← All thesesNTNXNeutralMedium convictionFriday 16 October 2026עברית

Nutanix

Nutanix sells the software that turns a company's own servers into a private cloud, and is the first place many VMware customers look when they leave.

Our viewNeutral Medium conviction
The scores
The profile · 1-4
Growth3/4 →

Revenue grew 15%, 18% and 12% in three years and ARR 16%, but FY2026 slowed and the FY2027 guide holds near 12%.

Business quality3/4 ↑

Hypervisor switching costs are real and Gartner ranks Nutanix first, but Broadcom's renewals keep growing and Microsoft and Red Hat ship alternatives.

Financial position4/4 →

About $1.0B of net cash after the convertible notes and $841M of free cash flow; the $500M 2027 notes are covered by cash.

Execution record3/4 →

Beat adjusted earnings eight quarters running and FY2026 revenue topped the cut guide, but that guide was cut once.

Per share capture3/4 →

Buybacks exceeded share pay and diluted shares fell, but share pay takes 43% of free cash flow and the 2027 notes are in the money.

Potential3/4 →

A large base is moving off VMware on Gartner's estimate and $3.44B is contracted, but the share Nutanix wins is not measured.

Risk profile3/4 →

No end customer above 10%, but two distributors carry 47% of revenue and server supply sets the timing of sales.

Valuation3/4 ↓

About 37 times cash after share pay and 21 times free cash flow: fair if growth reaches management's FY2029 target, not cheap.

Evidence quality3/4 →

Revenue, cash and the balance sheet are filed, but ARR, retention, the migration rate and the new lines rest on management or reported Gartner views.

The bet · 2-3 years
Safe, little upside1.1×

If it works 1.1× · if it fails you keep about 98%.

The Verdict

We rate Nutanix Neutral. The business is solid: customers rarely leave once their systems run on it, they spend more each year, and it turns a large share of sales into cash. VMware's customers are moving after Broadcom raised prices, and Nutanix is the alternative an industry analyst tells them to try first. But they move slowly, at their next hardware refresh, and after the shares rose by about three quarters in six months the price is fair rather than cheap: it already assumes management's plan for faster growth. As a bet on its new storage and AI lines it is Defensive: little upside, little to lose.

The long caseMost VMware customers keep their data on separate storage arrays; letting them move without replacing those arrays widens who can leave for Nutanix.

The evidence under this - 6 claims
C32factmedium confidence
Gartner VP analyst Julia Palmer said in September 2025 that more than a third of VMware workloads will run on another platform by 2028, that a full migration takes three years or more, that no rival offers a superior platform, and that VMware users should consider Nutanix first, though its prices are not much lower.
against this

Palmer advised against moving every workload, and Gartner's guide expects most organisations not to move until 2027 (C31), so the third is a ceiling-shaped estimate spread over years.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C38facthigh confidence
The 10-K warns that VMware customers may stay under multi-year commitments or defer migration until their next hardware or software refresh, so the opportunity may arrive in multiple waves over an extended period.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C20inferencemedium confidence
At $69.98 the company value is about $17.9B: the $18.93B market value less $2.36B of cash and investments plus $1.36B of convertible notes. That is about 37 times FY2026 free cash flow after share pay ($483.0M), 21 times free cash flow and 6.3 times revenue.
derivedThe market value and close (C19), cash, investments and notes (C15), free cash flow and share pay (C13) and revenue (C02), combined arithmetically.
against this
  • Free cash flow is lifted by multi-year prepayment (C16, C17), so 37 times may understate what the price asks of the business once payment terms shorten.
  • The 2027 notes are in the money, so treating them as $500M of debt understates dilution by about $106M of value at today's price.
current state · 2026-10-15written 2026-10-16
C39management claimlow confidence
At its April 2026 investor day Nutanix set a medium-term target of mid- to high-teens revenue and ARR growth in FY2029.
against this

Revenue growth was 12% in FY2026 and is guided at about 12% for FY2027 (C02, C05), so the target needs an acceleration that has not yet begun.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C08management claimmedium confidence
Net dollar-based retention was 106% at the end of Q4 FY2026, flat on the quarter: existing customers spent $1.06 for each dollar a year earlier.
against this

Retention is a company-defined metric stated on the call; it is not in the 10-K and cannot be checked from filings.

current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C35management claimlow confidence
The chief executive says hyperconverged deals will still be the bulk of FY2027 new business, but expects external storage support to lead FY2027's growth; Nutanix supports Dell PowerFlex and PowerStore and Everpure FlashArray, NetApp is in limited availability, and it signed several seven-figure deals on external storage in Q4. No revenue for it is disclosed.
against this
  • The 10-K warns that external storage may cannibalise Nutanix's own hyperconverged sales.
  • No figure is filed, so the claim that it leads growth cannot be checked.
forwardwritten 2026-10-16
01

The company

Every company that runs its own computers needs software to split each server into many virtual ones and to store their data safely. For years that meant VMware. Nutanix sells the alternative: a storage layer that pools the disks inside the servers, a hypervisor (the software that runs the virtual machines) and one console to manage it all, mostly on multi-year subscriptions.

Buyers are company IT departments. Gartner's analyst tells VMware users to look at Nutanix first, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise names it as a main rival.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C01facthigh confidence
Nutanix sells software that runs a company's own data centre as a private cloud: Nutanix Cloud Infrastructure (the AOS storage layer and the AHV hypervisor), cloud clusters on AWS, Azure, Google Cloud and OVHcloud (NC2), Kubernetes (NKP), unified storage, database services and Nutanix Enterprise AI. It runs on servers from partners, and Supermicro builds its own NX hardware.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C32factmedium confidence
Gartner VP analyst Julia Palmer said in September 2025 that more than a third of VMware workloads will run on another platform by 2028, that a full migration takes three years or more, that no rival offers a superior platform, and that VMware users should consider Nutanix first, though its prices are not much lower.
against this

Palmer advised against moving every workload, and Gartner's guide expects most organisations not to move until 2027 (C31), so the third is a ceiling-shaped estimate spread over years.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C35management claimlow confidence
The chief executive says hyperconverged deals will still be the bulk of FY2027 new business, but expects external storage support to lead FY2027's growth; Nutanix supports Dell PowerFlex and PowerStore and Everpure FlashArray, NetApp is in limited availability, and it signed several seven-figure deals on external storage in Q4. No revenue for it is disclosed.
against this
  • The 10-K warns that external storage may cannibalise Nutanix's own hyperconverged sales.
  • No figure is filed, so the claim that it leads growth cannot be checked.
forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C44facthigh confidence
Nutanix holds 626 issued US patents and employed about 8,350 people at 31 July 2026.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C29facthigh confidence
Hewlett Packard Enterprise's FY2025 10-K names Nutanix among the primary competitors of its Hybrid Cloud business, beside Broadcom, Cisco, Dell, IBM, NetApp and Pure Storage and the public clouds.
historical · HPE FY2025written 2026-10-16

How it makes money

Customers sign subscriptions, usually for about three years and often paid upfront. Half of revenue is the licence, counted when the subscription starts; most of the rest is support and cloud services, counted month by month; services are 5%.

