO transition (Matthew Newcomb departing, Mark Troughton named President & Interim CFO).
    backsC05C06C07C08C09C10C19C20C21C31C39
  3. S03primarytranscript2026-08-05
    Chime Financial Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript (2026-08-05)
    CEO's framing of the workforce reduction as being done 'from a position of strength', MyPay/Instant Loans loss-rate and pricing commentary, Chime Enterprise pipeline color. The Q&A is a distinct origin from the prepared remarks even though both share this filing's independence group.
    I think as you can see from these results we just reported, we are truly taking this action from a position of strength.
    backsC10C19
  4. S04primarycompany filing2026-02-26
    Cash App's own description of targeting 'households in the United States that earn up to $150,000 per year' - external confirmation that Chime's target population is contested by a well-capitalized rival - and Cash App/Square segment revenue detail used to assess cohort perimeter.
    backsC16C18
  5. S05primarycompany filing2026-04-08
    Nu's own description of serving customers 'unserved or underserved by incumbent banks' in Brazil, Mexico and Colombia - a near-identical positioning to Chime's, in a different geography, used as a cohort candidate.
    backsC17
  6. S06primarygovernment data2023
    The regulator's own count of unbanked and underbanked U.S. households - the population Chime's own positioning targets - independent of Chime's own S-1/10-K market-sizing assertions.
    In 2023, 4.2 percent of U.S. households-representing about 5.6 million households-were unbanked...In 2023, 14.2 percent of U.S. households-representing about 19.0 million households-were considered underbanked
    backsC11
  7. S07secondaryvendor data2026-08-30
    CHYM research pack (market tier) - price, volatility, analyst split, insider filings, short interest, earnings history
    Last close price and market cap, 20-day volatility, analyst consensus split, Form 4 insider activity, earnings-beat history, technicals.
    backsC26C28C30
  8. S08primarygovernment data2026-08-30
    CHYM's short interest at the most recent FINRA settlement.
    18,952,244 shares short, 8.4% of float, settled 2026-08-14, -17.8% vs prior settlement, 1.56 days to cover
    read, but no claim rests on it
  9. S09primarycompany filing2026-02-25
    The original FY2026 guidance (before the Q2 2026 raise) and management's own statement that 2026 was expected to be Chime's first full year of GAAP net income profitability.
    backsC31
  10. S10primarycompany filing2026-05-06
    Completion of the original $200 million buyback and a new $200 million authorization, the Q1 FY2026 guidance raise (the middle step of the three-step FY2026 guidance progression), and Active Member and primary-account-growth figures.
    backsC23C31C32
  11. S11primarycompany filing2026-08-06
    June 30, 2026 balance sheet (cash and cash equivalents $536.0 million, marketable securities $527.4 million) and the Class A and Class B share counts outstanding on August 3, 2026.
    backsC29C36C37C38C42C43
  12. S12primarycompany filing2026-09-08
    The merger agreement with Central Service Corporation (parent of Stride Bank, N.A.) for $590 million in cash, its approval conditions and expected timing, management's synergy and accretion statements, the commitment to keep assets below $10 billion, and raised Q3 and FY2026 guidance.
    backsC07C29C31C33C34C35
  13. S13primarygovernment data2026-09-24
    CHYM's short interest at the most recent FINRA settlement.
    21,348,953 shares short, 9.5% of float, settled 2026-08-31, +12.7% vs prior settlement, 3.06 days to cover
    backsC27
  14. S14secondaryvendor data2026-09-24
    CHYM research pack (market tier), refreshed - last close and market capitalisation
    Last completed-session close of $26.46 on 2026-09-23.
    backsC29
  15. S15secondaryvendor data2026-10-04
    FMP grades-consensus and price-target-summary snapshot, CHYM
    Current analyst rating split: 16 buy, 1 hold, 0 sell.
    backsC28
  16. S16primarycompany filing2026-04-17
    Directors and executive officers with tenure, beneficial ownership at March 31, 2026 by class and voting power, the 2025 bonus plan's metrics and targets, and the 2025 co-founder performance awards (growth-and-profit and stock-price-hurdle PSUs).
    backsC39C40C41C43
Rendered from content/CHYM/thesis.json · thesis reviewed 2026-10-04. This page explains a company; it does not say what to pay, when to buy or how much.