Recurring revenue reached $2.55B. Existing customers spend $1.06 a year later for every dollar before, and $3.44B of signed contracts is still to be counted as revenue. Most sales pass through distributors, two of them handling 47%.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C04facthigh confidence
Subscription revenue was $2,712.3M in FY2026, 95% of revenue: $1,299.7M recognised over time (support, SaaS and similar) and $1,412.6M of upfront licence revenue on term licences. Professional services and other revenue was $141.3M.
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-16
C03factmedium confidence
Annual recurring revenue was $2,548.8M at 31 July 2026, up 16% from $2,201.7M a year earlier; Nutanix changed how it counts ARR from the first quarter of FY2026.
against this
  • ARR is a company-defined metric, not audited, and its method changed during the year, so the 16% compares two definitions restated by the company.
  • Revenue grew 12% against ARR's 16%, a gap the CFO puts down to future start dates (C07).
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-16
C08management claimmedium confidence
Net dollar-based retention was 106% at the end of Q4 FY2026, flat on the quarter: existing customers spent $1.06 for each dollar a year earlier.
against this

Retention is a company-defined metric stated on the call; it is not in the 10-K and cannot be checked from filings.

current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C16facthigh confidence
Deferred revenue was $1,246.6M due within a year and $1,176.8M after; remaining performance obligations were $3,440.4M, up 28% from $2,692.6M, with about 49% expected within 12 months and 38% over the next 13 to 36 months.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C10facthigh confidence
No end customer was above 10% of revenue in FY2026, but sales run through distributors, and the two largest were 47% of revenue in FY2026, 41% in FY2025 and 39% in FY2024.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
Where the money comes from, stream by stream
StreamShare of sales (FY2026)How it earns it
Upfront licences on term subscriptions49.5%The software licence portion of term subscriptions, recognised when the licence starts, which is why future start dates move revenue.
Ratable subscriptions (support, entitlements and SaaS)45.5%Support on the licences and cloud-delivered subscriptions, recognised evenly over the contract.
Professional services and other5.0%Deployment, migration and training work, and a little hardware.

Who runs it

Rajiv Ramaswami has been chief executive since December 2020 and Rukmini Sivaraman finance chief since May 2022. The head of sales, Tarkan Maner, left in October 2026 and sold shares outside a pre-set plan on the day his exit was filed.

Directors and officers own about 2.4%, mostly Bain Capital's stake. Bonuses pay on recurring revenue and operating margin; half of long-term pay depends on the share price against the Nasdaq.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C25facthigh confidence
Rajiv Ramaswami has been chief executive since December 2020 and Rukmini Sivaraman chief financial officer since May 2022. Tarkan Maner, president and chief commercial officer, stepped down on 2 October 2026 and advises the company for $37,500 a month.
current state · 2026-10-07written 2026-10-16
C26facthigh confidence
Directors and executive officers held 6,373,887 shares, 2.4%, at the 2025 proxy date, of which 5,355,285 sat with Bain Capital's BCPE Nucleon. The cash bonus pays on ARR and non-GAAP operating margin; half of target equity is performance units vesting on three-year shareholder return against the Nasdaq Composite.
historical · 2025 proxy record datewritten 2026-10-16
C24facthigh confidence
Over the past year insiders made 11 open-market sales and no purchases; 8, carrying 85% of the shares sold, were under Rule 10b5-1 plans. The three discretionary sales were by Tarkan Maner, including 69,778 shares at $68.23 on 24 September 2026, the day his departure was filed.
historical · 2025-10 to 2026-10written 2026-10-16
02

Why it wins, and who could beat it

Why customers come back

Changing the software every application runs on is slow, costly and risky: workloads have to be moved and staff retrained. That cost kept customers on VMware for years. It now works for Nutanix too: once a customer has moved, it tends to stay and spend more.

What made the move worth it was Broadcom. Gartner says its pricing usually raised VMware customers' software costs 300 to 400 percent, and European cloud providers report rises of more than tenfold. Nutanix is not much cheaper, just comparable, with good migration tools.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C38facthigh confidence
The 10-K warns that VMware customers may stay under multi-year commitments or defer migration until their next hardware or software refresh, so the opportunity may arrive in multiple waves over an extended period.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C32factmedium confidence
Gartner VP analyst Julia Palmer said in September 2025 that more than a third of VMware workloads will run on another platform by 2028, that a full migration takes three years or more, that no rival offers a superior platform, and that VMware users should consider Nutanix first, though its prices are not much lower.
against this

Palmer advised against moving every workload, and Gartner's guide expects most organisations not to move until 2027 (C31), so the third is a ceiling-shaped estimate spread over years.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C08management claimmedium confidence
Net dollar-based retention was 106% at the end of Q4 FY2026, flat on the quarter: existing customers spent $1.06 for each dollar a year earlier.
against this

Retention is a company-defined metric stated on the call; it is not in the 10-K and cannot be checked from filings.

current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C31factmedium confidence
Gartner's server virtualisation market guide, as reported by The Register in November 2025, says VMware held over 96% of server virtualisation revenue in 2024, that Broadcom's changes usually raised customers' software costs 300 to 400 percent, that most organisations will not move until 2027 but migrations will accelerate through 2026, and that buyers should create an exit plan now.
historical · 2024-2025written 2026-10-16
C33factmedium confidence
CISPE, the European cloud providers' association, says Broadcom terminated existing VMware contracts with weeks' notice and imposed cost increases sometimes exceeding tenfold, and in July 2025 appealed to the EU General Court to annul the merger approval.
historical · 2024-2025written 2026-10-16

The threat

The biggest rival is the customer staying put. Broadcom's software revenue grew 26% last year, so most VMware customers paid the higher price. Those who do leave can also choose Red Hat, Microsoft's own hypervisor, a public cloud or a storage maker such as HPE, each selling the same job as part of a larger business.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C30facthigh confidence
Broadcom's infrastructure software revenue was $27,029M in fiscal 2025, up 26% from $21,478M, which its 10-K puts down primarily to strong demand for VMware Cloud Foundation and the move to subscription licences.
historical · Broadcom FY2025written 2026-10-16
C31factmedium confidence
Gartner's server virtualisation market guide, as reported by The Register in November 2025, says VMware held over 96% of server virtualisation revenue in 2024, that Broadcom's changes usually raised customers' software costs 300 to 400 percent, that most organisations will not move until 2027 but migrations will accelerate through 2026, and that buyers should create an exit plan now.
historical · 2024-2025written 2026-10-16
C34management claimlow confidence
The chief executive says migrating VMware customers choose among Nutanix, Red Hat and Microsoft, with a minority going to public cloud, and that Nutanix wins a good share against Red Hat; he gives no share figure.
against this

Gartner's analyst ranks Microsoft's Azure Local third and warns its clusters are small (C32), consistent with his list; no outside body publishes win rates.

current state · 2026-05-27written 2026-10-16
C32factmedium confidence
Gartner VP analyst Julia Palmer said in September 2025 that more than a third of VMware workloads will run on another platform by 2028, that a full migration takes three years or more, that no rival offers a superior platform, and that VMware users should consider Nutanix first, though its prices are not much lower.
against this

Palmer advised against moving every workload, and Gartner's guide expects most organisations not to move until 2027 (C31), so the third is a ceiling-shaped estimate spread over years.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C29facthigh confidence
Hewlett Packard Enterprise's FY2025 10-K names Nutanix among the primary competitors of its Hybrid Cloud business, beside Broadcom, Cisco, Dell, IBM, NetApp and Pure Storage and the public clouds.
historical · HPE FY2025written 2026-10-16

The rivals: AVGO, IBM, MSFT, HPE.

Who else does this, rival by rival
TickerRivalWhere it competesHow far alongPriced against it
AVGOVMware Cloud Foundation, renewed with BroadcomPriced against it: One segment onlyNutanix Cloud Infrastructure on hyperconverged servers, with cloud clusters and portfolio productsOn saleOne segment only
IBMRed Hat OpenShift Virtualization (IBM)Priced against it: One segment onlyNutanix Cloud Infrastructure on hyperconverged servers, with cloud clusters and portfolio productsOn saleOne segment only
MSFTMicrosoft Hyper-V and Azure LocalPriced against it: One segment onlyNutanix Cloud Infrastructure on hyperconverged servers, with cloud clusters and portfolio productsOn saleOne segment only
HPEHPE's private cloud with its own storage (GreenLake)Priced against it: One segment onlyExternal storage and enterprise AIOn saleOne segment only
03

How big it could get

How big this could get

VMware held over 96% of the market for this software in 2024, and Gartner expects more than a third of the workloads on it to move to another platform by 2028. Nobody publishes the market in dollars: VMware's revenue sits inside Broadcom's $27.0B software line. Against that, Nutanix's recurring revenue is $2.55B, so even a modest share of what moves is large for it.

The evidence under this - 3 claims
C31factmedium confidence
Gartner's server virtualisation market guide, as reported by The Register in November 2025, says VMware held over 96% of server virtualisation revenue in 2024, that Broadcom's changes usually raised customers' software costs 300 to 400 percent, that most organisations will not move until 2027 but migrations will accelerate through 2026, and that buyers should create an exit plan now.
historical · 2024-2025written 2026-10-16
C32factmedium confidence
Gartner VP analyst Julia Palmer said in September 2025 that more than a third of VMware workloads will run on another platform by 2028, that a full migration takes three years or more, that no rival offers a superior platform, and that VMware users should consider Nutanix first, though its prices are not much lower.
against this

Palmer advised against moving every workload, and Gartner's guide expects most organisations not to move until 2027 (C31), so the third is a ceiling-shaped estimate spread over years.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C30facthigh confidence
Broadcom's infrastructure software revenue was $27,029M in fiscal 2025, up 26% from $21,478M, which its 10-K puts down primarily to strong demand for VMware Cloud Foundation and the move to subscription licences.
historical · Broadcom FY2025written 2026-10-16

Who has signed

No customer is above 10% of revenue. What is signed is $3.44B of contracts not yet counted as revenue, up 28% in a year, about half due within twelve months.

The evidence under this - 2 claims
C16facthigh confidence
Deferred revenue was $1,246.6M due within a year and $1,176.8M after; remaining performance obligations were $3,440.4M, up 28% from $2,692.6M, with about 49% expected within 12 months and 38% over the next 13 to 36 months.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C10facthigh confidence
No end customer was above 10% of revenue in FY2026, but sales run through distributors, and the two largest were 47% of revenue in FY2026, 41% in FY2025 and 39% in FY2024.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
04

The results

The numbers

Is it growing?Steady

Sales grew 12% in the year to Jul 2026, slower than the 18% in the year before.

Jul 2022: $1.58BJul 2023: $1.86BJul 2024: $2.15BJul 2025: $2.54BJul 2026: $2.85B$1.58B$2.85B
Is it profitable?Thin

Operating margin is 9.6%, up from −11% in the year to Jul 2023.

Jul 2022: −29%Jul 2023: −11%Jul 2024: 0.4%Jul 2025: 6.8%Jul 2026: 9.6%−29%9.6%
Does growth pay off?Pays off

Running costs take 77¢ of each sales dollar, down from 109¢ in the year to Jul 2022.

Jul 2022: 109¢Jul 2023: 93¢Jul 2024: 85¢Jul 2025: 80¢Jul 2026: 77¢109¢77¢
How steady is it?Steady

Yearly sales growth has ranged from +12% to +18% over the last 5 years.

Jul 2022: +13%Jul 2023: +18%Jul 2024: +15%Jul 2025: +18%Jul 2026: +12%+13%+12%
Is it making cash?Strong

It turned 29% of sales into free cash, $841M over the year.

Jul 2022: $18.5MJul 2023: $207MJul 2024: $598MJul 2025: $750MJul 2026: $841M$18.5M$841M
Is profit turning into cash?Partly

Free cash flow was 0.6 times net income.

Jul 2025: 4.0×Jul 2026: 0.6×4.0×0.6×
Are shares being diluted?Diluting

The share count rose 32% in 4.0 years, and pay in shares costs 13% of sales.

Jul 2022: 221KJul 2023: 233KJul 2024: 245KJul 2025: 294KJul 2026: 292K221K292K
All the numbers

Filed figures from the company's 10-K and 10-Q, read 2026-10-16. Fiscal years end in July.

Jul 2022Jul 2023Jul 2024Jul 2025Jul 2026
Size and growth
Sales$1.58B$1.86B$2.15B$2.54B$2.85B
Sales growth+13%+18%+15%+18%+12%
Profit
Gross margin80%82%85%87%87%
Operating margin−29%−11%0.4%6.8%9.6%
Net margin−51%−14%−5.8%7.4%53%
What growth costs, per sales dollar
Research and development36%31%30%29%28%
Sales and marketing62%50%45%42%40%
General and admin11%12%9.3%9.4%9.2%
Pay in shares22%17%16%14%13%
Capital spending3.1%3.5%3.5%2.8%2.7%
Cash
Cash from operations$67.5M$272M$673M$821M$917M
Free cash flow$18.5M$207M$598M$750M$841M
Balance sheet
Cash and short-term investments$1.32B$1.44B$994M$1.99B$2.36B
Returns and shares
Return on capital----68×
Shares (diluted)221K233K245K294K292K

What growth costs

Growth has got cheaper. Since FY2023 revenue rose 53% while selling, research and admin costs per dollar of sales all fell, turning an operating loss into a 9.6% margin. Share pay fell from about 17 to 12.5 cents per dollar of sales, and job cuts in August 2026 show costs are still being trimmed.

The evidence under this - 4 claims
C43inferencehigh confidence
Selling and marketing fell from 49.6 cents per revenue dollar in FY2023 to 40.3 in FY2026, research from 31.2 to 27.7 and admin from 12.5 to 9.2, which took the GAAP operating margin from minus 11.1% to plus 9.6%.
derivedEach cost line divided by revenue for FY2023 and FY2026 from the numbers card, which reproduces the filed statements (C11, C02).
against this

Part of the fall in selling cost per dollar is revenue growing into a sales force hired earlier, and the restructuring of August 2026 (C27) says the cost base was still being cut.

historical · FY2023-FY2026written 2026-10-16
C11facthigh confidence
GAAP gross margin was 86.8% in FY2026. GAAP operating income was $274.0M, a 9.6% margin, against $172.5M (6.8%) in FY2025 and $7.6M (0.4%) in FY2024; non-GAAP operating income was $675.4M, 23.7%, against 21.1%.
historical · FY2024-FY2026written 2026-10-16
C12facthigh confidence
Share-based pay was $357.7M in FY2026, 12.5% of revenue, against $351.6M in FY2025 and $311.7M in FY2023, when it was 16.7% of revenue.
historical · FY2023-FY2026written 2026-10-16
C27facthigh confidence
In August 2026 Nutanix began cutting about 5% of its workforce, expecting $33-43M of charges, and says the savings will be reinvested.
historical · 2026-08written 2026-10-16

The last report (26 Aug)

Quarter ended July 2026, filed figures.

16%
Sales growth
against the same quarter a year earlier
7.7%
Growth from the quarter before
against -2.7% the quarter before that
9¢
Operating profit
per dollar of sales

In FY2026, the year to 31 July 2026, revenue rose 12% to $2.85B and recurring revenue 16%. Free cash flow was $841M, 29% of sales, and the operating margin rose to 9.6%.

The guide for FY2027 is about 12% growth again, with free cash flow of $850-950M. Management says demand is fine and the gap is timing: customers wait for scarce servers, so their software licences start later and revenue arrives later than bookings.

What it did to the thesisIt confirmed the November cut was timing rather than lost demand: recurring revenue sped up and cash came in strong. It left open the speed question, because the new guide keeps growth near the same pace while customers wait for servers.

The quarter in detail

Sales growth from the previous quarter, filed figures.

Earnings per share $0.60 against $0.49 expected.

The evidence under this - 6 claims
C02facthigh confidence
Revenue was $2,853.5M in FY2026 (the year to 31 July 2026), up 12%, after $2,537.9M in FY2025, up 18%, and $2,148.8M in FY2024, up 15%. Q4 FY2026 revenue was $757.1M, up 16%.
historical · FY2024-FY2026written 2026-10-16
C03factmedium confidence
Annual recurring revenue was $2,548.8M at 31 July 2026, up 16% from $2,201.7M a year earlier; Nutanix changed how it counts ARR from the first quarter of FY2026.
against this
  • ARR is a company-defined metric, not audited, and its method changed during the year, so the 16% compares two definitions restated by the company.
  • Revenue grew 12% against ARR's 16%, a gap the CFO puts down to future start dates (C07).
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-16
C13facthigh confidence
FY2026 operating cash flow was $916.7M and capital spending $76.0M, so free cash flow was $840.7M, 29% of revenue; less share pay of $357.7M, that leaves $483.0M.
against this
  • About $1.18B of deferred revenue is due beyond twelve months because customers prepay multi-year contracts (C16), which pulls cash forward.
  • Management plans more annual payment terms in FY2027 (C17), which would slow cash collection.
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-16
C05management claimmedium confidence
Management guides FY2027 revenue to $3.18-3.23B, about 12% growth at the midpoint, a non-GAAP operating margin of 24-25% and free cash flow of $850-950M after $33-43M of restructuring; Q1 FY2027 revenue to $755-765M.
against this
  • Nutanix cut its FY2026 revenue guide in its first quarter, citing future start dates (C06), so a first-quarter guide has been reset before.
  • The CFO expects a moderately higher share of orders with future start dates in FY2027 (C07), which pushes revenue out of the year.
forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C07management claimmedium confidence
The CFO says customers face longer server lead times, so Nutanix gives future licence start dates and books the revenue when they begin; she expects a moderately higher share of orders with future start dates in FY2027, and the chief executive expects server shortages and price rises to last through FY2027.
against this
  • The same management called the November 2025 cut solely timing, and FY2026 revenue then landed above the cut guide (C06), which supports the timing reading.
  • Neither executive quantified how much revenue the start dates moved.
forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C11facthigh confidence
GAAP gross margin was 86.8% in FY2026. GAAP operating income was $274.0M, a 9.6% margin, against $172.5M (6.8%) in FY2025 and $7.6M (0.4%) in FY2024; non-GAAP operating income was $675.4M, 23.7%, against 21.1%.
historical · FY2024-FY2026written 2026-10-16
What management did with the money

Nutanix spent more on buying back shares than it handed staff in share pay, so the share count fell slightly. It also sold $150M of new shares to AMD in May 2026.

Insiders in 2026Q3: 25 purchases and 20 sales, from their Form 4 filings.

The evidence under this - 2 claims
C18facthigh confidence
Nutanix bought back $483.5M of shares in FY2026, including a $300M accelerated repurchase, with $728.9M of authorisation left; diluted weighted shares fell to 292.2M from 294.1M. In May 2026 AMD bought 4,136,789 new shares at $36.26 each, $150M.
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-16
C12facthigh confidence
Share-based pay was $357.7M in FY2026, 12.5% of revenue, against $351.6M in FY2025 and $311.7M in FY2023, when it was 16.7% of revenue.
historical · FY2023-FY2026written 2026-10-16
05

The price, and where we disagree

In short. Fair. The price pays for management's plan working, faster growth by FY2029, but not for much more; part of today's cash also comes from customers paying years upfront.

Share price
$69.98
close,
Price for each $1 of yearly profit
12.6
its 6-year normal -5.7
Company value for each $1 of cash profit
49.1
its 6-year normal 17.4

Nutanix cut its revenue forecast in November 2025, the shares fell 18% the next day and hit $34 in April 2026. Revenue then beat the cut forecast and recurring growth sped up, and the shares nearly doubled.

So the question now is not whether the slowdown was real but whether the price has run ahead. The next check is the first-quarter report on 24 November 2026, against a guide of $755-765M.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C19facthigh confidence
On 15 October 2026 the shares closed at $69.98, a market value of $18.93B, inside a 52-week range of $34.01 to $75.98. Over six months the price rose 77% while trailing revenue per share rose 6.8%; the price paid per dollar of revenue rose 65.7%.
current state · 2026-10-15written 2026-10-16
C23facthigh confidence
The shares fell 17.7% the session after the November 2025 guide cut and reached a 52-week low of $34.01 in April 2026, before rising to $69.98 by 15 October 2026.
historical · 2025-11 to 2026-10written 2026-10-16
C06facthigh confidence
In November 2025 Nutanix cut its FY2026 revenue guide to $2.82-2.86B, saying more business than expected carried start dates outside the quarter, called it 'solely a timing issue', and raised its free cash flow guide to $800-840M. FY2026 revenue came in at $2,853.5M.
historical · Q1 FY2026written 2026-10-16
C22facthigh confidence
Short interest was 11.9M shares, 4.6% of the float, at the 30 September 2026 settlement, down from 26.2M on 15 July 2026.
current state · 2026-09-30written 2026-10-16
C05management claimmedium confidence
Management guides FY2027 revenue to $3.18-3.23B, about 12% growth at the midpoint, a non-GAAP operating margin of 24-25% and free cash flow of $850-950M after $33-43M of restructuring; Q1 FY2027 revenue to $755-765M.
against this
  • Nutanix cut its FY2026 revenue guide in its first quarter, citing future start dates (C06), so a first-quarter guide has been reset before.
  • The CFO expects a moderately higher share of orders with future start dates in FY2027 (C07), which pushes revenue out of the year.
forwardwritten 2026-10-16
The betSafe, little upside
If it works
1.1×
from today's value, at the stated multiple
If it fails
keep 98%
of today's market value: the rest of the company, less its debt
How we read the multiple

A buyer pays about $17.9B for the business after cash and debt: about 37 times the cash an owner kept last year, after share pay.

To earn 7 cents a year on each dollar paid, a common rule of thumb for what a share should return, Nutanix must:

  1. Grow that cash, $483M last year, about 15% a year.
  2. Hold that pace for about a decade, as customers keep leaving VMware.
  3. That is roughly management's target for FY2029: the plan, little more.

Against its own history. It costs more per dollar of sales than it usually has, because the market now trusts the migration story it doubted in the spring.

The evidence under this - 5 claims
C20inferencemedium confidence
At $69.98 the company value is about $17.9B: the $18.93B market value less $2.36B of cash and investments plus $1.36B of convertible notes. That is about 37 times FY2026 free cash flow after share pay ($483.0M), 21 times free cash flow and 6.3 times revenue.
derivedThe market value and close (C19), cash, investments and notes (C15), free cash flow and share pay (C13) and revenue (C02), combined arithmetically.
against this
  • Free cash flow is lifted by multi-year prepayment (C16, C17), so 37 times may understate what the price asks of the business once payment terms shorten.
  • The 2027 notes are in the money, so treating them as $500M of debt understates dilution by about $106M of value at today's price.
current state · 2026-10-15written 2026-10-16
C13facthigh confidence
FY2026 operating cash flow was $916.7M and capital spending $76.0M, so free cash flow was $840.7M, 29% of revenue; less share pay of $357.7M, that leaves $483.0M.
against this
  • About $1.18B of deferred revenue is due beyond twelve months because customers prepay multi-year contracts (C16), which pulls cash forward.
  • Management plans more annual payment terms in FY2027 (C17), which would slow cash collection.
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-16
C12facthigh confidence
Share-based pay was $357.7M in FY2026, 12.5% of revenue, against $351.6M in FY2025 and $311.7M in FY2023, when it was 16.7% of revenue.
historical · FY2023-FY2026written 2026-10-16
C39management claimlow confidence
At its April 2026 investor day Nutanix set a medium-term target of mid- to high-teens revenue and ARR growth in FY2029.
against this

Revenue growth was 12% in FY2026 and is guided at about 12% for FY2027 (C02, C05), so the target needs an acceleration that has not yet begun.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C17management claimmedium confidence
Average contract duration was 3.2 years in FY2026 against 3.1 a year earlier, and most customers pay several years upfront; the CFO says Nutanix will offer more annual payment plans or third-party financing in FY2027, and the free cash flow guide includes it.
against this

The Q4 duration of 3.3 years was below management's own expectation, so the prepayment habit is already moving.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
Priced against its rivals

None of the listed rivals above sells the same thing to the same buyers as a large part of what it does. A price comparison needs at least two, so the price is judged against its own history instead.

Private or foreign rivals that cannot be priced: Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd., Fujitsu, Hitachi Vantara and Lenovo.

The bet: what it pays if it works

The bet is on two new lines: letting customers keep their existing storage boxes from Dell, Everpure or NetApp, and AI software. Neither has a revenue figure yet, though management expects storage to lead next year's growth.

If both do well, the whole company is worth only a little more than today, because the price already pays for most of it. If they fail, shareholders still keep the main business and its cash. Little upside, little to lose.

External storage and enterprise AI revenue in two to three yearsCustomers at Nutanix's average recurring revenue of about $80,000 neededAt the stated multiple
$150.00Mabout 1.9K at 100% kept1.0×
$300.00M (the big win)about 3.8K at 100% kept1.1×
$500.00Mabout 6.2K at 100% kept1.1×

To pay 2× (a Fair bet) it would need about $3.21B of External storage and enterprise AI revenue (about 40.1K customers at Nutanix's average recurring revenue of about $80,000); to pay 5× (a Cheap bet), about $12.68B of External storage and enterprise AI revenue (about 158.5K customers at Nutanix's average recurring revenue of about $80,000), at the same multiple.

Each row is External storage and enterprise AI alone, plus the rest of the company (Nutanix Cloud Infrastructure on hyperconverged servers, with cloud clusters and portfolio products) counted at about $18.60B.

The steps it has to take

  • Done Dell PowerFlex and Everpure support generally available
  • Done Several seven-figure external-storage deals signed
  • In progress NetApp support generally available due 2026-12
  • Not started Nutanix states a revenue figure for external storage or AI due 2027-08
  • Not started External storage and AI reach about $300M a year due 2029-07
The detail behind the label
Rating
Expensive
the big win's payoff against the 2× and 5× lines
Cheap bet at about
$15.08
78% below the price (close, )
The option
5.4×
what External storage and enterprise AI is worth if it works, against what the price pays for it
The evidence under this - 5 claims
C35management claimlow confidence
The chief executive says hyperconverged deals will still be the bulk of FY2027 new business, but expects external storage support to lead FY2027's growth; Nutanix supports Dell PowerFlex and PowerStore and Everpure FlashArray, NetApp is in limited availability, and it signed several seven-figure deals on external storage in Q4. No revenue for it is disclosed.
against this
  • The 10-K warns that external storage may cannibalise Nutanix's own hyperconverged sales.
  • No figure is filed, so the claim that it leads growth cannot be checked.
forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C05management claimmedium confidence
Management guides FY2027 revenue to $3.18-3.23B, about 12% growth at the midpoint, a non-GAAP operating margin of 24-25% and free cash flow of $850-950M after $33-43M of restructuring; Q1 FY2027 revenue to $755-765M.
against this
  • Nutanix cut its FY2026 revenue guide in its first quarter, citing future start dates (C06), so a first-quarter guide has been reset before.
  • The CFO expects a moderately higher share of orders with future start dates in FY2027 (C07), which pushes revenue out of the year.
forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C20inferencemedium confidence
At $69.98 the company value is about $17.9B: the $18.93B market value less $2.36B of cash and investments plus $1.36B of convertible notes. That is about 37 times FY2026 free cash flow after share pay ($483.0M), 21 times free cash flow and 6.3 times revenue.
derivedThe market value and close (C19), cash, investments and notes (C15), free cash flow and share pay (C13) and revenue (C02), combined arithmetically.
against this
  • Free cash flow is lifted by multi-year prepayment (C16, C17), so 37 times may understate what the price asks of the business once payment terms shorten.
  • The 2027 notes are in the money, so treating them as $500M of debt understates dilution by about $106M of value at today's price.
current state · 2026-10-15written 2026-10-16
C15facthigh confidence
At 31 July 2026 Nutanix held $777.3M of cash and $1,584.2M of short-term investments, $2,361.5M in all, against $500.0M of 0.25% convertible notes due October 2027 (convertible at about $57.74 a share) and $862.5M of 0.50% notes due December 2029 (about $85.83). The 10-K names no capped call.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C13facthigh confidence
FY2026 operating cash flow was $916.7M and capital spending $76.0M, so free cash flow was $840.7M, 29% of revenue; less share pay of $357.7M, that leaves $483.0M.
against this
  • About $1.18B of deferred revenue is due beyond twelve months because customers prepay multi-year contracts (C16), which pulls cash forward.
  • Management plans more annual payment terms in FY2027 (C17), which would slow cash collection.
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-16

Where we disagree with the market

The market believes

Nutanix is the VMware-migration winner and the server-shortage scare is over.

We believe

The migration is real but slow, and after the rebound the price already assumes it.

Gartner and Nutanix's own annual report both say customers move in waves at their next hardware refresh, over three years or more. That is a steady tailwind, not a sudden one, and the price already counts on it speeding up.

We could be wrong if recurring revenue growth climbs back toward 19% with customers spending more each year: that would show the wave arriving faster than we think.

What analysts say, and the evidence
Analysts positive
56%
of 16, 1 Oct
Four months earlier
53%
of 17, 1 Jun
The evidence under this - 5 claims
C20inferencemedium confidence
At $69.98 the company value is about $17.9B: the $18.93B market value less $2.36B of cash and investments plus $1.36B of convertible notes. That is about 37 times FY2026 free cash flow after share pay ($483.0M), 21 times free cash flow and 6.3 times revenue.
derivedThe market value and close (C19), cash, investments and notes (C15), free cash flow and share pay (C13) and revenue (C02), combined arithmetically.
against this
  • Free cash flow is lifted by multi-year prepayment (C16, C17), so 37 times may understate what the price asks of the business once payment terms shorten.
  • The 2027 notes are in the money, so treating them as $500M of debt understates dilution by about $106M of value at today's price.
current state · 2026-10-15written 2026-10-16
C32factmedium confidence
Gartner VP analyst Julia Palmer said in September 2025 that more than a third of VMware workloads will run on another platform by 2028, that a full migration takes three years or more, that no rival offers a superior platform, and that VMware users should consider Nutanix first, though its prices are not much lower.
against this

Palmer advised against moving every workload, and Gartner's guide expects most organisations not to move until 2027 (C31), so the third is a ceiling-shaped estimate spread over years.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C38facthigh confidence
The 10-K warns that VMware customers may stay under multi-year commitments or defer migration until their next hardware or software refresh, so the opportunity may arrive in multiple waves over an extended period.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C03factmedium confidence
Annual recurring revenue was $2,548.8M at 31 July 2026, up 16% from $2,201.7M a year earlier; Nutanix changed how it counts ARR from the first quarter of FY2026.
against this
  • ARR is a company-defined metric, not audited, and its method changed during the year, so the 16% compares two definitions restated by the company.
  • Revenue grew 12% against ARR's 16%, a gap the CFO puts down to future start dates (C07).
historical · FY2026written 2026-10-16
C21factmedium confidence
Analysts: 20 Buy, 12 Hold and no Sell on the vendor's snapshot; its dated series reads 56.2% positive among 16 analysts on 1 October 2026, from 66.7% among 18 in February 2026.
current state · 2026-10-01written 2026-10-16
06

What could go wrong, and how we would know

The risks

  • Customers may simply stay Broadcom's software revenue grew 26% last year, so most VMware customers paid up rather than leave.
  • Server shortages delay revenue Customers wait for scarce servers, so licences start later; management expects more of this through FY2027.
  • Two distributors carry 47% Most sales pass through two distributors, so trouble at either would hit revenue quickly.
  • Cash may grow slower More customers will pay yearly instead of years upfront, which slows the cash that flatters today's numbers.
  • A sales chief left The head of sales left in October 2026 and sold shares outside a pre-set plan on the day his exit was filed.
The evidence under this - 6 claims
C30facthigh confidence
Broadcom's infrastructure software revenue was $27,029M in fiscal 2025, up 26% from $21,478M, which its 10-K puts down primarily to strong demand for VMware Cloud Foundation and the move to subscription licences.
historical · Broadcom FY2025written 2026-10-16
C07management claimmedium confidence
The CFO says customers face longer server lead times, so Nutanix gives future licence start dates and books the revenue when they begin; she expects a moderately higher share of orders with future start dates in FY2027, and the chief executive expects server shortages and price rises to last through FY2027.
against this
  • The same management called the November 2025 cut solely timing, and FY2026 revenue then landed above the cut guide (C06), which supports the timing reading.
  • Neither executive quantified how much revenue the start dates moved.
forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C10facthigh confidence
No end customer was above 10% of revenue in FY2026, but sales run through distributors, and the two largest were 47% of revenue in FY2026, 41% in FY2025 and 39% in FY2024.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
C17management claimmedium confidence
Average contract duration was 3.2 years in FY2026 against 3.1 a year earlier, and most customers pay several years upfront; the CFO says Nutanix will offer more annual payment plans or third-party financing in FY2027, and the free cash flow guide includes it.
against this

The Q4 duration of 3.3 years was below management's own expectation, so the prepayment habit is already moving.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C24facthigh confidence
Over the past year insiders made 11 open-market sales and no purchases; 8, carrying 85% of the shares sold, were under Rule 10b5-1 plans. The three discretionary sales were by Tarkan Maner, including 69,778 shares at $68.23 on 24 September 2026, the day his departure was filed.
historical · 2025-10 to 2026-10written 2026-10-16
C15facthigh confidence
At 31 July 2026 Nutanix held $777.3M of cash and $1,584.2M of short-term investments, $2,361.5M in all, against $500.0M of 0.25% convertible notes due October 2027 (convertible at about $57.74 a share) and $862.5M of 0.50% notes due December 2029 (about $85.83). The 10-K names no capped call.
current state · 2026-07-31written 2026-10-16
What we still do not know
  • How much the new external-storage line earns, and whether it adds customers or replaces Nutanix's own sales.
  • What share of departing VMware customers choose Nutanix over Red Hat, Microsoft or a public cloud.
  • How much of last year's cash came from customers paying several years upfront.
  • How big the market is in dollars: the research firms sell that figure.
The evidence under this - 4 claims
C35management claimlow confidence
The chief executive says hyperconverged deals will still be the bulk of FY2027 new business, but expects external storage support to lead FY2027's growth; Nutanix supports Dell PowerFlex and PowerStore and Everpure FlashArray, NetApp is in limited availability, and it signed several seven-figure deals on external storage in Q4. No revenue for it is disclosed.
against this
  • The 10-K warns that external storage may cannibalise Nutanix's own hyperconverged sales.
  • No figure is filed, so the claim that it leads growth cannot be checked.
forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C34management claimlow confidence
The chief executive says migrating VMware customers choose among Nutanix, Red Hat and Microsoft, with a minority going to public cloud, and that Nutanix wins a good share against Red Hat; he gives no share figure.
against this

Gartner's analyst ranks Microsoft's Azure Local third and warns its clusters are small (C32), consistent with his list; no outside body publishes win rates.

current state · 2026-05-27written 2026-10-16
C17management claimmedium confidence
Average contract duration was 3.2 years in FY2026 against 3.1 a year earlier, and most customers pay several years upfront; the CFO says Nutanix will offer more annual payment plans or third-party financing in FY2027, and the free cash flow guide includes it.
against this

The Q4 duration of 3.3 years was below management's own expectation, so the prepayment habit is already moving.

forwardwritten 2026-10-16
C31factmedium confidence
Gartner's server virtualisation market guide, as reported by The Register in November 2025, says VMware held over 96% of server virtualisation revenue in 2024, that Broadcom's changes usually raised customers' software costs 300 to 400 percent, that most organisations will not move until 2027 but migrations will accelerate through 2026, and that buyers should create an exit plan now.
historical · 2024-2025written 2026-10-16

What would change our view

  1. Neutral→AttractiveA cheaper price on an unchanged business

    It needs all of:

    • ○The business becomes cheaper: about 28 times the cash an owner keeps, from about 37 today.about ≈$50.52 today, 28% below the last close
    • ○And recurring revenue still grows at least 14% a year.checked at the next results, due by 24 Nov
  2. Neutral→AttractiveThe migration wave speeds up

    It needs all of:

    • ○Recurring revenue growth climbs to 19% or more.checked at the next results, due by 24 Nov
    • ○And existing customers spend at least $1.08 a year later for every dollar before.checked at the next results, due by 24 Nov
  3. Neutral→UnattractiveThe wave fades

    It needs any of:

    • ○Recurring revenue growth falls below 12%.checked at the next results, due by 24 Nov
    • ○Or existing customers spend less than $1.03 a year later for every dollar before.checked at the next results, due by 24 Nov
We would also be wrong if
  • Management cuts the FY2027 revenue forecast below $3.1B.
  • The cash an owner keeps falls below $400M in a year.

What is coming

  • 24 November 2026 Q1 FY2027 results: ARR growth against 15%, revenue against the $755-765M guide, retention against 106%, and whether future start dates grew as the CFO expects.
Every dated event ahead
  • 24 November 2026 Q1 FY2027 results: ARR growth against 15%, revenue against the $755-765M guide, retention against 106%, and whether future start dates grew as the CFO expects.
  • December 2026 NetApp support generally available: Whether the third large storage vendor's arrays are fully supported, widening the base external storage can reach.
  • February 2027 Q2 FY2027 results: Whether external storage shows up in bookings the company will quantify, and how annual payment plans move free cash flow.
Since we wrote this
Written
16 Oct
Price the thesis read
$69.98
15 Oct
  • 16 OctThesis writtenNeutral, medium convictionVMware's customers are moving and Nutanix is first in line, but slowly; after a 77% rise the price already holds the plan.

Sources 16

Where this came from

Sources - 16

Every claim above cites one of these, or states the reasoning that derived it. The quote is frozen at the date it was read: a link can rot, and an agent fetch returns a reading of a page rather than the page. Backs counts the whole claim ledger, so it can name a claim this page does not surface.

  1. S01primarycompany filing2026-09-18
    products, competition, customers and distributor concentration, risk factors on the VMware opportunity and external storage, statements, convertible notes, remaining performance obligations, share counts, patents and headcount
    backsC01C02C04C09C10C11C12C14C15C16C18C28C35C38C44
  2. S02primarycompany release2026-08-26
    revenue, ARR, margins, free cash flow, share pay, buybacks, balance sheet, the FY2027 and Q1 FY2027 guide
    backsC02C03C04C05C06C11C12C13C14C16C18C19C37C41
  3. S03primarytranscript2026-08-26
    Q4 FY2026 earnings call transcript (FMP)
    data/cache/transcripts/NTNX-2026Q4.json
    net retention, future start dates, server shortages, external storage as the largest growth contributor, annual payment plans, renewals pool, AI and ChronoScale
    So I would put that in terms of contribution from a growth perspective, that's probably going to be the largest growth contributor.
    backsC03C05C07C08C09C17C27C35C37C40
  4. S04primarytranscript2025-11-25
    Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript (FMP)
    data/cache/transcripts/NTNX-2026Q1.json
    the FY2026 revenue guide cut and its reason, the migration choices, new-customer count, federal share
    this is solely a timing issue, and the amount of revenue we expect to recognize over time from business booked in FY '26 remains unchanged
    backsC06C09C23C34C42
  5. S05primarytranscript2026-05-27
    Q3 FY2026 earnings call transcript (FMP)
    data/cache/transcripts/NTNX-2026Q3.json
    the investor day FY2029 target, external storage as most of the installed base, who customers migrate to
    the vast majority of data center infrastructure today is still external storage connected to legacy hypervisors on servers
    backsC34C36C39
  6. S06primarycompany filing2025-10-22
    executive officers and tenure, beneficial ownership, bonus and equity metrics
    backsC25C26
  7. S07primarycompany filing2026-08-04
    about 5% of the workforce and $33-43M of charges
    backsC27
  8. S08primarycompany filing2026-09-24
    Tarkan Maner stepping down effective 2 October 2026
    backsC24C25
  9. S09primarycompany filing2026-10-07
    the $37,500 monthly advisory fee
    backsC25
  10. S10primarycompany filing2025-12-18
    Nutanix named among the primary competitors of HPE's Hybrid Cloud business
    Our primary competitors are other infrastructure and cloud management software technology vendors, such as Broadcom, Cisco Systems Inc., Dell Technologies Inc., IBM, NetApp Inc., Nutanix, and Pure Storage
    backsC29
  11. S11primarycompany filing2025-12-18
    infrastructure software revenue and the reason for its growth
    Net revenue from our infrastructure software segment increased primarily due to strong demand for our VCF product
    backsC30
  12. S12secondarynews2025-09-11
    Gartner's estimate that more than a third of VMware workloads move by 2028, the three-year migration, and its ranking of Nutanix first
    More than a third of workloads currently running under VMware will run on another platform by 2028
    backsC32
  13. S13secondarynews2025-11-17
    VMware's 2024 revenue share, the 300-400% cost rises, the migration timing and the advice to plan an exit
    as of 2024 VMware dominated the server virtualization market with over 96 percent of revenue share
    backsC31
  14. S14secondaryindustry data2025-07-29
    the cloud providers' association's account of terminated contracts, cost rises and its appeal
    These include drastic cost increases (sometimes exceeding tenfold) and mandatory multi-year commitments for access to essential VMware software.
    backsC33
  15. S15secondaryvendor data2026-10-16
    Research pack (FMP market data, FINRA short interest), frozen
    content/NTNX/research-pack.json
    price, market value, the 52-week range, the price-move decomposition, analyst ratings and their series, short interest, the earnings history
    backsC19C21C22C23C41
  16. S17primarycompany filing2026-10-16
    every open-market sale and its Rule 10b5-1 flag
    backsC24
Rendered from content/NTNX/thesis.json · thesis reviewed 2026-10-16. This page explains a company; it does not say what to pay, when to buy or how much.